Daily Archives: March 19, 2013

Time posted: 11:37 pm

Spring Arrives and Old Man Winter Laughs

Good Wednesday everyone and welcome to the first day of Spring. While the calendar says spring, old man winter is getting the last laugh as a winter looking and feeling pattern engulfs much of the country. At this point… those of us wanting some honest to goodness spring warmth are ready to throw in the towel.

A weak system is working across the state today and will bring a touch of rain and snow showers… especially across the south and southeast. The big news from this front will be the amount of cold air that pours in behind it for tonight and Thursday. Readings by tomorrow morning will be in the upper teens and lower 20s. Check out the high temps from the NAM…

NAM

Those highs are at or below where our normal LOW temps should be at this time of year. That brings us to a very active weather period that will feature two systems we will have to deal with. The first arrives in western Kentucky on Friday with some rain and snow.

Moisture looks to increase across central and eastern Kentucky Friday night into Saturday and that’s likely to be in the form of a mix. That is showing up well on the GFS…

GFS

That would likely transition to all rain during the day, but it bears watching. The main storm system will then roll our way Sunday into early Monday. The models are still trying to figure it out, but the amount of blocking suggests the European Model and the farther southward solution may be correct…

Euro 2

That scenario would mean rain for Sunday would go over to a shot of snow Sunday night or Monday as the low wraps up to our east. It would also tug down another monster blast of cold air that would be accompanied by widespread snow showers into the middle of next week.

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Time posted: 6:20 pm

Tuesday Evening Thoughts

Good Tuesday evening to my weather friends. I promised to drop by for an update and I am a weatherdude of my word… mostly. 😉 Here we go.

A weak system moves in on Wednesday with a shot of some light rain and light snow… especially in the south and east. Southeastern Ky has a shot at a small accumulation in the highest elevations. MUCH colder air will then fill in here Wednesday night and Thursday with lows in the upper teens and low 20s with highs in the 30s. Yep… that’s the first FULL day of spring.

Our focus will then turn toward two storm systems that may impact our weather. There are questions marks with both of these, but both may have a wintry aspect to them. The first arrives in western Kentucky by Friday and then tries to work eastward across the state into Saturday. The NAM is very aggressive in bringing snow and rain into our region…

NAM 2

Here’s the NAM Snowfall Map for that same period…

NAM 3

Well… that’s interesting. The GFS does NOT show that setup and is slower with the storm and is also a little warmer. The GFS then wraps up a storm on Sunday to our west and northwest and would give us thunderstorms that would transition to snow showers by Monday.

The European Model has a different look…Euro 3

Either way… it’s going to get super cold again early next week and that lasts for most of the week. Winter just will not end!

Enjoy the evening and take care.

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