Category Archives: Uncategorized

Time posted: 1:02 am

Changes Show Up Next Week

Good Saturday, everyone. We have a very tropical Memorial Day weekend underway with toasty temps and high humidity levels. This combo will continue to lead to scattered thunderstorms ruining a few outdoor plans. The overall pattern hangs tough into much of next week, but BIG changes are lurking by next weekend.

I really don’t have anything to add about the weather out there today, or for the next several days. You know the drill…

A strong cold front approaches the state by the end of the week, and should bring a potent line of storms to the area…


The air coming in behind that is waaaaayyy below normal for much of the country…

Euro 3

Highs next weekend may be downright cool for early June…

Euro 2

The cooler than normal setup may carry us, for the most part, into the middle of June. I’m trying to figure out where this pattern goes from there, because I do think this summer will feature some true heat before all is said and done. That’s likely to come late in summer.

Enjoy your day and take care.

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Time posted: 1:07 am

Looking Toward Early June

Good Friday, everyone. Memorial Day weekend is the unofficial kickoff to summer, and it looks like mother nature got the message. We have a lot of steam and storms rumbling over the next several days, but the pattern looks to turn much cooler as we get into the first week of June.

Warm and muggy air will continue out there today with highs generally in the 80s. This soupy air can give us additional rounds of strong storms that put down enough rain to cause local high water issues…

This same setup will carry us through the Memorial Day weekend, and likely into the first couple of days of June.

From this point, we start to see things changing in a big way. The jet stream starts to buckle with a deep dip showing up across the eastern part of the country…


Check out how much cooler than normal the ensembles are…


And rainfall for the next couple of weeks continues to be very expansive…


Make it a great day and take care.


Time posted: 1:58 am

Tropical Feel Takes Hold

Good Thursday, folks. We have a very early season taste of the tropics pushing into our part of the world. Toasty temps, high humidity levels and scattered showers and storms will rule our weather lives for a while. For those who were complaining and all the cold weather earlier this month… I don’t want to hear a peep out of you guys. :)

Highs today will, again, be all over the place thanks to sun verses storms. From near 80 to the upper 80s will be possible depending on where you live in relation to storms. Those storms will also pack a punch and could put down some very heavy rains.


More of the same will be around on Friday and into the coming weekend with humidity levels that are way, way up for this time of year. Check out the dewpoint temperatures…


Any day this weekend that has less clouds and storms can make a run at 90…


This same pattern warm and stormy pattern continues into the first few days of June.

The models then start to reverse that trend by late next week into the weekend. As a matter of fact, there continues to be a rather cool pattern showing up. Here’s the European Model for the first weekend of June…


There is currently no big signal for “heat” showing up through the month of June. The 2 week rainfall map from the GFS looks wet for a lot of the country…


Remember me saying a week ago to watch the southeast coast for possible tropical or subtropical development? Well… something is trying to pop there this weekend.

Enjoy the day and take care.


Time posted: 1:07 am

Tracking Steam and Scattered Storms

Good Wednesday to one and all. If you’re looking for a cookie cutter forecast pattern… You’ve found it. This setup will lead to similar weather conditions day after day into the big weekend. As a matter of fact, this weather may carry us into the first week of June.

Warm and humid air is pressing into the region today. This will lead to scattered showers and thunderstorms across the region. Temps can be all over the place with the sun verses storms thing. Outside of storms, readings soar into the mid and upper 80s.

Don’t forget to use the interactive radar to track the severe weather to our west. You can pull up live storm chaser cams from anywhere in the country.

As I mentioned, the pattern remains fairly consistent with a daily threat for showers and thunderstorms through next week. Highs will be in the muggy 80s for the most part.

The GFS two week rainfall numbers…

GFS Rain

The individual members from the GFS Ensembles show much of the region with some decent rains during the same time…

GFS Rain 2

Those same ensembles are also hinting at a much cooler pattern developing late in the first week of June…


Make it a great day and take care.

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Time posted: 2:12 am

A Summer Preview

Good Tuesday to one and all. For regular readers of the blog, you know I’ve been hitting the potential for some late May “heat”. That call looks to be in great shape as there is a little bit of sizzle showing up in the days ahead and that carries us into the start of June.

Highs today range from near 80 in the east to the middle 80s in the west. Skies stay partly to mostly sunny.

Muggy air sweeps in for Wednesday and will bring with it the chance for scattered storms. Get used to that for the next week, at least.

Daytime highs through Memorial Day will range from the low and mid 80s to near 90 degrees. It all depends on what happens with the daily threat for showers and storms where you live. That storm chance is real over the weekend…


This will be a very muggy period that takes on a tropical feel. Speaking of, that system we pointed out a few days ago is showing up well off the southeastern seaboard. The GFS from above takes whatever it is into the Carolinas.

The Canadian keeps it farther south…


The models keep that system meandering across the southeast or off the east coast into the first day of June. If that’s the case, look out, temps can get really toasty. From WeatherBell…


Have a great day and take care.