Author Archives: Chris Bailey
Time posted: 2:35 am
Good Sunday, everyone. We have been in a very wet pattern for the past week and change and this soggy setup shows no signs of letting up. As a matter of fact, as thunderstorms join the mix, the flood threat actually increases for the week ahead and beyond.
Our Sunday looks mainly dry with a mix of sun and clouds and temps on the increase. Highs will be near 50 in the far north, to around 60 in the far south and west.
Clouds increase quickly tonight, with some showers and thunderstorms rumbling through…
Temps rise all night long as a strong southwesterly wind kicks in. Highs on Monday make a run at 70 degrees and hit deep into the upper 70s and low 80s on Tuesday. Record highs and all time February record highs are a possibility. #teamspring
In recent weeks, I’ve been hitting the flood setup VERY hard, trying to get everyone aware of this super soaker of a setup. I put this map out more than a week ago…
My updated version of that keeps Kentucky in the bullseye, but expands that southwest into the lower Mississippi River Valley…
Waves of showers and thunderstorms will target Kentucky during this time, especially during the second half of next week. This can lead to all modes of flooding in our region. Our rivers are going to be especially vulnerable to flooding as we go through the next few weeks and into the spring.
I will have updates later today, so check back. Make it a good one and take care.
Time posted: 7:36 pm
Good Saturday evening, gang. Our round of heavy snow and heavy rain is wrapping up from west to east, but the active setup remains. Spring temps are ready to surge in, bringing the potential for rounds of showers and thunderstorms that can cause additional flooding woes.
Let me start with a direct and to the point rant. The National Weather Service offices around here need to really work on this whole Winter Weather Advisory thing. It’s been really bad this winter and today was just flat out terrible. Forecasters have got to be able to adjust accordingly as an event is unfolding.
I know that statement means the same band of tired trolls will gather on twitter and throw darts at me, but I simply don’t care. 🙂
The other aspect of today’s system is the flooding. Areas of southeastern Kentucky have picked up 1″-2″ of rain today, with high water a possibility through the evening…
Things improve quickly for Sunday, but that’s not going to last very long. Showers and storms move back in Sunday night into early Monday, as southwesterly winds howl. This will bring 70 degree temps to town on Monday, with a chance to flirt with 80 on Tuesday..
Rounds of rain and thunderstorms will target the state next week into the following weekend. Some strong to severe storms are possible, but the heavy rain and flood threat continues to take center stage.
This is a very bad look from the European Model…
That’s a ton of water targeting our region over the next week and change. All modes of flooding are possible during this time. This is one of the highest river flood threats we have had in a long while.
I will have a full update later tonight. Make it a good one and take care.
Time posted: 1:00 pm
Good afternoon everyone. As usual, the winter weather fence is setting up across Kentucky, with snow in the north and heavy rain in the south. Sandwiched in between is a combo of the two, with some sleet thrown in for good measure.
Areas north of Interstate 64 will continue to see mainly snow throughout the afternoon and have the greatest risk of picking up on several inches of slushy accumulations. Here’s a rough look at what may wind up happening…
Those lines are NOT set in stone, especially when dealing with such a fine line in rain verses snow.Temps in the north are near freezing and the snow rates are overcoming the warm and wet ground. It may also snow fast enough to cover roads.
Farther south and southeast, it’s all about the heavy rain and flooding potential. A good 1″-2″ of rain may fall, leading to high water issues developing.
The blog is all set to do some tracking…
Hamburg Area from WKYT Studio
Fifth Third Pavilion Live Cam
I-75 @ Newtown Pike
US 60 @ US 127
I-275 approaching KY 20/Airport
I-71/I-75 at Buttermilk Pike
I-64 at KY-801
Mountain Parkway near Slade
I will have updates as needed, so check back. Make it a good one and take care.
Time posted: 1:49 am
Good Saturday, everybody. Another storm system is working across the state. bringing the potential for additional high water issues and some winter weather. This continues to be part of a very active setup that will throw a lot more rain our way over the next few weeks.
A Flood Watch is out across southeastern Kentucky, where a general inch or two of rain may fall. This can cause additional high water issues to develop through the evening hours. Here are your trackers…
The northern edge of the rain shield has a chance to be in frozen form, with some slushy wet snows showing up. The best chance will be for areas north of Interstate 64…
Temps are marginal for snow to fall, let alone stick, but we will have to watch the snow rates… If it does snow.
This system zips through here quickly, leaving us alone by the middle of the evening. That sets the stage for much better weather moving in on Sunday. A mix of sun and clouds will boost temps deep into the 50s.
As even warmer air surges in Sunday night and early Monday, a few showers and thunderstorms will work across Kentucky…
That introduces a VERY warm setup for the first half of next week. Daytime highs can easily reach the 70s on more than one occasion. I wouldn’t be shocked to see an 80 degree day. It will also bring rounds of showers and thunderstorms our way from southwest to northeast across the region.
High water issues are very possible into next week, with the initial threat area being across the western half of the state, the focusing farther east later in the week.
I will have updates later today, so check back. Make it a great Saturday and take care.
Time posted: 7:41 pm
Good evening, everyone. We are putting the wraps on an incredibly wet day, with local 1″-2″ rains along and north of Interstate 64. Another big rain event moves in on Saturday, targeting the southeastern part of the state. This system also has a chance to produce some winter weather in the north.
A Flood Watch has been issued across southeastern Kentucky for Saturday…
High water issues are a good possibility in these areas, so please keep a close eye on water levels. The GFS seems to have a good handle on the potential for 1″-2″ of rain…
What about the threat for some slushy snow in the north and northeast? That’s still a possibility, but I’m still not terribly impressed with the potential.
The GFS has nothing sticking…
The NAM family decided to go back toward a heavy wet snowfall…
The European Model is a cross between the GFS and the NAM, with some slush potential in the northeast…
I’ll take the Euro for a thousand, Alex. 🙂 #teamspring
I have no changes on the pattern for next week… Warm, windy and stormy, with a high water threat.
Enjoy the evening and take care.