Author Archives: Chris Bailey

Time posted: 1:53 am

More Storms On The Move

Good Wednesday to one and all. Rounds of showers and storms have been dumping torrential rains across the region for past several days. We have one more day of boomers, before a little bit of a break moves in for the rest of the week into the start of the weekend.

Scattered storms will be out there again today and could bring more heavy rains for some. A line of showers and storms may develop this evening and drop in from the north. That line may bring some high winds and hail to areas of central and eastern Kentucky.

The Storm Prediction Center continues with a low-end risk for severe weather…

A little better air moves in for Thursday as we push the storms to our south. Highs will reach the low 80s across the eastern half of the state, but hang around 90 in the far west…

That better feeling air will hang around into early Friday, with some upper 50s showing up…

Temps by Friday will begin to heat up with low 90s across the west and mid and upper 80s east. Most areas should hit 90 this weekend, with the west being the hottest across the state. Many of the forecast models continue to run way too hot in general, but that’s especially the case given the wet ground we have. Sill, it’s a toasty weekend.

The threat for a storm or two will sneak back in on Sunday, with storm chances going back up through next week. A couple of cold fronts look to drop in from the northwest, and there may even be some tropical moisture trying  to work our way from the Gulf of Mexico. Here’s the GFS for next week…

The Canadian has a similar thought process…

As usual, I have you all set to track today’s additional rounds of showers and storms…

Current watches
Current Watches

Possible watch areas
Current MDs

Make it a great day and take care.

8 Comments

Time posted: 2:08 am

Another Day With Rounds of Storms

Good Tuesday to one and all. Rounds of showers and thunderstorms continue to rumble across the Commonwealth, bringing the potential for local flash flooding. Many areas have already been soaked over the past few days, and more torrential rains may fall today.

The storms come at us in clusters from northwest to southeast. Obviously, there will be several dry hours between the storm rounds. Still, when it does rain, it’s going to come down in a hurry. The concern continues to be for repeat storm action over some of the same areas that have picked up heavy rains in recent days. Those are the places to watch for some high water issues developing.

Just like the past few days, a few of these storms may also be strong or severe. Here’s today’s outlook from the Storm Prediction Center…

Storms will also be around into Wednesday, with a few strong storms possible…

The action scales back some by Thursday and Friday as the heat makes a run at us from the west. Areas of western Kentucky may be deep into the 90s, with cooler numbers in the east…

Those hot temps may surge east into the weekend, but some thunderstorms will try to beat those numbers back to the west and southwest. Those storms should be followed by a cold front with more storms and cooler air early next week…

Here are your Tuesday storm tracking tools…

Current watches
Current Watches

Possible watch areas
Current MDs

Make it a terrific Tuesday and take care.

3 Comments

Time posted: 12:04 pm

Monday Afternoon Update

Good afternoon, everyone. I wanted to drop by for a quick update on the rounds of storms moving across the region. Nothing has changed with my thought process, as the flash flood potential is elevated over the next few days.

In the near-term, the short range model known as the RAP is developing targeting areas of central and eastern Kentucky for some big rains through tonight…

Keep in mind that models can vary greatly with rainfall placements and totals. Exact placement of thunderstorms is a tall task, but it’s the trend to look for.

Even on the larger scale models, we are seeing some very hefty totals. The NAM over the next 3 days as some wild numbers…

Just be on guard for the potential for flash flooding from any storm that targets the region.

A few of the storms may also be strong or locally severe. Here’s the latest from the Storm Prediction Center…

Tuesday…

I will have the latest on WKYT-TV starting at 4pm. In the meantime, let’s do some tracking…

Current watches
Current Watches

Possible watch areas
Current MDs

Have a great rest of your day and take care.

3 Comments

Time posted: 2:03 am

Strong Storms and Flash Flooding Possible

Good Monday, everyone. Rounds of showers and thunderstorms continue continue to roll across the bluegrass state, bringing the increased threat for flash flooding. These storms may also produce local high winds and hail. It’s a stormy pattern that’s locked in for the foreseeable future.

Storms come at us in waves from northwest to southeast this week. Give the potential for repeat action over the same areas, the flash flood potential is elevated. The exact track of each storm complex will determine who has the best threat for high water issues to develop. Here’s my initial look at who has the best shot at flash flooding…

In addition to the high water risk, some of the storms may be strong or severe. Wind damage will be the primary severe threat to watch for. Here’s today’s Severe Weather Outlook from the Storm Prediction Center…

A similar look may be with us on Tuesday…

The blog is all set to track today’s storms…

Current watches
Current Watches

Possible watch areas
Current MDs

Have a great Monday and take care.

2 Comments

Time posted: 1:38 pm

Watching The Flash Flood Potential

Good afternoon, everyone. I wanted to drop by for an update to increase the awareness about the potential for flash flooding issues to develop over the next few days. Rounds of thunderstorms will continue to move across our region, and these will be loaded with torrential rains.

I’ve talked about this pattern for a while now, so it shouldn’t come as a surprise. That said, some of the numbers on the forecast models are a little concerning.

The new Hi Res NAM  is showing several inches falling across central and eastern Kentucky through Tuesday. The max rainfall number on this run is 8.3″…

The Hi Res RPM model has similar totals showing up across the Ohio Valley into central and eastern Kentucky…

These storms are coming in waves and are NOT “pop up storms” as described by one local NWS office. SMH.

Watch the flash flood threat over the next few days. In addition to the flash flood potential, some of the storms may be strong or locally severe. Here’s the outlook from the SPC for the rest of today…

Here’s the Severe Weather Outlook for Monday…

I have you all set to track today’s rounds of storms rolling in from the northwest…

Current watches
Current Watches

Possible watch areas
Current MDs

Enjoy the rest of your Sunday and take care.

2 Comments