Author Archives: Chris Bailey

Time posted: 1:56 am

Much Warmer Pattern Kicks In

Good Friday, everyone. We have a much warmer pattern taking shape across the eastern part of the country. This is going to bring an extended run of highs in the 80s to the bluegrass state. As temps warm, we will also watch storm chances begin to increase.

Highs today are back into the 70s with a mix of sun and clouds. There’s enough low level moisture around to keep a small chance for a shower or storm going up…

The same can be said for the weekend, with an isolated shower or thunderstorm going up. Highs will be in the 80-85 degree range and that should be the trend into next week.

Storm chances will be with us at times into next week, especially late Monday into Tuesday, then again by the end of the week. That’s when we have two separate fronts trying to impact our weather.

As all this happens, Jose becomes a hurricane again and may impact the northeastern states. Here’s the latest from the National Hurricane Center…

cone graphic

We’ve been talking about this potential for the past several days, even as some prominent weather sources have gone on record saying this would not impact the US.

While the official track keeps skewing west, several forecast models are a full blown hit. Here’s the Canadian…

The GFS is showing something similar. I’ve got the GFS running through the next 2 weeks. You will see the Jose hit on the northeast, thunderstorm chances around here, another tropical system making a run at the east coast, with a change to cool around here to end the month…

This pattern continues to run in maximum overdrive, so let’s see if we can keep this rolling into winter.

BTW, we will start talking some winter this weekend! 🙂

Make it a great day and take care.

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Time posted: 3:00 am

Irma Gives Way To A Big Warm Up

Good Thursday to one and all. The remnants of Irma will continue to impact the bluegrass state today, but a surge of summer air is about to take center stage. We are heading into an extended run of temps deep into the 80s over the next week or so.

Let’s start with today and roll forward. Gusty showers and isolated storms will be noted, especially across central and eastern parts of the state. This won’t be as widespread as what we had on Wednesday…

Friday’s weather slowly improves with temps climbing back into the 70s for the entire state.

From there, it’s game on for the 80s to return. Highs this weekend will be from 80-85 in many areas as we keep a mix of sun and clouds. Those numbers are above normal…

While things look dry, I can’t rule out isolated afternoon and evening storms going up. The GFS is spitting out some rainfall this weekend…

This warm setup carries us into next week. This is also a time we will watch the east coast to see just how close Jose can get. The new European has the northeast with a super close call…

Make it a great Thursday and take care.

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Time posted: 1:36 am

Gusty Showers Continue

Good Wednesday to one and all. We continue to deal with the remnants of Irma as showers and gusty winds continue across the region. This system slowly moves away by Friday, leaving us with improving skies and warmer temps.

Today is flat out ugly with periods of showers and rumbles of thunder working through the state. Locally heavy rains will be possible, and winds will continue to gust up…


Temps may struggle to get too far away from 60 degrees for much of the day.

Leftover showers and a rumble of thunder will be possible on Thursday, especially across the east. Highs will hit the upper 60s to low 70s.

Friday’s weather looks good with highs general in the 70s.

Much warmer air then moves in for the weekend. Daytime highs should finally be able to crack the 80 degree mark, kicking off a warmer overall look to the pattern. We have an extended streak of highs in the 80s on the way.

Each of the past several months were skewed cool, but featured a week to 10 day stretch of above normal temps. September looks to be no different.

We are still going to watch Jose to see if this thing can make a run at the east coast. The GFS is back to showing this threat…

The Canadian puts a scare in the northeast…

Enjoy your wet Wednesday and take care.

22 Comments

Time posted: 1:57 am

Irma Brings Gusty Rains To Kentucky

Good Tuesday, everyone. Historic Hurricane Irma continues to weaken into a tropical depression, but it’s still packing a rainy punch. Showers continue to increase across the bluegrass state, with gusty showers and storms hanging around for a few more days.

Today’s heaviest rainfall comes early on, with some local 1″ amounts possible by evening. Winds will also be gusty and could reach 30mph at times this morning, especially in the south.

By the afternoon, we will likely see some breaks in the clouds, but a few showers and storms will continue. This is NOT going to be an all day rain event.

Track away…


The actual remnant low from Irma will likely work east into Kentucky late Wednesday into Wednesday night. You can actually pick this up very well by looking just a littler upstairs…

That will spawn some pretty good rainers during this time and these will be slow-movers. Temps may struggle to get much past the 60 degree mark, making for a very nasty day.

Scattered showers and storms will then continue into Thursday, with some locally heavy downpours.

Our weekend turns warmer as temps finally push back toward the 80 degree mark. This pattern is trying to skew a little warmer over the next week and change.

We are still going to have to keep a close eye on Jose out in the Atlantic. This will do a loop and could make a run at the east coast this weekend or early next week. The current trend on the models is to keep turn this back out to sea…

Still plenty of time to watch Jose and see what happens.

Have a great Tuesday and take care.

18 Comments

Time posted: 12:22 pm

Rain From Irma Works Into Kentucky

Good afternoon, gang. The rain from Irma is moving into southeastern Kentucky and will overspread the state this evening and overnight. As what’s left of the center of circulation gets closer, winds will also become very gusty during this time.

Those winds may top 35mph at times in some areas later tonight…

The rain tonight and early Tuesday should be heavy at times and we will need to watch for pockets of high water issues developing. The models disagree on the exact placement of the heaviest rains during this time, but both show a general 1″-2″ for central Kentucky…

NAM

GFS

The threat for showers will continue through Wednesday and Thursday as the Irma remnant low, moves eastward across the state…

That’s a slow-moving look that can overachieve in terms of rainfall.

Temps continue to run much cooler than normal, as we are experiencing an amazingly cool September.

Here are your radars to track the tropical rains…


A

I will have an update on the rain potential on WKYT-TV starting at 4.

Enjoy the rest of your day and take care.

10 Comments