Tracking The Rain/Snow Line

Good Tuesday everyone. Phase one of our winter storm is well underway with some of everything falling from the sky across the state to start the day out. This system is behaving very well so far with things playing out about like we expected in terms of the precipitation types and placement.

The big deal of the day will be to track the rain/snow line as it works to the north. That same line is carrying a period of freezing rain with it and that can cause a lot of headaches. So far... snows have been heaviest across the north with the south seeing a mix to rain. Above freezing temps will continue to slowly lift northward this morning as the snows make the transition to some light rains by late morning and early afternoon. There is a cutoff to just how far north and west the rain line can get. Odds favor areas along and east of a line Maysville to Lexington to Bowling Green mixing with or changing over to rain for a time today. To the west of that line... snows will likely continue and this is the area that can get several more inches today. You can track the line here...



Please keep in mind that the radar is only showing where it "thinks" the various forms of precipitation are falling.

Another helpful tool today will be the near real time temps from Kentucky Mesonet...

For some actual ground truth... I have a series of weather cams for you to check out from different points across the state...

Richmond



Harrodsburg


I-64 Jefferson/Shelby Line


Louisville


Ashland

I-75 Northern Ky Near Covington
Kentucky: I-71/I-75 at Turfway Rd.

Kentucky: I-71/I-75 at 12th St. in Covington

What happens from this point forward? Here is your breakdown...

- A big time arctic front moves quickly eastward across the state this afternoon into the evening. This will change the rain back to snow pretty quickly.

- Snows will increase Tuesday night into Wednesday with a widespread 2-4 inches of additional snow to fall. Higher amounts will be possible in some areas...especially across the higher elevations of southeastern Kentucky.

- Temps will Plummet behind the front. Readings will drop 15 degrees in just a few hours and will wind up in the teens by late evening. Winds will gust to 30-35mph creating wind chills dipping below 0 at times. The same winds will also creating blowing and drifting snows.

- The weather here Wednesday will just be flat out wicked!

- Snow showers and flurries should hang tough all the way into Thursday morning.

The overall weather pattern for the next few weeks will feature VERY cold temps with periodic snow chances. The snow that falls over the next few days has a great shot at still being on the ground in many places a week or two from now. The problem is... you may not see it because it gets covered up by new snows. Some snow showers and flurries will be possible later Friday and Saturday with the potential for a system to dive in here with accumulating snows Sunday and Monday...

Canadian Model



GFS Sunday Afternoon


Yes... even in the middle of a winter storm... the blog is already keeping you guys ahead of the game for the next potential.

Your fellow bloggers need your help as they want to know whats going on where you live. Post the weather conditions from your hometown here on the blog for all to see. I appreciate all the help you give me... and that's a fact!

More updates as needed so check back. Take care.

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Posted by Chris Bailey at Tuesday, February 09, 2010 3:30 AM
Categories: uncategorized
 
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