Category Archives: Uncategorized

Tracking Rounds Of Storms

Good Thursday, everyone. Rounds of showers and thunderstorms get cranking across our region today and this could bring the threat for strong and severe storms. That potential will really ramp up later tonight and into Friday. Overall, this is part of a pattern that has severe weather written all over it in the coming weeks.

Here’s a breakdown of what to expect:

- Scattered showers and storms develop across the region from west to east today. Some of the late day storms across central and western Kentucky could be strong or severe. This is NOT a washout of a day.

- Winds will continue to crank today and could reach 35mph at times.

- Showers and thunderstorms will increase late tonight and into Friday. Severe thunderstorms with high winds and hail will be possible. Gusty winds of 40mph will be common.

- Heavy rains through Friday night could cause some high water issues. Many of the forecast models are suggesting 1″-3″ of rain during this time.

- Chilly and dry weather moves in for Saturday with temps in the low and mid 50s. Easter Sunday looks good with 30s to start and 60s to end.

- Watch the pattern for next week! It has the look of a severe weather producer on more than one day.

I have you all set to track today’s showers and storms…

Today’s risk area

Latest Day 1 convective outlook

Current watches

Current Watches

Possible watch areas Current MDs

 

 

I will have updates as needed. Take care.

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Strong Storms and Heavy Rain Ahead

Good evening, gang. Rounds of showers and thunderstorms are on the way to the bluegrass state over the next couple of days. Some of these storms could be strong or severe and put down enough rains to cause some local high water issues.

The Storm Prediction Center has parts of the region in a slight risk for Thursday…

That risk area expands to include much of the state for Friday…

Rainfall amounts of 1″-3″ could be common through Friday night. The Weather Prediction Center is hitting the high water threat…

WPC

This is the system we first started talking about last week and it has the potential to produce our first round of severe weather.

I’ve already been beating the drum about the potential for severe weather next week and I continue to do so. It’s a strong signal showing up from the plains into our region.

Enjoy the evening and take care.

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Storms On The Way

Good Wednesday, everyone. April is off and running on a very nice note with mild temperatures and plenty of sunshine. This nice weather won’t last very long as showers and thunderstorms begin to increase on Thursday and kick into high gear for Friday.

Highs today will likely be a few degrees cooler than what we had on Tuesday. The west and south may hit 70 or a little better with middle 60s in the north and east. Skies will continue to stay partly to mostly sunny.

Moisture will quickly increase for Thursday and that means scattered showers and thunderstorms increase. We will have to watch the late afternoon and evening hours for the potential for some stronger storms popping. The Hi-Res NAM simulated radar…

NAM 2

Showers and thunderstorms will then ramp up even more as we head into Friday. That’s when we see low pressure working into the Ohio Valley with a strong cold front zipping through the area…

EuroThat setup could give us the potential for some strong thunderstorms to go along with heavy rain numbers. Something to keep a close eye on.

Winds will be VERY gusty during this time and could reach 40mph at times… without thunderstorms.

Much colder air sweeps into town Friday night into Saturday morning. A few models are back to showing a few snowflakes during this same time.

All of this action moves to our east early Saturday with afternoon temps struggling into the low 50s on a chilly northwesterly wind. Easter Sunday looks much better with temps in the 30s to start and low 60s to end.

That takes us into a very warm and stormy period for next week. Temps may make a run at 80 degrees with rounds of showers and thunderstorms developing. Big boomers will be possible.

Enjoy your day and take care.

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Stormy End Of The Week Ahead

Good Tuesday, everyone. We have some very nice weather rolling into the bluegrass state over the next couple of days. Sunny skies and very mild temperatures will rule the roost before thunderstorms ramp up for the end of the week. The storm season is off to a very slow start, but I’m seeing signs of things rapidly increasing over the next few weeks.

Temps today and Wednesday will generally range from the upper 60s to low 70s under partly sunny skies. A few middle 70s will be possible in the west and south.

