Daily Archives: October 15, 2011
Good Saturday afternoon everyone. It’s another windy day across the bluegrass state with gusts approaching 35mph at times. This will continue to knock a lot of our leaves down and that’s not a good thing since we are nearing our peak of fall colors.
The winds are the story of today and a winter pattern will be the story of next week as a huge dip in the jet stream engulfs the eastern half of the country.
The latest GFS seems to have a decent handle on things…
Notice I said a “decent” handle on things and not a perfect one. I think the low to our east is much more wrapped up than what the model above is showing and the initial low may end up tracking across far southeastern Kentucky.
What would it all mean for us?
- Rain and wind increase quickly late Monday night into Tuesday as the first low passes through. Temps will tank into the 40s by the end of the day.
- A secondary low cranks to our east Wednesday and will throw some showers back into the Ohio Valley. Highs will struggle to get out of the 40s.
- Northwesterly winds will keep clouds and COLD showers around late Wednesday into Thursday.
- The air is likely not cold enough to produce flakes around here… but it may get pretty darn close and will have to be watched. I do think the mountains of southeastern Kentucky can get in on some wet snows.
I can’t stress enough that the fall pattern is LIKELY a sign of things to come with a real possibility of winter getting started very early this year.
Many of the forecast models are also hinting at another winter looking trough digging in here for the week after next…
Winter lovers… you have got to be loving this pattern.
Good Saturday everyone. The weekend is here and the weather continues to look pretty good with some sunshine and seasonal temps. Enjoy it… the big change toward a winter looking pattern next week will get started sooner rather than later.
I have been fighting with the internet tonight, so I will hit the high points of the forecast.
- Today will feature mostly sunny skies as our winds gust up once again. Highs will be in the low and mid 60s.
- Sunday still looks like the best weather day of the foreseeable future. Temps will be in the upper 60s to low 70s for many.
- A front will settle southward into the state Sunday night and early Monday. This will cause our clouds to increase and will also bring our temps way down from north to south. Look for a big temp gradient!
- The BIG change starts on Tuesday and the setup looks a little different than before. The Monday front is pressing farther southward leading to the area of low pressure developing right on top of us. This means Tuesday will be much cooler with rain breaking out. Winds should still be rather gusty.
- As the low sweeps to our east Tuesday night… MUCH colder air works in from the northwest and will stick around for several days. Check out the cold look from the European Model…
I’ll dive in and get more specific on that winter looking pattern with an update later today. Have a great Saturday and take care.