Daily Archives: January 13, 2014

Monday Afternoon Update

Good Monday afternoon, gang. The dreary weather of today is soon to give way to the return of winter that comes in  a series of fronts that cross the state in the coming days. This is likely to lead us into a harsh period of winter that takes us through the end of the month and into February.

Our first arctic front arrives Tuesday evening into Tuesday night with a band of light snow. Snow showers and a few squalls follow that up on Wednesday…

NAM

Several models are trying to develop a wave of low pressure along this boundary as we roll into early Wednesday. The Canadian Model is among them…

Canadian

That would place parts of eastern and southeastern Kentucky in the area to watch for another band of light snow. Highs Wednesday will stay in the 20s on a gusty northwesterly wind. That gusty wind stays with us through the rest of the week into the coming weekend as additional clippers dive in.

The next one comes late Thursday into early Friday. The upper levels are a bit more favorable for a strong system to develop as the base of the trough swings in. The Canadian Model…

Canadian 2

The European Model…

Euro Euro 2

You can clearly see how both of those models are spinning up a low just to our east on Friday. That is also a serious shot of wind and cold diving in behind this system.

Moral of the story… winter comes back this week and you have the chance to put some snow on the ground where you live. The first chance comes Tuesday night and Wednesday and looks like the lighter of the two. The next comes Thursday night and Friday and has more potential than the first.

Additional troughs swing in next week and each of these look colder…

GFS

That is one deep trough by the end of next week and this will be the beginning of a harsh pattern for the rest of the month and into February.

I’m going to be as nice as possible with this next statement and this is NOT meant for everyone. The comments section is going to change and it starts now. I have asked and asked that you guys stick with weather or cordial talk amongst yourselves and stop with the trolling and complaining. This is not Facebook and it’s not your personal outlet to vent about whatever you are upset about.

I continue to get complaints from folks who are turned off by reading some of the comments on here. These complaints come from people who used to post regularly but now feel bullied and no longer post. I also get complaints from teachers who use this blog as a teaching tool.

As I’ve said.. I love you guys, but I have to do what I have to do. Commenting is a privilege and not a right… please remember that.

Enjoy the rest of your day and take care.

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Winter Returns This Week

Good Monday to one and all. Our week is starting off with mild temps and a shot of rain, but this is not representative of how the week plays out. A series of cold fronts will usher in the return of winter and the action gets started late Tuesday. Each front that moves in will have colder air than the one before and each will produce snow.

The rain today slips in as a front works into the region and low pressure develops to our south and east. The heaviest rain will be across central and eastern parts of the state. Here’s regional radar…

Colder air seeps in behind this front, but the real cold doesn’t come until late Tuesday into Wednesday. That’s when an arctic front moves in with a period of snow along and behind it…

NAM

The HI-RES Nam Simulated Radar shows good coverage of the snow showers and squalls on Wednesday…

NAM 2This is a vigorous system that will also bring quite a bit of wind. I do expect some accumulations from Tuesday night into Wednesday and this may cause travel issues. Temps for Wednesday will be in the 20s for highs.

The next arctic front takes aim at the region by late Thursday into Friday. This will also bring a round of light snow along the front with snow showers and squalls behind it. Thermometers behind it look even colder as winds really crank up.Canadian

We may see another clipper work in behind that one over the weekend and that would put us getting closer to my famed “clipper mania”. :)

Overall, we are likely to see a couple of light accumulating snows before the week is over. Maybe some snow days? :) The Canadian Model’s 7 day snowfall forecast thinks so…

Special

The longer range call is for the late month return of some very cold air that would likely carry us into February. The GFS and GFS Ensembles are on board toward the last week of the month…

GFS 3 GFS 2That has a wicked look to close out the month and head into February. In many ways… the worst of winter is likely in front of us. By many I mean snow. :)

Updates to come later today. Make it a great one and take care.

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