Daily Archives: November 22, 2011

Good Tuesday evening everyone. The threat for severe thunderstorms has just about ended across the state. The action looks to stay just to our south, but may try to clip far southeastern Kentucky later this evening.

Heavy bands of showers and thunderstorms will continue across the eastern half of the state with up to another inch possible. Some areas have been dealing with high water issues from the 1″-2″ rains from earlier today, so this will have to be watched.

High winds are kicking up right now and this trend will continue into the evening. Gusts of 35mph will be possible along a cold front sweeping eastward.

Another update will come your way later this evening as I focus more on the chances for accumulating snows early next week.

Track some rain until then…








Take care.

Good Tuesday everyone and thanks for checking in on us. Today is likely to be an active weather day across the state with the potential for strong and severe storms. I have your regular tracking toys and also some words on the increasing wintry threat for late weekend into early next week.

Low pressure will track across the Ohio Valley today. Widespread showers and thunderstorms will be common ahead of a strong cold front sweeping in. Instability is rather meager today, but the forcing along the front should make up for it. Throw in some low level shear and you can get severe storms to crank up. Damaging wind is the main threat with an isolated tornado or two possible. There is just enough shear to support the possibility of a November twister if things get cranking.

Here are your storm tracking tools…

Today’s Severe Weather Threat


Current Watches










The rain will pull away from west to east on Wednesday as cooler air moves in. Thanksgiving Day and Black Friday continue to look GREAT!

The pattern is about to turn wintry for our region as we dive into winter. The models are all coming around to a monster cutoff low pressure across the Ohio Valley from late this weekend into early next week and use that as a catalyst for a pattern change.

Your model rundown…

GFS


European Model


Canadian Model


Nogaps


That would make for some interesting weather around here. Each of those models show a rain to snow scenario playing out from Sunday into Monday with some lingering snows possible into Tuesday. Some of those runs show accumulating snows here and the possibility of something big somewhere across the Ohio Valley. Are they correct? We will have to wait and see, but you will rarely find that much agreement in the models from this far out.

Fun times ahead.

I will have updates on today’s severe weather threat as needed. Don’t forget to give me a follow on twitter for some rapid fire updates.

Have a great Tuesday and take care.