Time posted: 2:10 am

Severe Storms and Flooding Concerns

Good Wednesday, folks. The threat for severe thunderstorms will increase later today into tonight as a system moves our way from the west. This also means the threat for flooding and flash flooding will continue across the entire region. This continues to be part of an overall very stormy and wet setup across Kentucky.

Let’s begin with today. Scattered showers and thunderstorms will go up through the early afternoon, with the main action kicking in later today into tonight. Strong to severe storms will develop just to our west and roll eastward into Kentucky. Here’s today’s Severe Weather Outlook from the Storm Prediction Center…

Thursday will feature more rounds of heavy rain producing showers and thunderstorms that will likely cause more high water issues.

A small break in the action shows up on Friday, but clusters of strong thunderstorms will quickly fire back up and dive in here from the northwest. The first may arrive Friday night and early Saturday…

That would introduce another flood and flash flood threat this weekend into early next week.

The new European weeklies from WeatherBell takes us through August first and continues to show MUCH above normal rainfall around here and for much of the country…

This wet pattern continues to be absolutely amazing in terms of longevity and overall strength.

Let’s get back to the severe threat and flash flood threat for today. Here are your tracking tools …

Current watches
Current Watches

Possible Watch Areas

Current MDs

Have a great Wednesday and take care.

9 Comments

Time posted: 2:04 am

Another Stormy Day On Tap

Good Tuesday, folks. I think I’m just going to start making a blog template for heavy rain and storms and just go with it each day because that’s where we are. The pattern continues to be amazingly consistent in producing waves of showers and storms, leading to a severe storms threat and flash flood threat.

Just like the past few days, any storm that goes up today can bring high winds and hail to your neighborhood. Here’s the current Severe Weather Outlook from the SPC…

The severe threat may increase late Wednesday into Wednesday night. The SPC shows the increased potential…

As mentioned, rounds of showers and storms look to continue through the weekend and into early next week. No, it’s not raining all the time and you may not have rain everyday at your house, but heavy rain totals are likely. Many models continue to show several inches of rain…

Any particular day can produce, at least, minor severe weather across the state.

Let’s break the template a bit and talk about the month of July. The CFS temperature forecast continues with a cool signature for much of the country.

Here are the forecast temp anomalies for the first week of the month…

Notice a colder look for the 7 day stretch centered around the middle of the month…

And here’s what the model is seeing for the final week of July…

Oh yeah… The model shows above normal rainfall continuing, but isn’t that pretty much a given?

I leave you with your Tuesday tracking tools…

Have a great day and take care.

26 Comments

Time posted: 1:55 am

Flash Flood and Severe Weather Potential

Good Monday to one and all. Right on cue, our stormy pattern kicked off with a bang over the weekend. Severe thunderstorms and flooding rains pounded much of the region and this is just the beginning. Additional rounds of heavy rain producing thunderstorms will likely cause issues over the next week.

If you’re a regular reader of the blog, you know this pattern has been well advertised. A front is stalling on top of the Ohio Valley and will essentially stay there through the rest of the week into the weekend. At the same time, several waves of low pressure will develop along the boundary…

That means waves of showers and thunderstorms will continue to impact the bluegrass state during this time. These storms will be loaded with torrential rains, likely producing flooding issues from time to time. These storms may also pose a severe weather threat.

Similar to Sunday, we have that potential again out there today…

Damaging winds and large hail will be the main players with any strong or severe storm going up. That’s not just the case for today, but it’s basically the case each day this week and into the weekend.

The flash flood threat is fairly high as several inches of rain will fall. If you live in a flood prone area, please keep a close eye out when storms develop because they can put down a ton of rain in a hurry.

Here are your Monday storm tracking tools…

Make it a great Monday and take care.

15 Comments