Time posted: 2:13 am

Watching A Late Week/Weekend System

Good Wednesday, everyone. Clouds are hanging tough across the region today as we turn our attention toward our next system showing up at the end of the week. This one has quite a bit of rain with it and this has a chance to end with some winter weather on Saturday. Beyond that, the pattern may throw a couple more systems our way over the Thanksgiving holiday period.

Low clouds may be pretty darn stubborn out there today. If that is the case, temps may not get out of the 40s where you live. If we can get some sun, readings reach the 50s.

Our next system begins to impact the region on Thursday as a few showers push in from the west and southwest. Temps can spike to 60 or so before the scattered showers arrive. From there, rain increases Thursday night into Friday as temps come back down.

That’s when the next low works into our region by Saturday, bringing more rain and the potential for a touch of winter weather late in the day. The track of the low on the Euro is just a little farther north than the last run, bringing just a chance for some flakes by Saturday evening…

The GFS has a similar theme, but this model is really a disjointed disaster with each run…

It’s also fun to watch the setup for early Thanksgiving week. It’s opposite day for the GFS and European Models because they’ve traded places with how they’re handling the setup.

The GFS is the most wound up and farther west with a monster of a storm…

The European is more progressive and farther east…

Once again, the truth is likely somewhere in the middle of those, but that run of the Euro matches what the JMA has been saying all along.

I will have your daily dose of updates later on so check back. Have a good one and take care.

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Time posted: 8:00 pm

Tuesday Evening Look Ahead

Good evening, folks. Chilly showers continue to work across central and eastern Kentucky with a lot more action to follow. I’m really trying to drive home how the fact of just how active this pattern is in the coming weeks. It’s one to bring quite a bit of action our way, including the potential for some winter weather.

Let’s begin with tracking the showers out there this evening…

As far as the late week and weekend system is concerned, the European Model has corrected itself to a much farther south and east with the track of the Friday night/Saturday low. That brings the rain/snow line into Kentucky later Saturday…

As I’ve been telling you, this is our first ‘all about the track of the low’ system. We shall see.

The GFS continues to throw out a totally different solution with each run of the model…

Bless it.

As we look into the storm for early next week, we are already seeing the European slowly correcting east…

So is the GFS…

That could be a large and disruptive storm to kick off the busy Thanksgiving travel period!

I want to share a very cool animation of the Euro Ensembles for late November into early December. Check out the block across Greenland and northeastern Canada and how consistent it is, allowing lower heights to dance around it across the northern hemisphere…

That’s pretty awesome to see and notice how those troughs seem to be circling the globe in perfect unison… Kinda like a carousel.

Enjoy the evening and take care.

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Time posted: 12:20 pm

Tuesday Afternoon Update

Good afternoon, gang. Our clipper is pushing into the area, bringing a round of chilly showers with it. By now you know this is kicking off a very active pattern that’s loaded with storm systems. The next one is aimed at us later this week into the start of the weekend. That one brings a lot of rain and the potential for winter weather.

Let’s start with what’s going on today and roll forward. Showers will become fairly widespread across central and eastern Kentucky. Here are your radars…

I have no real changes to my thoughts on the late week and early weekend system. The models continue to figure out the whole evolution of this dual system. Here’s the GFS…

The Canadian

As far as the Thanksgiving Week systems are concerned, the GFS sees the two storms and really wraps up the first one far to the west…

As if things weren’t active enough, we have a rogue tropical storm in the Atlantic. Say hello to Sebastien…

cone graphic

That shouldn’t have a big impact on the overall pattern, but I still don’t like seeing that this late in the season.

I will have another update on KWC coming this evening and I’ll have the latest on WKYT-TV starting at 4pm. Until then, make it a good one and take care.

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