Daily Archives: December 13, 2016

Time posted: 8:46 pm

Tuesday Evening Update

Good evening, gang. I’m a busy bee at my “real” job, but wanted to drop by for a quick update on where things stand going forward. Basically, there isn’t much to add or say to what I’ve already talked about over the past few days.

We have a weak front crossing the region this evening and can spit out some snowflakes…

The arctic front arrives late Wednesday with the really cold stuff settling in for Thursday and Friday.

The weekend weather continues to look a little on the wild side. Temps spike into the low 60s on Saturday with showers and thunderstorms. High winds could become an issue.

The temps tank overnight as arctic air surges back in behind a front. Teens and 20s show up by Sunday morning with a wintry mess taking over…

gfs

Is that an hour or two of sleet, freezing rain and snow? Is it several hours? If the answer is the later, we will have some bigger issues. Also, all that water from the Saturday rains will freeze up very quickly.

The arctic air continues to settle in for Sunday night…

euro

I’ll go more in depth with all this and look ahead toward the run up to Christmas with my next update later tonight. Enjoy the evening and take care.

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Time posted: 12:30 pm

Tuesday Afternoon Update

Good afternoon, folks. I wanted to drop by for a very quick update on the upcoming arctic air and the system moving in for the weekend.

Let’s start with the short term and roll forward. Some light snows continue to brush northern Kentucky today, with a shower or two elsewhere.

Temps drop this evening and there could be another little batch of some flurries or light snow trying to develop farther south. The GFS shows a few flakes into Wednesday…

gfs-snow

This is when the arctic front arrives with gusty winds and a big drop in temperatures. The numbers by Thursday morning can drop into the single digits in the north…

canadian

Thursday’s highs should range from the upper teens to low 20s, but gusty winds make it feel much colder.

The weekend system continues to look pretty awesome from a meteorological standpoint. Friday starts with arctic air in place and the potential for some overrunning light mix late in the day.

Temps then rise Friday night into Saturday and may hit the low 60s on a gusty southwesterly wind. Showers and some rumbles of thunder will be possible.

The arctic front then moves in Saturday night and early Sunday, undercutting a pretty healthy precipitation shield. As temps drop into the teens and 20s, things could get ugly for a time. Sleet, freezing rain and some snow will all be possible. Here’s the GFS breakdown…

gfs

Very cold winds blow behind that as another shot of arctic air moves in for the start of Christmas week.

I will see you guys for another update later today. Have a good one and take care.

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Time posted: 2:07 am

A Very Cold Period Ahead

Good Tuesday, everyone. The first few weeks of December have been colder than normal across our region, but the next week and change looks to be much, much colder. We have a couple of arctic shots on the move, and we are also tracking some winter weather.

The first touch of winter weather zips eastward today and can put down some light snow in the far northern parts of the state. Farther south, a very light mix and light rain will be possible at times…

 Covington Cams

I-275 @ Mineola Pike

 I-275 East of KY 20/Airport Exit

 I-71/I-75 @ Buttermilk Pike

 I-71/I-75 @ 12th St. in Covington

Temps will be all over the place with the north being much colder than the rest of the state. All the numbers drop in a hurry this evening as colder air seeps in.

The actual arctic front arrives later Wednesday with some flurries or light snow showers. Temperatures will tank by Wednesday night and Thursday morning with high single digits possible in the north, and 10-15 everywhere else. The wind chills will be way down there by Thursday morning…

nam-3

Afternoon high temps on Thursday may not get out of the upper teens for some…

nam-2

Imagine how much colder it would be with snow on the ground.

From there, we watch a complicated weekend setup with two systems to impact our weather. The first brings some overrunning mix later Friday before a temp surge and rain for Saturday. Another arctic front arrives Saturday night with sleet, freezing rain and some snow into Sunday. Here’s the Canadian…

canadian

Check out the temperature plunge Saturday evening into the wee hours of Sunday…

canadian

That is a serious arctic front. We can hit 60 degrees Saturday afternoon and evening then drop into the teens and 20s by Sunday morning.

The European Model looks very similar…

euro-2

So does the GFS…

gfs

Sunday could be an interesting day with arctic air crashing in under a shield of precipitation!

That same arctic front then slams the brakes on just to our south and east, allowing for another storm system to develop. It’s early in the game, but this continues to show up as a winter weather maker for later Monday and Tuesday. Here’s the Canadian…

canadian-2

The GFS…

gfs-gif

Once that goes by, we are in the days leading up to Christmas. The GFS is showing a healthy cold front with some snows possible by the middle of next week…

gfs-2

The same model run of the GFS sends this as a Christmas card…

gfs-3

That’s still 12 days away, but it’s within the range to start having some fun with the model forecasts for Christmas weekend.

I hope you’ve enjoyed another blowout post. I will have updates later today. Enjoy your Tuesday and take care.

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