Daily Archives: November 17, 2016

Time posted: 7:30 pm

Thursday Evening Update

Good evening, folks. It’s been a fund at work with our annual WKYT Thanksgiving dinner. It’s also been a busy one as I put the final touches on the winter forecast. This will get you jacked up for it…

Hmmm… nothing like a little pressure to deliver 4 in a row. 🙂 You can also watch that on wkyt.com and then there is this…

Game of Thrones fans will get it. 🙂

Let’s get you caught up on the short term forecast. Record highs are a strong possibility on Friday as gusty southwesterly winds kick in. This is going to be a very bad forest fire day. As the cold front blows in Friday night, gusty showers will become likely. The models are delivering modest rain totals.

Here’s the GFS…

gfs-rain

The NAM is more aggressive…

nam

Temps drop roughly 40 degrees by Saturday morning with snow showers mixing with the rain. The GFS has some nice wraparound snow showers and flurries Saturday afternoon and evening…

gfs

That run of the GFS indicates much of central and eastern Kentucky would see some flakes…

gfs-snowThe late day run of the GFS continues to show wraparound snow showers and flurries…

gfs

Leftover snow flurries can linger into Sunday across the east as our cold northwesterly wind flow continues.

Looking toward Thanksgiving, another storm system will impact the region with chilly rains on Wednesday into early Thanksgiving. Can that end as a wet snowflake? The European says there’s a chance…

euro

I will have another update later tonight. Enjoy your evening and remember… Winter Is Coming! 🙂

Take care.

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Time posted: 1:54 am

From Flip Flops To A Few Flakes

Good Thursday, everyone. Our weather pattern is taking a little walk on the wild side over the next few days. Some of you may break out the flip flops over the next few days, but you want to keep the winter coats nearby because a big change is on the way.

This little taste of winter can even bring a few snowflakes to our region.

Before we get to that point, we have some toasty temps out there today and Friday. Highs both days will be in the 70s as winds begin to kick up from the southwest. This is ahead of a massive storm system rolling across the high plains. I used the B word to describe that system several days ago, and it looks like a November blizzard will hit the Dakotas and Minnesota. Check out the snow forecast up there…

gfs-snow-2

Road trip? 😉

As that system moves into southern Canada, it will drag a powerful cold front across Kentucky Friday night and Saturday morning. Wind gusts through Saturday can reach 30-40mph at times.

Showers and a rumble of thunder zip across the region Friday evening into the wee hours of Saturday morning. The cold air tries to catch the back edge of the showers early Saturday and switch some of that over to a few snowflakes…

canadian

Some additional flakes will be possible across central and eastern Kentucky later in the afternoon and evening on a strong northwesterly wind flow.

You can see this on the GFS precip type forecast…

gfs

The drop in temperatures during this time is rather dramatic. Check it out…

canadian

Looking toward Thanksgiving, the pattern looks to feature another system rolling right on top of the Ohio Valley…

canadian

That won’t have very much cold air to tap, but some rain and snow is possible across the Ohio Valley for Wednesday into Thanksgiving.

That will likely be followed up by another storm system later Thanksgiving weekend. That one may have a little more cold air to tap.

Speaking of colder air, check out this blocky look setting up across the Northern Hemisphere as we close November and Usher in December…

gfs-temps

That’s pretty wild to see all the blocking over the top, with much lower heights underneath, almost totally connected across the entire Northern Hemisphere.

If that verifies, that could be fun.

I will have another update later today. Make it a good one and take care.

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