Daily Archives: November 23, 2016

Time posted: 7:31 pm

Thanksgiving Eve Update

Good evening, gang. Thanksgiving eve is upon us and rain is rolling across the state. It’s not the heaviest rain in the world, but we will take what we can get. It’s obviously coming at a bad time for holiday travelers, and kicks off a busy pattern.

Let’s start things out by tracking the evening rains…

Thanksgiving Day will feature a lot of clouds around with a shower chance in the central and east. Those clouds will linger into Black Friday with upper 40s to low 50s for many areas.

A weak front drops in here Friday evening with gusty winds, but no precipitation. This sets the stage for some more clouds and a seasonal chill for Saturday. There is some indication northeastern Kentucky may struggle to get much past 40 degrees.

A BIG storm system is going to crank across the plains states and should send heavy rain and wind our way by Monday and Tuesday…

euro

That system is impressive and one we will need to keep a close eye on. High winds and local high water issues are possible across the region.

As that storm wraps up, another will come under it by Wednesday. That’s the last day of November and it could take on more of a winter look. Here’s a snapshot of the current models…

European Model…

euro-2

GFS…

gfs

I don’t think any models are handing that situation very well because there is soooo much energy coming through.

December starts cold with an increasing amount of blocking, it could turn very cold and snowy across the country.

Enjoy the evening and take care.

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Time posted: 1:59 am

Planes, Trains and Automobiles

Good Wednesday, everyone. The “Planes, Trains and Automobiles” post has become one of the great traditions here on KWC. On this busiest travel day of the year, it’s the perfect time to pay tribute to one of my all time favorite movies. This is a classic and I recommend you checking it out, if you haven’t seen it.

Here’s a little clip to get ya started…

Let’s get to the weather part of the program…

Rain is rolling from west to east across the state today and this could be heavy across the western half of the state. That’s where more than 1″ of rain may fall. That rain may even start out as a touch of sleet across the north early today. The farther east you live, the more dry weather you will see until this evening…

Winds will be a little gusty with temps mainly in the 50s for your travel plans.

Thanksgiving Day will feature a lot of low clouds with a leftover shower or sprinkle in the central and east. Temps range from the upper 40s to mid 50s across the region.

A weak cold front drops in here for Black Friday into Saturday. Additional clouds and gusty winds will be with us and I can’t rule out a light shower in the north and east. The core of the cold goes to our northeast, but a northwesterly flow should keep our temps on the chilly side…

nam

From there, we focus on a MASSIVE storm system developing in the plains on Sunday. That system is likely to bring a lot of heavy rain and wind to our region late Sunday night through early Tuesday…

gfs

That kind of setup can bring several inches of rain to parts of the Ohio and Tennessee Valleys. It would be terribly ironic to go from drought to flooding, but that’s something we will need to watch for.

Cold air surges in behind that as we get ready to close the door on November. There could be another system swinging through the base of the trough soon thereafter. That could be more of a winter weather maker.

The Ensembles for early December continue to look cold across the country…

gfs-temps

You can CLEARLY see how warm Canada gets as a massive block gets established. That’s a heck of a look, so let’s see exactly what it can deliver to us in terms of winter weather.

I will have another update later today. Safe travels and remember one thing… THOSE AREN’T PILLOWS!!!! 🙂

Take care.

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