Author Archives: Chris Bailey

Time posted: 10:26 am

Rounds Of Storms Continue

Good Friday to one and all. Stop me if you’ve heard this one before… It’s another day of tracking showers and thunderstorms across the bluegrass state. That’s been the theme of the week, with these boomers putting down enough rain to cause flash flood issues. Today should be no different.

We will actually need to be on guard for an increase to the flash flood threat as low pressure works in from the southwest. That will combine with an influx of Gulf moisture to give the atmosphere an extra kick in the pants, leading to the potential for even heavier rains.

Given how much rain some areas have already seen this week, the flash flood threat is elevated today…

 

The weekend looks to bring more of the same, with another low scooting our way by later Sunday and Monday. Ahead of this, scattered storms will be around on Saturday, especially in the east. Warm and muggy air really ramps back up with temps surging deep into the 80s again by the first half of next week.

Some of the storms could be strong for Saturday and Sunday, with the rounds of boomers sticking around through next week. Check out this one week animation from the GFS…

You can also see some kind of tropical system developing near Florida next weekend. The models have been suggesting this for a long time now. The pattern actually favors something there.

Regardless, for us, it’s a lot of rain over the next week…

Remember, those numbers really don’t take into consideration totals you can get from individual thunderstorms.

Have a great Friday and take care.

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Time posted: 1:50 am

Flash Flood Threat Continues

Good Thursday, folks. It’s another day of showers and storms blowing up across the bluegrass state. This action continues to come at us in waves, keeping the local high water threat going. This threat increases just a bit as some Gulf of Mexico moisture gets in the mix.

There really isn’t much more I can add to what’s already been said on here for the past week. This setup has been well advertised, so just be aware of the cloudburst potential and the local high water threat.

Here are your Thursday tracking tools…

 

I’m a little more concerned about the heavy rain threat going into Friday. That’s when a disturbances works into the region, giving the atmosphere a little extra lift. The end result would be more showers and storms. A few more rounds of showers and storms then show up for the weekend…

The models are spitting out some general 1″-3″ rains, but really don’t take into account local amounts from thunderstorms…

The stormy setup is likely to continue into next week. Watch how the total rain numbers continue to climb…

Again, this is a setup primed to deliver additional flash flooding issues to our part of the world.

Have a great Thursday and take care.

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Time posted: 2:05 am

Tracking Some Mid May Boomers

Good Wednesday to one and all. Scattered showers and thunderstorms continue to rumble across the bluegrass state, bringing the potential for heavy rains. These storms are coming at us in rounds, with several dry, steamy hours in between.

Temps for the rest of the week will be held in check, with many areas staying in the 70s and low 80s for highs. If you can manage to squeeze in a day where the sun is more prominent, readings can hit the low and middle 80s. That said, full sun isn’t going to be that abundant in the coming days.

As mentioned, the showers and storms will come at us in waves for the rest of the week as we get some tropical moisture from the Gulf…

Heavy rain is the primary threat from the storms, with the continued threat for local flash flooding issues.

As we take a look into next week, we find the active pattern rolling on…

Here are your middle of the week tracking tools…

 

Have a wonderful Wednesday and take care.

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Time posted: 2:25 am

Storms Rolling Into The Bluegrass State

Good Tuesday, folks. Our steamy days are about to turn into stormy days as we slip into a very active pattern. This pattern will feature rounds of showers and storms this week, with the potential to get a little Gulf of Mexico tropical moisture into the mix.

Highs today will be a little cooler than the past few days, but the muggy factor is on the increase. Afternoon showers and storms will increase, with the potential for a line of storms to drop in from the north late today. Here’s the latest Severe Weather Outlook from the Storm Prediction Center…

I will have your tracking tools in a bit.

Rounds of showers and storms will continue to come at us for the rest of the week and those may have a tropical influence. We continue to watch a system down in the Gulf…

Watch how the GFS keeps the rounds of storms coming at us…

Locally heavy rains are possible, with some ‘cloudbursts’ possible. It’s not going to rain all the time, though, and it may not rain every day at your house, but you get the idea.

My concern is that this wet pattern is locking in for the early part of summer, at least. Look at the super wet setup on the European Ensembles for the next 6 weeks…

That’s a lot of rain and should make it difficult to get sustained heat.

Let’s get back to the storm threat out there today. I have you guys all set to do a little Tuesday storm tracking…

 

Make it a terrific Tuesday and take care.

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Time posted: 1:46 am

A Stormy Setup Develops

Good Monday, everybody. Steamy temps and record highs are about to give way to a stormy setup across the Commonwealth. This will bring rounds of showers and storms our way this week, with that pattern likely sticking around a while.

As we begin the week, it’s the temps continuing to steal the show. Highs today range from the upper 80s to low 90s, perhaps breaking records in some areas. You will also notice an increase in humidity levels, making it feel a little hotter than it is.

A few storms may also develop today, mainly in the north…

The storm threat will increase starting Tuesday and will take us through the rest of the week. The Hi Res NAM has a pretty good line of storms dropping in here late Tuesday…

A front stalls across the Ohio Valley, with moisture streaming in from the Gulf of Mexico. Remember the potential early season tropical the development I’ve been talking about the past week or so? Well, well, well…

The European Model brings that system toward the Florida Panhandle by late Tuesday, with a steam of moisture into our region…

Can that become a classified system? That’s certainly a possibility. From there, the European takes the low into eastern Kentucky later this week..

Some heavy rains are likely in that type a setup.

It’s a setup that should continue through next week, too. The rainfall forecast through then shows a very active pattern, with the tropical connection…

That overall precipitation pattern matches up well with the long range European that goes toward the end of June. Check out the expansive area of above normal rains…

That’s going to be pretty hard to get any kind of sustained heat with that much water falling and in the ground.

Here are your radars to track any storm that pops today…

Make it a good one and take care.

6 Comments