The threat for scattered showers and thunderstorms will increase for Thursday as moisture surges in from the southwest…

Euro

A decent storm system will develop in the plains late Thursday and work into the Ohio Valley on Friday. That will bring widespread showers and thunderstorms to our region…

Euro 2That could spawn some strong storms and that’s something for us to keep an eye on rolling forward. Chillier air comes in behind that with 50s showing up for Saturday. Easter Sunday continues to look pretty good with highs returning to the low 60s under a partly sunny sky.

The following week may look and feel the part of May with very warm temps and the potential for rounds of thunderstorms. The upper flow for next week will feature juice coming out of the Gulf of Mexico with a stout upper low swinging into the plains states…

Euro 3Don’t be fooled into a false sense of severe weather security because of the lack of thunderstorms, so far. I’ve been doing some spring and summer research and many years I’m looking at came on very strong later in the season. Combine that with the look of the pattern and I firmly believe busy times are ahead of us.

Have a great day and take care.

7 Comments

A Milder Road Ahead

Good Monday, everyone. We’re getting ready to say goodbye to March and hello to April in a few days. The road to April has been a very cold and wintry one, but we’re taking a detour onto a road that finally looks more like spring. I am MORE than ready for this journey! :)

Our day is starting with a band of showers exiting out of eastern Kentucky. Skies will become partly sunny with a milder breeze kicking in during the afternoon. Highs should reach the low 50s in the east and near 60 in the far west.

Tuesday’s weather looks much, much better with sunny skies and temps making a run at 70 degrees in some areas. That’s perfection for all the kiddos on spring break.

Wednesday will be similar, though there is some indication the north and east could be a little cooler with some more clouds.

Scattered showers and thunderstorms will develop on Thursday ahead of a bigger system rolling in to start the Easter Weekend. The latest models are speeding up and lessening the magnitude of the weekend system. Many of the models bring this through here on Friday with widespread showers and thunderstorms…

Euro 3

With a weaker and faster moving storm… the air behind that doesn’t show up as cold for Saturday and Sunday…

Euro 4

That would likely be followed by a MAJOR surge of warm air for the following week. It’s also a week that could see rounds of thunderstorms developing around here.

Make it a great Monday and take care.

8 Comments

Putting Some Spring In Our Pattern

Good Sunday, everyone. Our weekend is wrapping up on a much better weather note compared to how it started. The start was straight out of winter with snow showers and the some of the coldest late March temps in more than 50 years. That’s in our rear-view mirror and we have some spring showing up ahead of us.

Highs today will reach the low 50s in the east with upper 50s in the west. Clouds and winds will both increase ahead of a cold front sweeping in from the northwest. That front will bring a band of showers in here late this evening into early Monday.

Those rains will quickly move to our east on Monday with some afternoon sunshine a good bet. Highs recover into the low 60s across the west with mid 50s in the east.

Tuesday’s temps will surge well into the 60s and may tickle the 70 degree mark with partly sunny skies. The same can be said for Wednesday as some clouds increase. Those clouds may touch off some scattered showers and thunderstorms Wednesday night and Thursday…

Euro

Temps behind that for Friday could REALLY take off. Check out the numbers by Friday afternoon…

Euro 3

That may be accompanied by rounds of showers and thunderstorms ahead of a strong storm system rolling in here to start the Easter Weekend…

Euro 2

We will have to be on guard for the potential for some strong storms out of that setup.

The air coming in behind that is much colder and our Easter Sunday could feature a chilly shower or a small mix with highs in the 40s…

Euro 4

That will quickly shoot through here with another big warm up and storm system due in town the following week.

Enjoy your day and take care.

3 Comments

Milder Weather Set To Push Back In

Good Saturday to one and all. The final weekend of March has definitely started with a taste of winter weather. Snow showers and flurries ushered in some very cold air that hangs around through Sunday morning. From there, temps slowly moderate as we close March and say hello to April. But, does that mean we are out of the winter woods? Hmm.

Partly sunny skies will be around today with highs in the upper 30s to low 40s. We’re back into the 20s for Sunday morning, but a gusty wind will spike our temps into the 50s by the afternoon. Clouds will increase as some showers move in later in the evening…

Euro

Those showers will zip through here quickly into Monday morning with better weather showing up by the afternoon hours.

