Time posted: 1:59 am

Severe Threat Starts The Week

Good Monday, folks. Our work week is off and running with additional showers and storms rumbling across the state and a few could be severe. As the week rolls on, the storms may not be as widespread as what we’ve been seeing, but the boomers will still be roaming about the region.

A cold front is rolling toward the state today, bringing an increase in showers and thunderstorms. These storms could produce high winds and hail. Here’s today’s severe storms risk area from the Storm Prediction Center…

In addition to the severe threat, these storms will be loaded with torrential rains, leading to the potential for flash flooding. Outside of the storms, hazy sun and temps in the upper 70s and 80s will be common.

Scattered showers and storms will continue into Tuesday as our front slowly pulls away. Still, moisture remains for the middle of the week and that is likely to fire up a few more storms…

By later this week, a significant trough develops across the Great Lakes and the northeast. That means we get into a pattern of northwest to southeast moving thunderstorm clusters…

That unleashes a cool blast of air behind it as we close June and say hello to July.

My next update will throw some seasonal models your way. We’ll take a look at one that now goes all the way through the upcoming winter months. You know you want to see it… Right? 🙂

Here’s another edition of your storm tracking tools…

Current watches
Current Watches

Possible Watch Areas

Current MDs

Have a great Monday and take are.

7 Comments

Time posted: 2:08 am

More Storms On The Move

Good Sunday, folks. More rounds of showers and storms will target the bluegrass state today and into the start of the week ahead. Just like the past several days, some storms may be strong and put down too much rain. By the middle and end of the week, the pattern changes, but will still feature a daily threat for a shower or storm.

As usual, we begin with today. You’re going to get plenty of dry times, but any storm that goes up may be strong or severe. The same goes for any complex of storm working in here from the west and northwest. Here’s today’s Severe Weather Outlook from the Storm Prediction Center…

The same can be said for the storms floating about the region on Monday…

Heavy rains will continue to bring a flash flood threat to the region. Obviously, it’s not raining all the time, but you know the drill by now.

Looking into next week, storms become more scattered, but the chance for showers and storms is with us every stinking day. I know you’re shocked.

All of this is going to continue to add to our incredibly wet year that has our rainfall numbers WAY, WAY above normal…

Don’t worry, as soon as it doesn’t rain for a few days, the garbage drought monitor will tell you that we are abnormally dry and beginning a drought. 🙂

The temperature trend for June to date as been cooler than normal across Kentucky and across much of the country…

The numbers next week are closer to where we should be to wrap up June, but there has been a growing signal for another cooler than normal shot around the 4th of July. Several of the Ensembles have been hinting at this and now the operational models are going that way. This is one heck of a trough on the GFS…

Summer? What summer?

Here are your Sunday storm trackers…

Current watches
Current Watches

Possible Watch Areas

Current MDs

Make it a great day and take care.

15 Comments

Time posted: 2:19 am

Tracking Severe Storms and Possible Flooding

Good Saturday, everyone. Stop me if you’ve heard this one before… Rounds of showers and thunderstorms continue to work across Kentucky. This same pattern looks to persist through the weekend and into the start of next week, bringing the potential for severe weather and flooding rains.

Storm clusters continue to push in from the west and northwest today and some of these may be strong or severe. Just like yesterday, damaging winds and large hail are the main threats. Here’s today’s Severe Weather Outlook from the Storm Prediction Center…

The threat will persist into Sunday…

In addition to the severe threat, the flash flood threat continues to be very high, so keep a close eye on creeks and streams through Monday.

The pattern next week looks to feature seasonal temps with storms still around, but likely in much more scattered fashion. Still, we can’t seem to find any prolonged dry periods.

Looking farther down the weather road toward the first week of July, some of the models are trying to stick a tough back into our region. That could make for a cooler than normal first week…

The CFS Seasonal Model continues to show a cooler setup through July. Here’s the 7 day period for the middle of the month…

Here’s what it has to end July and kick off August…

Here is your daily dose of severe weather tracking tools…

Current watches
Current Watches

Possible Watch Areas

Current MDs

Make it a sensational Saturday and take care.

18 Comments