Monthly Archives: March 2013

April Starts Cold, But It Won’t Hold

Good Monday and welcome to the month of April. The month is off and running on a cold note as we see some of that March pattern hanging around this week. This is an impressive blast of chill blowing in, but the pattern is about to take a much needed turn to mild.

A cold front continues to drop in from the north early today. This may produce a rain shower that may mix with a flake of snow later in the day. The moisture with this front is rather limited and I don’t expect to see much of anything.

The temps will be the big story with highs today in the mid and upper 40s with overnight lows dropping into the 20s. That will set us up for a very chilly day on Tuesday as thermometers struggle to get past 40 degrees. 20s will be back Wednesday morning with highs back into the 40s.

A southern storm system continues to look like it will influence our weather by Thursday. Chilly showers will be possible, but that action may work out of here on Friday…

GFS That would then set the stage for a much milder weekend with temps hitting the 60s for highs. Next week has the potential to bring 80 degree temps in here for a day or two. This is part of an overall setup that should feature milder than normal temps…GFS 2With the good will come the bad and that will be the start of a period of stormy weather that will carry us through May and into the summer.

Have a great Monday and take care.

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A Warmer Pattern In Sight

Happy Easter, Everyone. We have a half and half weather day taking shape across the commonwealth of Kentucky. Showers are blowing across the state early today, but some drying will try to take over by the afternoon. This is ahead of another blast of cold air coming in early in the new week. Hang tough… I am seeing a nice change to warmer air showing up in the near future.

The showers will slowly diminish into this afternoon as winds gust up and temps head toward the low 60s for many areas.

A strong cold front blows in here on Monday with the chance for a late day rain or snow shower. Moisture is rather limited with this front that will be remembered for the cold air it gives us for the first few days of the new month. Highs Tuesday will be in the upper 30s and low 40s and low and mid 40s for Wednesday. Overnight temps will hit the 20s.

The overall weather pattern for the past month and a half has featured a trough in the east and that has allowed cold air to funnel our way from Canada. Over the next week… this pattern will reverse itself…

GFS 2
A MUCH milder pattern will develop later this weekend into next week and that will FINALLY get spring going.

The transition period between the cold and the warmer setup is one to keep an eye on later next week. There could be a slow moving storm system rolling across the southeast and the models are going in that direction for Thursday…

GFS Euro
The GFS and European are trying to get together to give us a few nasty days by the end of the week. Here’s hoping that junk stays to our south.

Happy Easter and take care.

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Easter Weekend Weather

Good Saturday and welcome to a wonderful start to our Easter Weekend. Thermometer readings are going to head toward the low 60s in many areas as skies go partly sunny. The same can’t be said for Easter Sunday as some showers come calling.

Temps today will be from the upper 50s to low 60s for many areas and that is simply awesome! Gusty showers will roll into town late tonight into early Easter Sunday. This will cause some issues for outdoor festivities early in the day. The good news is, we will see a drying trend setting in for the afternoon and evening as temps run toward the low 60s. Winds will be rather breezy as Easter egg hunts get underway.

A strong cold front enters our weather picture on Monday. That will have another blast of very cold air behind and may produce a rain or snow shower…

GFS

Temps on Tuesday will struggle to get out of the upper 30s for highs as lows into Wednesday and Thursday continue to run below freezing.

Milder air will begin to work in for the second half of next week with temps warming close to 60 degrees by Friday. That looks to be the start of a milder period of air that carries us into the middle and end of April. The GFS has a milder look to it for the second week of the month…

GFS 2

Make it a great Saturday and take care.

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Milder For The Holiday Weekend

Good Friday, everyone. We’re rolling into the Easter Weekend with a taste of some milder air surging in from the southwest. Normal late March temps will be with us for the closing days of the month and that’s a far cry from how the rest of the month has been.

The milder air will likely be accompanied by scattered showers and the first batch will arrive today across western and southern Kentucky. We’ll have to watch those to see how far north they get. Temps will generally run in the 50s for highs.

Temps will then warm for the weekend…

GFS 2Upper 50s to low 60s will be common both days. Saturday looks to feature mainly dry weather with only a small chance for a shower. Easter Sunday will see a better threat for some showers… especially during the first half of the day. Those rains won’t be around for the entire day and we will see some dry weather, so plan accordingly.

A shot of very cold air will work back in later Monday and Tuesday and this may bring a shot of rain and snow.

The overall pattern continues to show signs of breaking down. Near normal temps appear to be more likely by the end of next week and that’s good news for spring breakers.

Take a look at the improving signal going toward the middle of the month…

GFS

Now, THAT looks good!