Temps will then take off for Tuesday and Wednesday as readings push well into the 60s. 70 will be possible if we can get mainly sunny skies.

A weak system works in from the south to north on Thursday and could bring a few showers and thunderstorms our way…

Euro 2

Temps by Friday may surge well into the 70s on a strong southwesterly wind. That wind is likely ahead of a powerful storm system working across the Ohio Valley to start Easter Weekend…

Euro 3

Depending on how that plays out, some strong storms would be possible around here. Much colder air would then crash in here for Saturday and Easter Sunday.

The back and forth, busy pattern would then carry us into the following week. You know the drill… temps turn milder then may come crashing back down behind another system…

GFSThe more things change… ;)

Enjoy your Saturday and take care.

5 Comments

Active Pattern Shows No Signs Of Ending

Good Friday, folks. A taste of winter has returned to the bluegrass state with a fresh blast of very cold air and even the potential for a few snowflakes. This continues to be part of a supercharged weather pattern that shows little signs of going away anytime soon.

Highs today will reach the upper 30s and low 40s with gusty winds and a mix of sun and clouds. The south and west will be a little “warmer” with middle 40s. A weak disturbance will cross the area and could produce a rain or snow shower through the evening. Track whatever shows up…

Saturday morning starts with upper teens and low 20s with a partly cloudy sky. The afternoon will look good, but won’t feel that nice with highs only upper 30s and low 40s, again.

Sunday looks better with highs reaching the 50s on a very gusty wind. Clouds will increase and some showers may develop Sunday night and carry us into Monday…

Euro

Temps will be on the chilly side with those Monday showers.

Tuesday into Wednesday will find temps on the increase and could reach the 60s and could even flirt with 70 at some point. That’s ahead of another cold front that pushes in by Thursday with another chance for rain…

Euro 2

Temps after that may really take off with some 70s by the end of the week. That big surge of warmth is ahead of an increasing for a big storm to roll across the Ohio Valley over Easter Weekend. Here’s the European Model…

Euro 3

The GFS is even stronger with that storm…

GFSThis is a very healthy signal for a major area of low pressure. Depending on the track of that storm… severe weather could be a possibility. Keep an eye on it.

Enjoy your day and take care.

5 Comments

Tracking Huge Changes

Good Thursday to one and all. A powerhouse of a cold front is sweeping across the bluegrass state today and this will bring some big time changes. We’re packing springtime and wintertime temps all into a matter of hours. Sandwiched in between will be some gusty showers and rumbles of thunder.

Temps will start the day well into the 60s across the eastern half of the state with a 70 possible. Those numbers crash through the 40s by late this afternoon as winds continue to crank up. Gusts today may reach 35-40mph as the front moves in.

The cold really settles in tonight and Friday with the chance for a few snowflakes showing up. Highs on Friday will range from the mid 40s in the south and west to around 40 in the north and northeast. That air grows even colder by Saturday with upper teens and low 20s for some. Highs will struggle into the upper 30s and low 40s.

Sunday looks windy with some 50s showing back up ahead of another cold front. That brings some showers and chillier air for Monday.

The weather next week should slowly moderate and we could be near 70 by the middle of the week. That should come with a price with showers and storms increasing shortly thereafter. This busy pattern will then carry us into Easter Weekend with the models suggesting another storm system followed by a cold shot of air…

EuroUgh!

I have you all set to track today’s weather…

 

 

Make it a great Thursday and take care.

4 Comments

Severe Weather Risk Western Kentucky

Good afternoon, gang. A warm and windy spring day is in progress across the commonwealth of Kentucky. That’s a good thing for many of us looking to shake off the nasty conditions of the past few days. For western parts of the state, this isn’t necessarily a good thing because it may fire up some strong or severe storms.

The best chance for storms to crank will be during the evening and overnight hours. A few storms may go severe in the west with damaging winds and large hail the primary threats. The Storm Prediction Center has places this region in a slight risk for severe weather.

Track away…

Today’s risk area

Latest Day 1 convective outlook

Current watches

Current Watches

Possible watch areas Current MDs

 

 

I will have updates as needed. Take care.

5 Comments