Daily Archives: February 11, 2013

Monday Evening Update

Good Monday evening to one and all. Winter is about ready to return to the commonwealth as we are tracking a system that may bring some snow by Wednesday. That will be the opening act for a weekend of arctic cold, some snow and wind.

The system moving in Wednesday takes a track across Tennessee into North Carolina. That will send a swath of wet snow and rain into the bluegrass state. There is likely to be some accumulating snow with this, but the NAM looks a little juiced up for my taste…

NAM

A warm ground and marginal temps will be fighting the snow that falls. We will just have to wait and see what we can get to stick and what areas will see it.

Arctic air dives in on Friday and this will bring additional snow chances to the state. Will this be in the form of rounds of snow showers and squalls or a more pronounced snow system? The Canadian Model likes the bigger system…Canadian

The GFS is trying to come around to something similar for later Saturday…

GFSAnother northwesterly trending system on the GFS is very possible! ;)

Have a great evening and take care.

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Winter Blows Back Into Town This Week

Good Monday, weather weenies. The winds of change are howling across the bluegrass state to start the new work week. These winds will blow winter back into town over the next few days. Snow threats and arctic air will take  center stage later in the week and weekend.

Today will feature a mix of sun and clouds with temps in the upper 40s and low 50s. Winds will be the main story as gusts may top 40mph at times. Hold on to those hats!

Colder air will then bleed into the state into Tuesday. This air is marginally cold enough to produce snow as the next storm takes aim at the region on Wednesday. The models are beginning to come into better agreement with a farther northward tracking low toward the Carolinas. The NAM and GFS look very similar…

NAM 1

GFS

The models are still trying to figure out the track of the low and are struggling with the thermal profiles. Regardless, temps are going to be touch and go with this system, but I do suspect we will see a swath of wet snow setting up. We will have to figure out exactly where that is as we get closer. The track alone is one that usually produces snow around here.

Arctic air will then plunge southward into our region on Friday and that will set us up for a wicked weekend of winter weather. There is a good possibility of a wave of low pressure developing along this arctic front and then bombing out just to our east or northeast. The Canadian model shows this…

CanadianI’m not really sure how to feel about the pattern  setting up for the rest of the month. I do love my cold and snow, but not so much this time of year. Spring training starts this week and my mind is quickly turning toward the spring months just around the corner.

I will update again later today. Have a great Monday and take care.

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