Category Archives: Uncategorized

Time posted: 12:44 am

Tracking A Stormy Setup

Good Wednesday, gang. We continue to see a very active pattern rolling on across our part of the world. This pattern can bring strong storms our way later tonight, with a much greater threat for big storms this weekend. That’s a setup really getting my attention from this far out.

Let’s focus on what we have in the short-term before looking at the weekend.

Highs today hit 80-85 with a stout southwesterly wind kicking in. Skies will stay dry during the daylight hours, but things change from west to east after that. This is when a cold front works in from the west with a line of thunderstorms. This line may be severe as it moves into western parts of the state, but should gradually weaken as it moves eastward into Thursday.

From there, we will watch a potent setup from the plains to the Appalachian Mountains this weekend.  A surge of summer air lifts northward into our region later Friday into Saturday. This will then meet up with MUCH colder air coming in behind it later this weekend to produce a rather explosive setup.

This is pretty awesome to see…

As the initial surge of summer air sweeps in here, overrunning strong to severe thunderstorms will be possible Friday night into the first half of Saturday…

Warm, moist and very unstable air will then take control Saturday into Sunday. That air is ahead of a storm system rolling across the plains and into the Great Lakes. That will have a major snowstorm behind it and a significant severe weather outbreak ahead of it…

In additional to the severe weather threat, these storms can put down a lot of water in our region…

Make it a great Wednesday and take care.

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Time posted: 12:33 am

Strong Storms and Heavy Rain Ahead

Good Tuesday, everyone. A very active weather pattern is taking shape for late this week into the coming weekend. It’s a pattern likely to throw rounds of strong storms and heavy rains our way. That may very well cause some more problems for the second weekend in a row across Kentucky.

Let’s begin with the good stuff that’s out there today. Highs reach 80-85 across the west with upper 70s in the east. Those numbers climb even more on Wednesday with highs in the low and middle 80s for the entire state. Winds will be gusty from the southwest as a cold front approaches. This front will likely produce strong storms in the west, with that action weakening across the east through early Thursday…

Another surge of summer air will follow that up on Friday and will set the stage for some big storms and heavy rain. This is a signal I’ve been talking about for nearly a week now, and it continues to show up well as we get closer. Check it out…

Those rounds of thunderstorms can be strong or severe and put down some serious rains. That would extend from the Mississippi Valley into our region.

All the models are spitting out significant rains…

That’s a nasty look showing up, and another one for us to focus on in the coming days.

Have a great Tuesday and take care.

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Time posted: 1:12 am

A Warm and Stormy Setup

Good Monday, everyone. Flooding rains are finally pulling away from the region, with much warmer air settling in for the week ahead. This warm air will also be accompanied by a few fronts that can spawn some pretty good thunderstorms.

In the short-term, a leftover shower lingers in the east with clouds breaking from west to east. The mountains may stay in the 50s with the west in the low 70s.

Upper 70s to around 80 look common for Tuesday as sunny skies take over. Lower 80s should be around by Wednesday on a strong southwesterly wind. This is ahead of a cold front sweeping in here Wednesday night with a line of showers and storms…

Some strong storms are possible, especially in the west.

Slightly cooler air moves in for Thursday, but a surge of true summer air moves in Friday through the upcoming weekend. The leading edge of the spring heat may be able to crank some big rounds of thunderstorms…

Once the warm front lifts to our north, temps surge…

Pushing those temps will be another strong storm system across the plains. This can be a severe weather producer from the plains to the Appalachian Mountains…

It’s also interesting to note how much snow is going to fall across the west and even upper Midwest. While it’s a summer look around here, this same setup is going to bring some huge snows to those areas.

Have a great Monday and take care.

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Time posted: 1:15 am

High Water Threat Continues In The Southeast

Good Sunday, everyone. We continue to see heavy rain targeting the southeastern part of the state. This area has had flash flooding already and could see more today. The rest of the state will continue with showers slowly decreasing with better weather trying to push in.

Areas along the Virginia border could really be in some trouble today as a comma head of heavy rain spins across this region. The GFS through tonight is showing an additional 2″+ rains…

If that verifies, it would cause some serious flooding problems. Please keep a close eye on water levels in these areas.

Track the day…

Monday looks much better with temps closing in on 70 with a mix of sun and clouds. 80 is possible for Tuesday into Wednesday as strong southwesterly winds kick in ahead of a cold front. That front brings a line of strong storms in here by Wednesday night.

The Canadian has a potent line of storms…

The GFS is similar…

Temps will then surge by the end of next week into next weekend. Readings will head deep into the 80s and could flirt with 90 degrees. That warm and unstable air could set the stage for a plains to Appalachian Mountains severe weather outbreak…

I will update things as needed. Make it a great day and take care.

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Time posted: 1:08 am

A Summer Setup Follows The Heavy Rain

Good Saturday, everyone. Rounds of heavy rain are rolling across the region today as much cooler air settles in for a few days. Once we get rid of the weekend rains, an early summer looking temperature pattern pushes in for next week. It’s a pattern that will also come with the threat for some strong or severe storms.

There isn’t much more I can say about the heavy rainfall out there today. It may be enough to cause some local high water issues, especially across the southern half of the state. Temps will be on the cool side of things, with a borderline chill in the air…

There appears to be window of dry times settling in this evening. That could be good news for Thunder Over Louisville and all the proms scheduled for tonight.

Wraparound showers will be with us on Sunday, with the greatest concentration across the south and east. Temps will continue to be cool in these areas, but some recovery is likely in the west and north.

Monday will see clouds clearing the state with temps returning to the upper 60s and low 70s. Near 80 degree highs will be noted on Tuesday and Wednesday, ahead of a cold front. Some strong storms will be possible with this front by late Wednesday…

Temps won’t come down behind that. If anything, they should increase. Check out the forecast highs for next Friday…

Any day that keeps clouds and storms away can see thermometers make a run at 90. Wow.

With that warm and juicy air in place, a system working in from the west could touch off severe storms next weekend…

This is all part of a very stormy setup from the plains states into our part of the world. The two week rainfall look from the Ensembles show this well…

Make it a great Saturday and take care.

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