Author Archives: Chris Bailey

Time posted: 1:20 am

Storms Challenge The Heat

Good Thursday, folks. Our mini heat wave is trying to finally kick in over the next few days, but storms are going to try to tame the temps. Those storms will then increase this weekend with a much cooler pattern settling in for next week.

Highs today range from the upper 80s to low 90s for many. The southeast may struggle to get to 90. Heat index values will range from 95-100, with low 100s in the west and far north.

With all the heat and humidity, I can’t rule out a storm or two going up…

Friday looks very similar with highs in the 90-95 degree range across the state with some triple digit heat index numbers showing up. That said, storms may try to bubble up in the afternoon and evening, especially on the northwestern sky…

That could certainly act to keep our temps in check. Saturday will be another hot and humid day, but storms may have a slightly greater impact on temps…

A strong cold front will then roll our way later Sunday with showers and storms increasing, and should carry us through Monday…

Recent model runs are spitting out the potential for some decent rains from now through Monday…

Much cooler air then settles in here for next week as a northwesterly flow kicks in. Check out the GFS forecast highs for Tuesday…

Wednesday morning lows…

Another system will then try to slide in here with some showers and storms by the end of next week.

Make it  a great day and take care.

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Time posted: 1:38 am

Changes Follow The Heat

Good Wednesday to one and all. We are dealing with a mini heat wave taking control of the weather across the bluegrass state. This steamy setup isn’t going to last very long as a big pattern kicks in late this weekend into early next week. Things look to turn stormy and cooler than normal then.

There isn’t a whole lot left to say about the temps of the next few days. Highs out there today will generally range from 90 in the east to 90-95 in the west. Humidity levels start to kick in with a heat index several degrees higher.

Thursday through Saturday will be the hottest time of the summer with daytime highs from 90-95 for many, with some local middle 90s in the west. Heat index values can top 100 degrees during this time.

Isolated storms can go up over the next few days, and we will have to be on guard for some sneaky storms coming from the northwest later Friday and Saturday…

If those do fire up, it can keep our temps down from what I’m currently thinking. Given the summer trend, it wouldn’t be a stretch for something like that to happen.

Widespread showers and storms then kick in late this weekend and early next week as our pattern starts to change…

Heavy rain and strong storms are possible as we make the transition from hot to cooler than normal. Temps for much of the final week of July look solidly below average…

Have a great day and take care.

7 Comments

Time posted: 1:22 am

Heat Wave Won’t Last Long

Good Tuesday, everyone. Heat lovers, rejoice!!! Some real deal summertime heat and humidity is ready to take control of the pattern for a while. This settles in through the week and into the upcoming weekend, but storms and a cooler setup settle in next week.

Highs today are in the mid and upper 80s across the east with low 90s in the west.

Highs by Wednesday start to really heat up with near 90 east and 95 in the west. Temps from Thursday through Saturday are generally 90-95 for much of central and eastern Kentucky, with highs that MAY flirt with 100 in a few spots across the west.

Thu heat index will be an even bigger player with values from 100-110 possible.

What about the chances for a few storms in the coming days? Those chances are rather small, but I can’t rule out pop up stuff going up. There’s a chance out there today, too.

The threat for storms will then increase late this weekend into early next week…

That’s when a deep trough digs into the eastern half of the country, with much cooler air settling in. Check this out…

The European Model is also all over it. Here’s the run for Monday-Wednesday…

The CFS has a VERY cool 5 day period as we get ready to close the book on July…

No one pattern can truly take control of the pattern this summer, and I think that’s AWESOME! 🙂

Have a great day and take care.

10 Comments

Time posted: 1:21 am

Heat Wave On The Way

Good Monday, everyone. We have a full blown heat wave on the way for the second half of the week into the upcoming weekend. With the soggy ground finally drying out some, temps later this week may be the hottest we’ve had since the summer of 2012.

Before we get there, we do have a cold front on top of the region today. This front will give us the chance for scattered showers and storms…

Temps today will be in the low and middle 80s for many, with some upper 80s west and far south.

Temps on Tuesday start to take off. Highs will be near 90 west with mid and upper 80s across the central and east. There is still a small chance for a storm or two.

The setup from Wednesday into the weekend is a hot one…

A massive heat wave will build eastward into the Ohio Valley. Highs will likely jump deep into the 90s with a shot at 100 in the west. The heat index numbers may hit advisory criteria across the entire region.

This setup is a far cry from the setup we’ve had for the first half of summer. June was a cooler than normal month around here, and the first half of July featured cooler than normal highs and warmer than normal lows…

Obviously, that’s going to change in a hurry with the temps coming this week.

How long will the heat wave last? The models suggest, not very. That northwesterly flow of thunderstorms is delayed from my earlier thinking, but it’s not denied. The models show it coming back late this weekend into next week, with a nice push of cool to boot…

Here’s the GFS expanded through the start of August…

Have a great Monday and take care.

14 Comments

Time posted: 1:50 am

Tracking A Weak Cold Front

  1. Good Sunday, everyone. The weather this weekend has been MUCH better than the week leading up to it, with pleasant temps and low humidity stealing the show. Now comes a weak cold front as we roll into the start of the week ahead. A week that will likely see steamy temps return before storms cut them off at the pass.

Highs today are in the low and middle 80s for many with a mix of sun and clouds. Winds will gust up as our weak front drops into the Ohio Valley from the north. This may fire up a line of strong storms to our north, but a few may get into northern Kentucky before the evening is finished.

Here’s what you need for the day…


Scattered showers and storms will be around into Monday as the front straddles the state. You can see that front on the high temp forecast from the NAM…

Alone and behind the front, temps are 80ish. Ahead of it, readings will spike into the middle 80s.

Steamy air returns for the middle and end of next week with the opportunity to push 90 degrees again. Just like last week, the humidity will be the bigger player, making it feel hotter than it is.

Thunderstorms will then start to crash the party from the northwest by the end of the week. The familiar setup of northwest to southeast moving storms will then try to set up into next weekend and early the following week…

The longer range European Ensembles continue to show no shortage of rainfall through the second half of August…

Have a great Sunday and take care.

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