Daily Archives: December 13, 2012

Time posted: 7:38 pm

Thursday Evening Thoughts

Good Thursday evening. All eyes continue to be on what’s going on next week and there continues to be… well… a lot going on. A series of systems will impact our weather and a few of them should be on the wintry side.

The models are still trying to come together and are still a day or two away from having a good handle on things. The GFS has shown everything from a major storm to no storm for us early next week… and that’s just with runs over the past 24 hours. The afternoon run of the model is starting to come around, but is still too far east with the system.

The latest run shows light snow breaking out around here Monday night into Tuesday…

The GFS Ensembles mean is also starting to pick up on the east coast storm…

Don’t be surprised to see both show a farther west solution in the coming days.

The European Model continues to show a farther westward storm, but is weaker than what it was showing before…

You can also see another system diving in from the northwest by next Thursday. That one begins the process of unleashing the real deal cold from Canada… just in time for Christmas Weekend…

It’s beginning a lot like Christmas! 😉

Enjoy your evening and take care.

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Time posted: 3:58 am

Tracking A Busy Pattern

Good Thursday. More in the way of sunshine will fill the sky across the commonwealth of Kentucky today and that trend takes us into Friday. Don’t let the sun fool you because this pattern is loaded with action in the coming days and weeks. There’s a lot of winter ready to show up across the country and I don’t expect us to be left out.

Highs today will warm into the middle and upper 40s and be near 50 on Friday. That’s the sunny side of our weather story.

The action begins to ramp up on Saturday as low pressure works into the Ohio Valley. This will bring scattered showers back into town and those will hang around into Sunday. This is where things get a little murky as the models try to pick out which piece of energy to focus on and blow up into a storm.

Just take a look at a sampling of the models to see how many different systems they are trying to figure out…

European

Canadian

UKMET

I’m not going to waste time in showing the GFS because it can’t play well with others. Until it shows something similar to any of the other models, it’s left out in the cold. 🙂

So what does all this mean for our weather? It’s still too early to say with any certainty, but one of those systems should develop into a big storm Tuesday into Wednesday and impact on our weather. Snow, rain or a mixture of the two will be possible during this time. I won’t be able to get more specific until we get into the weekend. Again… we are, at least, in the game.

While this storm will be getting my full attention in the coming days, I’m always looking ahead at the general pattern. That pattern right now is screaming cold and possibly snowy as we get close to Christmas through the start of the New Year. The European Model shows the cold really getting established the weekend before Santa arrives…

There’s even the chance for some full blown arctic air shortly after Christmas. Buckle up and enjoy the ride ahead.

I will have additional updates coming later today. Enjoy a sunny Thursday and take care.

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