Have a great Friday and take care.

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A Cold Start To April On The Way

Good Thursday to one and all. We are finally looking at a decent weather day across the bluegrass state. Some sun and tolerable temps will be noted out there today. While that’s all good… the cold weather isn’t done with us yet and is likely to return for the first week of April.

Highs today will range from the upper 40s in the north to the low 50s in the south and west. Skies will be partly sunny with a little more cloud cover in the west.

Friday will find us on the cusp of some milder air pushing in from the southwest. This can often be a “dirty” warm up with clouds and the chance for a shower or some sprinkles. The GFS is hinting at this for Friday afternoon…

GFS 3

Temps Friday will head toward the low 50s for many, but readings will be impacted by clouds and showers. That milder air will the surge in for Saturday with temps rebounding into the upper 50s to near 60. We will continue to see the possibility of a shower… especially in the afternoon. That’s ahead of a cold front that will bring scattered showers our way for Easter Sunday. It won’t be an all day rain, but umbrellas may be needed for some egg hunts.

That will be followed by a stronger cold front that arrives Monday afternoon and evening. This may be accompanied by a wave of low pressure that brings rain and a touch of snow our way by Monday night and Tuesday morning…

GFS 4

The air behind that front will bring thermometers way back down. Here’s a look at how far below normal Tuesday looks on the GFS Ensembles…

GFS 2Next week as a whole continues to look much colder than normal. The good news is that the blocking pattern is finally showing signs of breaking down as we go past next week. I continue to bang the drum on a flip to milder for the second half of April into May and that’s likely to be accompanied by a super active severe weather season. I see a lot of thunderstorm action lasting well into summer.

Make it a great Thursday and take care.

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Winter Looks To Hang On Into April

Good Wednesday, folks. It’s another much colder than normal day taking shape across the bluegrass state as old man winter rolls on. He will loosen his icy grip on us by the weekend, but there are strong indications of another big shot of cold coming our way for the first week of April. Yes… that stinks.

Today will feature temps in the upper 30s and lower 40s with scattered showers of snow, sleet and rain.

Thermometers will climb a bit by Thursday and Friday, but I’m becoming more concerned for the possibility of some clouds and chilly sprinkles. That’s something to keep an eye on.

Saturday continues to look like the best weather day we see for a while and that’s just sad. It’s not like the day would win a beauty contest, but it is being compared to some ugly ducklings and is the winner by default. Temps will hit the upper 50s to near 60 as winds begin to gust up ahead of our next system.

A cold front moves in for Easter Sunday and will bring showers and scattered thunderstorms. A colder push of air moves in behind it into early Monday…

GFS

That will set the stage for another shot of cold air sweeping in early in the new week. The front will put the brakes on across the Tennessee Valley and that’s when things may get ugly. A wave of low pressure will develop along the front and bring chilly rain and even some wet snow back into the region. The GFS…

GFS 2

The European Model has latched on to a similar idea, but is a day later…

Euro

How does the first week of April look in terms of temps? A lot like we’ve been seeing lately…

The pattern is slowly evolving toward spring and a switch to normal temps or above normal readings is likely for the middle and end of April. As I’ve been pointing out… that is likely to set us up for an active thunderstorm season into May and likely into the summer.

Have a great Wednesday and take care.

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Winter Will Ease Up Later This Week

Good Tuesday, everyone. We have another day of snow showers, cold temps and howling winds out there today. This setup has been rather common during this ugly month of March. I have some good news and it has nothing to do with saving money on car insurance. The pattern will ease up a bit later this week into the weekend.

Snow showers and flurries will be common across the state today and we will see additional, light accumulations. Slick spots on area roads will be common this morning with temps down in the 20s. Afternoon readings will hang in the 30s… again.

Leftover flurries will be noted on Wednesday with highs in the upper 30s and low 40s for most of the region. That’s the beginning of a slow climb out of the temperature basement. Highs by Thursday will warm well into the 40s and may flirt with 50.

The 50s will surge in here on Friday with a fair amount of sunshine. 60 degrees is within reach for Saturday as we start our Easter Weekend.

A cold front will approach the state Easter Sunday and should touch off scattered showers and some rumbles of thunder…

GFS

It’s all about the timing of the front as to whether or not your Easter egg hunt is all wet or dry. That’s something we will follow over the next few days.

In looking ahead to next week… the models are fighting. The GFS is showing another big shot of cold air during the middle and end of the week. The European Model has a stormy look to it…Euro

At this point… take the colder solution until further notice. ;)

Have a great day and take care.

