Daily Archives: October 9, 2011
Good Sunday everyone. As we enjoy the last few days of this amazing stretch of weather… I wanted to drop by for an update on some fun and games with the GFS. Take a look…
Yes the model shows some of that falling as snow…
I am on record in saying I can see this year starting off with some early season action… this is very likely a bit too early. I’m thinking more toward early November, but stranger things have happened.
As far as our more realistic weather is concerned.
- Some clouds will be noted today and Monday with temps in the 70s.
- Showers move in for Tuesday and Wednesday as the gulf system rides northeast.
- A strong system swings in wit widespread rains and cool air for Thursday.
- That is followed by MUCH cooler air from Friday into the weekend.
I see you guys are still trying to guess the year i’m talking about in my last post. I will say you guys are sniffing it out.
Enjoy the rest of your day and take care.
Good Sunday everyone. We are putting the wraps on a wow of a weekend across the bluegrass state of Kentucky. Sunny skies and afternoon temps in the upper 70s to low 80s are combining to make this the best weather weekend of the entire year. Soak it up… a change to much cooler is ahead of us this week.
Today is shaping up to be just like the past few and the forecast goes without saying.
Monday will bring us a slightly different picture as you may actually find a few clouds in the sky. Highs should continue to run in the 70s.
The patter we are in and have been in for the past several days is about to break down. Here is how the air upstairs looks right now…
The big blocking high pressure in the mid atlantic states has been a fixture since early last week. The bully on the block is about to get taken down by the system down across Florida. This system may never become a classified tropical system, but it has a ton of tropical juice with it.
This will work northward toward the Carolinas from Tuesday into Wednesday and should be able to throw some clouds and scattered showers into the region. The best threat for rains from this will be across the east. Highs will come way down from where we are today.
That storm will really ramp up as rides into New England and will finally allow the trough out west to progress eastward. The mess up the east coast and the deepening trough working in will get together to carve out a substantial dip in the jet stream across the east by late week into the weekend.
This looks like another case of a cutoff low spinning in the eastern part of the country. Take a look at what the GFS does with this thing…
That setup would mean some soaking rains for everyone on Thursday as the cool air blasts in from the northwest. Highs by the end of the week into the start of the weekend may struggle to get past 60 in many areas.
With another closed off upper level low… it further strengthens my thoughts on these cutoff lows sending a signal as to what may be coming this winter. There has been one analog year I’ve been looking at for a few months now and have talked about how it had a similar amount of fall cutoff lows. It had a similar Pacific Ocean signal as well and that is making me really take note of it. Why am I not telling you the year? If I did, you may never look at Thanksgiving weather the same.
Have a great Sunday and take care.