Daily Archives: October 20, 2011

Good Thursday evening gang. The big storm system that has been giving us fits for the past several days is finally beginning to pull away. This will clear the skies out across western and southern parts of the state.

The temps are going to take a big tumble overnight and several spots will make a run at 32 or a bit below. The winds will slowly settle down in these areas and that should allow for some frost to form and some may even see a light freeze.

Far western Kentucky is under a Frost Advisory tonight. As you can see on the map below… the NWS offices in Louisville and Paducah continue to be allergic to issuing anything frost or freeze related…



Don’t believe me? Watch this… FROST… FREEZE… FROST… FREEZE…

 

“Bless You”… “Gazuntite”   

Much of the state should get in on frost and possible freezing conditions Friday night into Saturday morning.   

The rest of the weekend looks pretty good as sunny skies return for Saturday. Highs will run in the 50s for many. Sunday will see some late day clouds and there is a shot at a shower or two by evening as a system works in from the northwest. A few of these will continue into Monday.

A nice warm surge moves in on Tuesday with highs in the 70s possible. This is ahead of another big shot of cold air for the end of next week. The GFS Ensembles continue to point toward some very big temp departures …




It’s a good looking setup and one I will continue to watch and have updates on. Speaking of… see you with the next update later tonight.

Have  a great evening and take care.

Good Thursday everyone. It’s day three of the major fall storm that continues to pound much of the Ohio Valley and Great Lakes. This thing continues to produce rain, gusty winds and cold temps across the bluegrass state. We will have the tracking toys and a peek into next week coming your way in a bit.

Before we talk a little about what’s going on right now… let’s talk about some notable records about to bite the dust. Covington is ready to crown 2011 as the wettest year on record.. and there are still 2 months and change to go! Ashland is already into the top 10 wettest years ever and Louisville and Lexington should crack the top 10 before the year is out.

I have been talking a lot about the past years(analogs) i’ve been looking at in helping to shape my fall and winter thoughts. One year has been standing out from the rest and that same year shows up as one of the wettest years on record for each of the cities I mentioned above. I already had it at the head of the class and I may go ahead and make it the teacher at this point. It is a VERY strong analog for this fall and winter! Can any of you guess which year i’m talking about?

Back to the storm of today…

- Winds are going to be a big time player with gusts of 30-40mph at times… especially north.

- Widespread showers will continue and a touch of sleet can’t be ruled out for some. The higher elevations of southeastern Ky will likely pick up some wet snow out of this.

- Temps today will stay in the low and mid 40s for highs for much of central and eastern Kentucky. The west will see balmy temps near 50.

- A leftover shower is possible across the east on Friday as a drying trend sets in from the west. Highs should hit 50 in the east and mid 50s west.

- Frost and freeze threat for Saturday and Sunday mornings. Lows of 32 or below will be possible for some areas. Outside of that… the weather looks good.

Track today’s nasty stuff…



Current Temps



Winds


Today’s Rainfall


Looking farther down the road… the active pattern continues into next week. There will be a weak system moving in from the northwest Sunday night and Monday and may produce a few showers.

Tuesday looks mild to warm with readings heading toward the 70s and mainly sunny skies. It is around this time we start to see another surge of cold air moving into the plains states and this is likely the beginning of another winter looking setup for the second half of the week.

The air with this next surge should be colder than what we are dealing with now and that may up the chances for some fun and games. The GFS has been advertising this cold shot for a while now…



The Canadian Model has now come aboard with an even colder looking trough…



Both indicate some kind of storm forming along the east coast with the Canadian developing some fantasy tropical system. We need to really watch this pattern for the end of next week as it has some potential for so early in the season.

I will have updates as needed. Have a great Thursday and take care.