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Monday Snow Tracker

Good Monday and welcome to the last week of March. This has been a wild weather month and that trend was very evident on Sunday. Severe thunderstorms with temps in the 30s and 40s isn’t a combo you see very often, yet, that’s what mother nature delivered to parts of the state. That’s the weather pattern we’ve living in… nothing is normal.

Speaking of abnormal… snow will blanket much of the bluegrass state today through Tuesday.  Let’s break it all down…

- Wraparound snows will be widespread across the state today as our storm system weakens out across the eastern Ohio Valley.

- Some accumulating snows are likely today… especially on elevated and grassy surfaces. Where it snows hard enough, slick spots can develop on area roads.

- It’s tonight into early Tuesday that I expect travel conditions to become more of an issue. This is when more in the way of sticking snow will be noted across the entire region. A general inch or two with local 3 amounts will be possible. Parts of southeastern Kentucky will do better than that with 4″+ a possibility through Tomorrow.

- Winds are going to crank with gusts of 35mph possible as cold air continues to funnel into the region.

- For the record… I do expect several school delays and cancellations on Tuesday.

Let’s keep tracking…

Current Temperatures

I-75 @ Clays Ferry Bridge South
Between Lexington and Richmond

US 60 @ US 127
Frankfort
US60 @ US127

I-71/I-75 at Buttermilk Pike
Near Covington
I-71/I-75 @ Buttermilk Pike

I-71/I-75 at I-275
Near Covington
I-71/I-75 @ I-275

I-64 @ 3rd St. Exit
Louisville
I-64 @ 3rd St. Exit

Downtown Louisville @ 2nd & Broadway
Louisville
Downtown Louisville @ 2nd & Broadway

Courthouse Square
Somerset


Natcher Parkway MP 5
Near Bowling Green
Natcher Parkway @ MP 5

I-24 MP 7 @ US 62
Paducah
I-24 MP 7 @ US62

I will update things later today. Make it a good one and take care.

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Tracking The Rain and Snow

Good Sunday afternoon, gang. I promised to set you guys up with the latest tracking tools and that’s what we’re doing with this post. Before we get to the toys, here’s a look at the last call for snowfall through Monday morning…

Special

The biggest change was across eastern and northeastern Kentucky. I knocked the totals down in these areas because temps in this area are likely to stay just above freezing well into tonight. That’s basically right under the low pressure that will be weakening out over the region.

The heaviest snow will continue to fall across our far northern counties. Backlash snows of an inch or two will be possible across much of central and western Kentucky… especially on elevated and grassy surfaces.

The snow from Monday into Tuesday remains a bigger deal for most of central and eastern Kentucky. Widespread 1″-3″ totals will be likely during that point with amounts of 4″ or more across parts of southeastern Kentucky.

Let’s track…

Current Temperatures

I-75 @ Clays Ferry Bridge South
Between Lexington and Richmond

US 60 @ US 127
Frankfort
US60 @ US127

I-71/I-75 at Buttermilk Pike
Near Covington
I-71/I-75 @ Buttermilk Pike

I-71/I-75 at I-275
Near Covington
I-71/I-75 @ I-275

I-64 @ 3rd St. Exit
Louisville
I-64 @ 3rd St. Exit

Downtown Louisville @ 2nd & Broadway
Louisville
Downtown Louisville @ 2nd & Broadway

Courthouse Square
Somerset


Natcher Parkway MP 5
Near Bowling Green
Natcher Parkway @ MP 5

I-24 MP 7 @ US 62
Paducah
I-24 MP 7 @ US62

Have a great day and take care.

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Tracking A Spring/Winter Storm

Good Sunday, everyone. A winter storm will impact our weather over the next few days, with northern Kentucky feeling the initial brunt. This is the part of the state that will be dealing with the heaviest snowfall later today and tonight. Some areas in the far north have the potential to pick up several inches of snow during this time.

The rest of the state will see accumulating snow beginning later tonight and lasting through Monday and into Tuesday.

Let the maps do the talking…

Winter 1

What does all that look like in terms of snowfall through Monday morning? Here’s a fresh call…

Special

Keep in mind there is likely to be a pretty sharp gradient showing up across northern Kentucky this afternoon into the early evening. That will have a major impact on exactly where the ” a lot” vs. “some” snow lines set up. For the rest of the state… a slushy accumulation on grass and elevated surfaces should do the trick.

Widespread snow and snow showers will kick in for Monday and last into Tuesday. My forecast for that remains the same as earlier, but I will revisit those numbers later today…

Special Graphic

Winds will be cranking over the next few days. Gusts of 35mph will be common.

I will get you some tracking tools and a final call for snowfall later today. Have a great Sunday and take care.

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