Time posted: 1:50 am

A Damp Monday Starts Thanksgiving Week

Good Monday, everybody. Thanksgiving week is here and it’s starting out on kind of a damp and dreary note across our part of the world. Better weather does roll in as we start the long holiday weekend, but another wet weather maker moves in to end it. That will be followed by more of a winter look for the final week of November.

It’s not a constant rain falling today, but you don’t want to be too far away from the umbrellas. Track away…

Highs today are mainly in the 40s as a seasonally cold air mass blows in behind our front. Northwesterly  winds will really gust up tonight into Tuesday as temps continue to fall. Highs are generally in the 30s.  That same northwest wind will have some moisture with it  and that means we will be on guard for snow flurries or a couple of snow showers.

The flakes are showing up on the various models…

HI Res NAM

GFS

Seasonally chilly temps and dry weather is in store for the big travel day Wednesday into Thanksgiving Day.

Our Black Friday starts dry but ends with rain on the increase. That rainy action is ahead of another storm system and will stay with us into Saturday…

The pattern after that system continues to trend strongly toward a winter look for the final week of the month. There is a good chance for a fairly robust storm system during this time, but we are a ways away from knowing exactly what that means for our weather. The models are impressed with this possibility…

As I was saying in updates last week, the pattern for the end of the month into December has the look of throwing additional early season winter storms our way.

Updates later today. Until then, enjoy your Monday and take care.

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Time posted: 4:52 pm

Thoughts To Wrap Up The Weekend

Good evening, folks. Clouds continue to thicken as a cold front rolls into the region from the northwest. This brings rain to kick off the Thanksgiving week, with a few flakes likely to fly right behind this front. This continues to be part of an overall pattern that is STRONGLY skewing colder.

I have a lot to talk about, so let’s get busy!

A shower or two will try to show up this evening in the north and west. Here’s your regional radar to find the drops…

A chilly rain then moves in overnight and Monday as our front enters the state. Monday just looks like a damp and dreary day across our region.

Colder northwest winds then kick in behind this for Tuesday. Northwesterly winds in the wintertime tend to produce clouds and light precipitation across our region. That light precipitation may very well be in the form of flurries and light snow showers.

The models are even trying to spit out a rooftop coating in a few spots…

Hi Res NAM

GFS

Highs on Tuesday stay in the 30s, but a wind chill may stay in the 20s for many.

Wednesday looks good for travelers as temps bounce back into the upper 40s to low 50s. A big blast of arctic air heads toward the northeastern part of the country late Wednesday into Thanksgiving Day. This will make for an absolutely frigid Macy’s Thanksgiving Day Parade in NYC. For us, we get a glancing blow of the cold.

Highs on Thanksgiving Day may struggle to 40 in the northeastern Ky to the 50s west…

Temps look cold for Black Friday shoppers hitting the stores late on Thanksgiving evening. Readings may be in the upper 20s and low 30s by this time…

Clouds will quickly increase on Friday as rain rolls in late in the day. That’s from a storm system moving in, bringing another soaker into Saturday…

The nest system coming behind that later Monday and Tuesday is likely to unleash more winter weather behind it…

It’s a loaded winter pattern for the end of November into December. Buckle up, kiddos.

Enjoy the rest of your day and take care.

7 Comments

Time posted: 2:04 am

Changes Into Thanksgiving Week

Good Sunday, folks. Our cold front moving toward the Commonwealth has slowed down just enough to give many of us a dry Sunday. The slow movement means a wetter start to the upcoming Thanksgiving week. It’s a week that may start and end with rain, but travel day and Turkey Day still look dry.

Beyond Turkey Day, Old Man Winter looks ready to pounce again.

Before we get to all that, let’s talk about just how cold this November has been to date. The average temperatures are deep in the below normal range across Kentucky and much of the country…

If we just focus on daytime highs, those numbers go even lower…

Overnight lows have balanced out the force as the increased moisture content in the atmosphere keeps lows from dropping nearly as much against the normal. Still, the cold for the first half of November has been impressive!

Ok, let’s focus on what happens next.

Clouds will thicken today with a small shot at a late day shower in the north and west. Highs are generally in the 50s.

Rain arrives tonight into Monday as a cold front drops in from the northwest. This isn’t a lot of rain, but some of us may see better than a quarter of an inch…

Temps on Monday come way down compared to today, with highs mainly in the chilly 40s. Northwesterly winds behind that system may spit out a cold shower on Tuesday, with small flake chance in the north and east.

 

Wednesday and Thanksgiving Day look good for holiday travelers with seasonally chilly temps and dry skies.

A storm system moves in late on Black Friday and continues into Saturday. That’s a rain maker for our region, but it’s the system coming behind that that tries to take on more of a winter look early the following week. Watch the two systems on the Canadian…

That’s a good looking early season winter pattern kicking off in the last days of November into early December.

I will have another update later today. Until then, have a great Sunday and take care.

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Time posted: 6:47 pm

Saturday Evening Update

Good evening, folks. We are rolling through  a fairly nice weekend, but another cold front is ready to crash the party by Sunday night and Monday. From there, we head into Thanksgiving week with some pretty nice weather for travel day and turkey day. Past that, the pattern threatens to take a walk on the wild side.

Clouds will increase  Sunday as temps stay very nice with most in the 50s. A late day shower will be noted in the north and west, with an increase in rain Sunday night and Monday. That’s when our weak front passes through here with seasonal brand of cold behind it.

A northwesterly flow on Tuesday may spit out a few showers, with even a flake possibly showing up…

 

As mentioned, Wednesday and Thanksgiving look pretty darn nice with a seasonal chill in the air and dry conditions.

By the time we roll into Black Friday and into Saturday, a quick hitting storm system is likely to throw rain our way. That will be followed by another system coming in behind it that can unleash much more of a winter look…

If you’re a regular reader, you know I’ve been pointing toward the last week of November into early December for winter to make a big return. As blocking goes up in the areas we look for to produce winter weather, the same active pattern from the year shows no signs of letting up. Watch the potent storm systems crossing the country…

That’s a look that can produce another early season winter storm or two around these parts.

I will get more into that later tonight. Until then, enjoy the evening and take care.

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Time posted: 2:25 am

Looking Toward Thanksgiving Week

Good Saturday, everyone.  Thanksgiving week is just about upon us and the overall wintry pattern is taking a bit of a break. That doesn’t mean we break out into a much milder setup, but it won’t be anything like that past few weeks. Looking past Thanksgiving, Old Man Winter is likely to crash back in here to close out November and usher in December.

Today is a mostly  cloudy day in the north and that keeps temps in the low and mid 40s. Farther south, the numbers will head deep into the 50s.

A weak area of low pressure works into the Ohio Valley later Sunday and Monday. That will bring some late day showers to the north and west, with the bulk of the rain arriving Sunday night into Monday. This could be followed by a northwesterly flow by Monday night into early Tuesday. The Nam even suggests a rain or snow shower…

The European has a similar look for Tuesday…

Things continue to look dry for the busy travel period on Wednesday, even with another surge of cold giving us a glancing blow by Thanksgiving. Check out this deep trough just to our northeast…

Thanksgiving looks seasonally chilly, but dry.

The pattern turns rather convoluted across the country as we get into the rest of the holiday weekend. Several different systems will be working across the country, each of them just itching to amplify the pattern once again. The first system may throw rain our way as early as Friday or Saturday…

Another system tries to follow that up a few days later as our winter pattern begins to return…

I will throw you another update later today. Have a good one and take care.

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