Time posted: 1:44 am

Rounds Of Rain Then A Little Flake Action

Good Friday, folks. It’s a windy and wet day as low pressure works right on top of the region. As this low weakens and another low strengthens to our east, colder air comes into play tonight and Saturday. That will lead us to some snow showers and even a few periods of light snow.

Let’s begin with today’s rain. It’s heavy this morning across central and eastern Kentucky, but more showery across the west…

Temps in the east may spike into the low 50s for a time today as the west chills into the upper 30s later in the afternoon.

After a small break in the precipitation this afternoon and early evening, more showers quickly return. Later tonight, it gets cold enough for a few rain and snow showers. That’s a trend taking us into Saturday, but we will be watching for a band of light snow to sweep across the northern half of the state by evening. Some very light accumulations will be possible through Sunday, but this really isn’t a big deal.

Hi Res NAM

NAM

It’s been amazing to watch the GFS totally miss the snowstorm to our west and northwest.

There’s another system working across the state with a quick hitting band of rain and some snow Sunday night into Monday…

I will have updates later today, so check back. Make it a  great Friday and take care.

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Time posted: 7:38 pm

Thursday Evening Thoughts

Good evening, folks. Rounds of heavy rain rolling through the region and this will continue through Friday. As the heavier rains wind down, temps start to drop and this will lead to the chance for wraparound snows into the weekend. This is part of a setup that’s very active over the next few weeks.

First off, let’s track the rain train…

Rain totals of 1″-2″ may show up across parts of central Kentucky.

The snow potential isn’t anything that’s crazy, but some slushy accumulations will be possible Saturday into Sunday. We may have to watch for a better shot at some steady snows across areas of northern Kentucky late Saturday and Saturday night. If that’s the case, it would up the ante for accumulating stuff.

Let’s check on the models. The Hi Res NAM snow map only goes through 1am Sunday…

Here’s the NAM through Sunday evening…

The EURO is hitting the northern Kentucky area a little better with the snow chance…

If we look down the road for the next few weeks, we do find a stormy looking setup with numerous systems rolling across the region. This stormy pattern means we are probably on the precipitation fence, but the Ensembles continue to point toward a colder setup…

The EURO Ensembles like the snow chances over the next few week…

The GFS Ensembles are much more enthusiastic…

As always, we shall see, but Mother Nature has to balance things out at some point. Maybe. Possibly. Right? 🙂

Have a good one and take care.

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Time posted: 12:14 pm

Updating The Messy System Rolling In

Good afternoon, everyone. We continue to deal rain on the increase and this rain looks to become heavy at times through Friday. This comes as one low weakens over our region, allowing for another to develop to our east. That means some wraparound light snows wrapping in behind all this over the weekend.

The setup remains the same, but here’s a little breakdown:

  • Rain continues to increase this afternoon and evening from the west and southwest.
  • As the first low wraps up on top of us Friday, a corridor of heavy rain is likely to develop across areas of central and eastern Kentucky. A quick 1″-2″ of rain is likely with this.
  • Wraparound light snows will be possible from late Friday night through Saturday morning.
  • With temps around the freezing mark, whatever snow you get would be on the wet and slushy side. Some light accumulations will be possible for some.

The NAM continues to illustrate what I’m talking about…

Here’s the corridor of heavy rains…

The snow map from that same run…

The Hi Res NAM…

The Canadian looks similar and then brings another sneaky little system in here for Monday…

The GFS continues to be a lone wolf model with the entire setup. Soooooo.

This kicks off a very active southern storm track that will likely put us on the fence over the next few weeks. For winter lovers, that’s at least some progress from where we’ve been! 🙂

I will have the latest on WKYT-TV starting at 4pm then again on KWC this evening. Until then, let’s do some tracking…

Enjoy the day and take care.

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