Category Archives: Uncategorized

Time posted: 1:28 am

Rounds Of Storms May Cause Problems

Good Monday, everyone. Our stormy pattern has taken a steamy break, but is ready to roll back into the bluegrass state over the next week and change. Rounds of boomers will push across our region, and could eventually cause some local high water concerns.

The storms out there today could be a little on the strong side. I will have your tracking tools in a bit.

The rest of the week will feature additional rounds of showers and storms, with a much bigger ramp up as we head into the second half of the week. A stronger storm system rolls in during this time…

Canadian

The models are spitting out a lot of rain over the next week. The Canadian shows some very hefty numbers…

Canadian 2

The GFS isn’t too far behind…

GFS 2

So, you can see the reason for the concern I have.

That could also unleash some much better air as we end July and say hello to August…

Euro 2

With some intrusions of cooler air into parts of the country, one would expect additional storms into the first half of August.

Here are your tracking tools to start the last week of July…

Today’s risk area

Latest Day 1 convective outlook

Current Watches
Current Watches

Possible Watch Areas
Current MDs

Have a great Monday and take care.

3 Comments

Time posted: 1:48 am

A Stormy Week On The Way

Good Sunday, my fellow weather weenies. We are wrapping up a typical hot and humid weekend in the bluegrass state. Steamy temps and scattered storms will soon give way to a pattern featuring storms, storms and more storms. Sound familiar? That setup has been the king of the summer.

Today is likely to be what I consider an above normal “hot” day. Readings can hit 95 in some locations, even outside the ridiculous airport thermometers. Scattered storms will develop with some locally heavy downpours and frequent lightning.

The storm action increases over the next couple of days, and a few of the boomers could be strong. This trend of increasing showers and thunderstorms carries us through the rest of the week into the coming weekend. That’s when we get a nice trough digging into the region…

Canadian 2

That should be able to spawn a healthy storm system across the Ohio Valley. The Canadian has it…

Canadian

So does the GFS…

GFS

Given the setup over the next week and change, don’t be surprised if we don’t see some local high water issues develop on occasion.

I recently threw out some winter weather thoughts, and talked about how the forecasts for some raging La Nina were likely overblown. There is some question if we can even get a La Nina to form. The latest CFS forecast shows a borderline weak event this fall and winter…

CFS

If we only get to a weak Nina, there are some heavyweight winter analogs showing up.

I leave you with your storm tracking tools…

Make it a great day and take care.

13 Comments

Time posted: 1:47 am

Storms To Increase

Good Saturday, everyone. As expected, thunderstorms have been more of a player than the heat in recent days. The two continue to do battle this weekend, but a stormy pattern will win the ultimate fight over the next week and change.

Today’s weather is pretty straightforward. Scattered storms will develop and those can put down some very heavy rains and a lot of lightning. Outside of the storms, temps reach the upper 80s and low 90s with a heat index much higher.

Sunday’s forecast: See Today. 🙂

Storms continue to ramp up early next week. Monday and Tuesday…

GFS

The heavy rain threat continues to increase as more widespread showers and storms move in for the middle and end of the week…

Euro

That sets the stage for a stronger system to potentially impact the region next weekend…

GFS 2

The models have been advertising this for a while, and show the possibility of a cool shot as we close out the month…

GFS 3

Here are your tracking tools for the day…

Have a great Saturday and take care.

5 Comments

Time posted: 1:36 am

Stormy Setup Pulls Back Into Town

Good Friday, everyone. It’s hot and very humid across the bluegrass state today. The west is absolutely baking, with the central and east faring a little better. We set the stage for this day more than a week ago. Now, it’s time to focus on the stormy pattern coming back.

Let’s start with today and roll forward. A few storms may develop across the region today. Any storm that goes up can be strong and put down some very heavy downpours.

A weak front settles into the Ohio Valley this weekend, and touches off better storm chances…

GFS

With so much juice available, these storms can be strong and put down a lot of rain in a short amount of time.

Additional storms will be floating around early next week…

GFS 2

Look what rolls in later in the week…

Euro

The models are back into showing a very familiar look over the next few weeks… stormy. Check out a snapshot of the GFS rainfall numbers…

GFS

I leave you with your Friday tracking toys…

Make it a great day and take care.

2 Comments

Time posted: 2:28 am

Steam Leads To Storms

Good Thursday to one and all. As expected, showers and thunderstorms beat the heat on Wednesday.  We will continue to see that royal battle playing out over the next several days. In the blue corner, we have the reigning champion of the summer… Storms. In the red corner, the up and coming challenger… Steam.

Let’s get ready to rumble! 🙂

Today will feature a similar setup to Wednesday. Scattered showers and storms will go up and those can put down some locally heavy rains. Outside of the storms temps can hit the low 90s with a heat index much warmer. Tracking tools in a bit.

Friday has the chance to be the hottest day of the summer, so far. Once again, storms and clouds will have the final say in all that. 90-95 is possible if we can keep the boomers away. Heat index values may also push 100 if that happens.

The models are showing an increase in weekend storms. Here’s the GFS for Saturday into Sunday…

GFS

That action continues into Monday and Tuesday…

GFS 2

Obviously, temps will come down some, but will still be steamy.

Odds continue to favor a strong cold front dropping in as we close July and say hello to August…

GFS 3

Let’s track the action we have out there today…

Make it a great day and take care.

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