Author Archives: Chris Bailey

Time posted: 12:22 pm

Rain From Irma Works Into Kentucky

Good afternoon, gang. The rain from Irma is moving into southeastern Kentucky and will overspread the state this evening and overnight. As what’s left of the center of circulation gets closer, winds will also become very gusty during this time.

Those winds may top 35mph at times in some areas later tonight…

The rain tonight and early Tuesday should be heavy at times and we will need to watch for pockets of high water issues developing. The models disagree on the exact placement of the heaviest rains during this time, but both show a general 1″-2″ for central Kentucky…

NAM

GFS

The threat for showers will continue through Wednesday and Thursday as the Irma remnant low, moves eastward across the state…

That’s a slow-moving look that can overachieve in terms of rainfall.

Temps continue to run much cooler than normal, as we are experiencing an amazingly cool September.

Here are your radars to track the tropical rains…


A

I will have an update on the rain potential on WKYT-TV starting at 4.

Enjoy the rest of your day and take care.

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Time posted: 12:48 am

Rains From Irma Roll Our Way

Good Monday, everyone. Historic Irma continues to slowly weaken, but will still pack tropical storm force winds into much of the southeastern United States. As the remnants inch closer to us, rain overspreads the region later today into early Tuesday.

You don’t need me to recap everything from Irma. It’s been a devastating storm for much of Florida and may produce wind damage all the way through Georgia, Alabama into Tennessee.

The latest on the storm…

cone graphic

You can see how the  remnant low works into Kentucky by late Wednesday and Thursday. The models are tracking that well…

We will need to watch that system to see if it produces some slow-moving showers and storms that can cause local high water. The rains will be tropical in nature, so it’s possible.

Speaking of tropical rains, those arrive in here from southeast to northwest this evening into tonight. Heavy rain amounts of 1″-2″ will be possible in a few areas. Winds will also be very gusty and could reach 35mph in higher gusts late tonight and Tuesday.

Track the tropical drops…


After we get through Irma, our attention turns toward Jose and a potential east coast threat this coming weekend or early the following week.

Amazing times we are living in.

I will update as needed today, so check back. Make it a great Monday and take care.

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Time posted: 1:00 am

Tracking Hurricane Irma

Good Sunday, everyone. Hurricane Irma is slamming the state of Florida today, and should cause devastation from south to north. The greatest emphasis of this storm will be across The Gulf Coast side of the sunshine state.

Before I get you all the tracking tools you need on Irma, a few thoughts:

  • The remnants of Irma will work into the region by Tuesday and hang around for a few days.
  • Rounds of showers and thunderstorms begin Monday night and should carry us through the rest of the week.
  • Heavy rains will be possible, but this shouldn’t produce nearly as max totals as Harvey did here. Still, we will need to be on guard for some local high water issues.
  • Winds will be rather gusty and may reach 40mph at times on Tuesday, especially across the southern parts of the state.
  • Hurricane Jose looks to patiently wait behind Irma and may threaten the east coast next weekend.

I’m starting the tracking tools with the interactive radar. Take control of it as you please, and you can even pull up live storm cam feeds from south Florida as Irma comes ashore…

 

Hurricane Infrared GOES East

cone graphic

time of arrival graphic

Make it a great day and take care.

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Time posted: 1:33 am

Watching Powerful Hurricane Irma

Good Saturday, everyone. Hurricane Irma continues to be the center of the weather world and for good reason. This storm is slowly working toward Florida and will be causing destruction from south to north. By early next week, Irma will throw rain and wind into Kentucky.

The storm is likely losing some early day steam along the shoreline of Cuba. As it starts to turn north, it goes over the super warm waters of the Straits of Florida, strengthening along the way. Here’s a look at where the storm is now…

Hurricane Infrared GOES East

The forecast track from the National Hurricane Center continues to slowly ease this thing toward the Gulf side of the state. This is a devastating path for areas like Naples, Fort Meyers and possibly Tampa. But, the storm is so huge, the entire peninsula of Florida may experience hurricane force winds…

cone graphic

This run of the NAM shows how devastating the hit will be, and how the first rain bands arrive in Kentucky late Monday…

That shows some pretty heavy rains in Kentucky Monday night. Here are the totals by Tuesday morning…

The GFS run has a similar track and shows the lingering rains from a decaying Irma in our region…

Here’s the rainfall map from that run…

I’ll get you another update on late today. Make it a good one and take care.

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Time posted: 7:40 pm

Friday Evening Update On Irma

Good Friday, folks. Hurricane Irma continues to target Florida for a devastating hit and the remnants will likely blow into Kentucky early next week.

Irma continues to push westward as a strong Cat 4 hurricane and may brush Cuba before turning due north. The NHC is now doing what I suspected and forecasting Irma to become a Cat 5 again before moving into south Florida…

Hurricane Infrared GOES East

The forecast track from the National Hurricane Center is a worst case scenario for Florida and brings this thing toward Kentucky…

cone graphic

This is a devastating track for much of the Florida Peninsula, and that’s likely an understatement.

The latest models continue to bring rain and wind from Irma all the way into Kentucky. The NAM shows the first bands arriving late Monday…

The GFS is similar and shows the lingering low…

 

I’ll see you tonight with another update. Take care.

 

 

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