Category Archives: Uncategorized

Time posted: 2:03 am

A Strong Cold Front Brings A Cool Change

Good Wednesday, everyone. We have a strong cold front blowing toward the bluegrass state today. This front is touching off a few booming showers and thunderstorms. This front will then unleash a gorgeous early fall weather pattern into the start of the Labor Day Weekend.

Today’s storms will sweep in from the northwest with a few on the strong side. Heavy rains and a lot of lightning will also be noted in the stronger cells. Your tracking tools for the day begin with your interactive radar…

Thursday will feature a morning shower with upper 70s to around 80 in the afternoon as skies clear. That sets the stage for lows in the 50s from Friday through Sunday. Highs on Friday should stay in the 70s with low 80s on Saturday.

Sunday afternoon into Labor Day will find temps warming as we stay dry. This sets the stage for another round of toasty temps next week. I doubt we have seen our last 90. 🙁

The tropics continue to kick it up a notch or two with our system cranking in the eastern Gulf…

The models continue to want to take this up the east coast for a while…

canadian

The official tracks from the NHC…

We’re likely to see another system making a run at the country sometime late next week. There are also signs that a deep trough tries to dig into the eastern part of the country around the same time.

Make it a great day and take care.

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Time posted: 1:34 am

A Fall Feel To Usher In September

Good Tuesday to one and all. We are dealing with some very steamy and stormy weather across the bluegrass state. This has been the theme of the summer, but meteorological summer ends with August, so it would be appropriate for September to start with a touch of fall. Well… That’s exactly what is going to happen. 🙂

Today is another steamy day with scattered storms. Blah, blah, blah. Your trackers in a bit.

Scattered storms increase late Wednesday as a strong cold front moves in from the northwest. This front will bring MUCH cooler air coming for the end of the week into the start of the Labor Day Weekend…

GFS TEMPS 2Check out the awesome temps…

GFS TEMPS 1

The weekend as a whole looks dry and pretty darn awesome!

The same can’t be said for folks across the eastern Gulf and across the southeastern seaboard. The tropics are really kicking it up…

My concern with the Gulf system is that it may hug the coast all the way up to North Carolina. Some models even try to pull this system back toward the west.  The GFS is now onto this…

GFS

The Canadian is REALLY onto it…

canadian

The models also continue to bring another big tropical system toward the southeast next week…

GFS

Here are your storm tracking tools for the day…

Have a great day and take care.

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Time posted: 1:53 am

Changes As We Flip The Calendar

Good Monday, folks. Were coming off quite the weather weekend here in the bluegrass state. Many areas had the hottest temps of the summer, with some of us getting in on some big time thunderstorms. Now comes a decent change as we flip the calendar from August to September. This change also comes with a big push of tropical systems to track.

Today’s weather will find temps back into the upper 80s to low 90s. Scattered storms will once again cause problems on a local scale. A few could be strong and put down enough water to cause some flash flooding. The daily dose of tracking tools in a bit.

Tuesday will find more of the same, but with temps starting to edge down a bit. This trend continues into Wednesday as a cold front approaches from the northwest. This could bring a broken line of showers and storms into town by Thursday…

Euro

MUCH cooler air comes in behind this with readings in the upper 70s to low 80s on Thursday. The Friday highs continue to come down a bit on the models…

GFS Temps

VERY pleasant low temps should be noted…

GFS Temps 2

That looks absolutely awesome.

Now, where do we go after Friday? That’s the big question likely to be answered by exactly what goes on with our system down in the Gulf of Mexico. A depression has also popped off the Carolinas and could get the name Hermine before our gulf storm. If that happens, say hello to Ian.

Some of the models also try to spin up a third system off the southeastern coast. Check out this trio…

canadian

That’s pretty wild to see.

Speaking of wild, the models continue to be locked in on another potential system next week…

GFS 2

Track the current tropical action right here…

Here are your bluegrass storm tracking tools…

Have a great day and take care.

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Time posted: 3:04 am

Changes For The Week Ahead

Good Sunday, everyone. It’s another hot and humid day with scattered storms out there. This setup will roll on for a few more days, but some cooler changes are now showing up strongly for the beginning of the Labor Day Weekend. That’s some good news… right? 🙂

Highs today will be back into the upper 80s to low 90s with scattered showers and storms going up. Similar to Saturday, any storm blowing up can put down a lot of rain in a short amount of time. A few could also be strong. Tracking toys in a bit.

I like this forecast so much, I’m going to play it again for Monday.

Temps by Tuesday and Wednesday come down just a few degrees with the threat for scattered storms continuing.

With a different  evolution of the tropical system likely in the Gulf of Mexico, this allows for a cold front to drop in here on Thursday. That front may not have much moisture to work with, but a nice push of cool is showing up behind it by late Thursday into Friday…

GFS Temps 2

The GFS highs for Friday…

GFS Temps

Lows by Saturday morning look gooooooood…

GFS Temps 3

Temps should rebound for the rest of the holiday weekend, but not to the levels we are seeing now.

All of this depends on the tropics and what exactly happens with the future Hermine. The models have been all over the place, but some are going back to a bigger Gulf solution.

The Canadian Model…

canadian

That run does bring some rain into the eastern part of the state.

The European Model is an absolute nightmare for the Labor Day Weekend as it takes the storm into the Florida Panhandle then slowly up the east coast…

Euro

Your tropical trackers…

Looking down the tropical road… there’s a TON of potential in September as winds in the Atlantic are forecast to become much more favorable for development. We’ve had some lean tropical years of late, but my gut says this one won’t be remembered as such. The GFS for the following week has been advertising a huge storm threatening the east coast…

GFS

The European Model doesn’t quite go out as far, but you can see the same storm coming on the day 10 wide view…

Euro 2

Your daily dose of storm tracking tools…

Have a great Sunday and take care.

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Time posted: 2:19 am

A Hot and Humid Weekend

Good Saturday, everyone. The most impressive heat of the summer has engulfed the bluegrass state here in the final days of August. I continue to see signs this pattern may hold into the early part of September, but a lot of that hinges on the tropics.

The weekend forecast continues to be dominated by the heat and humidity. Highs today and Sunday will range from 90-95 degrees with a hit index flirting with 100 degrees at times.

Scattered showers and thunderstorms will continue to increase, with the greatest coverage across the western half of the state. This is where the models continue to put down some pretty decent totals into the middle of next week…

GFS

In the coming days, I’m going to start focusing more and more on the fall and winter pattern. We’re almost to Labor Day, and I need to get cracking on figuring out which direction things may be going. I will share some thoughts and maps along the way.

The tropics are a mess right now, and the models are a scorching hot mess in how they’re dealing with it all. Our possible Hermine is working toward Florida over the weekend. Does this thing cut across and develop in the Gulf? Does it head up the east coast? Does it even develop at all? We shall soon find out.

Back here in the bluegrass state, I have you all set to track any scattered storms that go up today…

Have a great day and take care.

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