Daily Archives: December 28, 2016

Time posted: 7:24 pm

Wednesday Evening Update

Good evening, everyone. Showers and thunderstorms are racing across the region this evening as a cold front settles into the region. This front will usher in much colder air and gusty winds on Thursday, with snow showers and flurries coming in behind that.

Firs things first, let’s track the boomers…

Much colder air comes in behind this for Thursday with snow showers and flurries flying late Thursday into Friday. Some light accumulations are possible, especially in the east.

I have no changes on the weekend with mainly rain, with some wet snow possibly mixing in on Saturday.

The next storm for Monday can produce high winds and strong thunderstorms…

gfs-3

After that, the arctic front slams in here Tuesday night into Wednesday, with the potential for some snows behind it. The arctic air pouring into the country is the real deal late next week into the following weekend.

Watch the blocking developing overtop of a deepening trough engulfing the entire country…

euroThose are three day increments and are incredible to see. With a setup like that, we have to watch for southern stream storm systems working by just to our south and east. The European continues to be all over that…

euro

Snow lovers from the lower Ohio Valley into the Tennessee Valley should be liking this potential.

I will update you again later tonight. Make it a good one and take care.

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Time posted: 12:28 pm

Wednesday Afternoon Update

Good afternoon, everyone. I only have a moment, but wanted to throw out a very quick update on the return of some winter weather.

A cold front moves in this evening with gusty showers rolling from west to east…

Northwesterly winds kick in behind this system for later Thursday into Friday. That should produce snow showers and flurries across central and eastern parts of the state…

gfs

Some coatings will be possible for many, with local 1″ amounts possible in the east on Friday morning…

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The New Year’s Eve system moves in with mainly rain, with some snowflakes trying to mix in…

nam

That will be followed up by a more potent system late New Year’s Day and into Monday. Gusty winds will likely usher in showers and thunderstorms during this time. Another round of heavy rain is there for the taking.

Arctic air then surges in here on Wednesday and could be accompanied by a wave of low pressure along it…

canadian

That’s some absolutely frigid stuff moving into the country for the second half of next week into the following weekend. It’s a setup that will also try to spit out some winter storm systems working just to our south. The GFS now sees this…

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Lots of potential on the table over the next few weeks, so let’s sit back and enjoy the ride of tracking it all. Isn’t that half the fun? 🙂

I will update things again this evening. Enjoy the day and take care.

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Time posted: 2:21 am

Snow Showers On The Way

Good Wednesday, everyone. We have a fairly nice weather day out there, but that changes in a hurry this evening as a cold front moves in. That front will introduce much colder temps and an increasing threat for snow showers that can put down some light accumulations across the region.

Winds today will be very gusty as clouds roll in this afternoon. Showers zip in from west to east from late afternoon into the evening. That same storm will then turn the corner and develop into a semi-surprise blizzard across New England…

gfs-3As that system strengthens, it helps increase the northwesterly wind flow into our part of the world. That cold wind coming over the warmer Great Lakes waters will mean snow showers and flurries for much of central and eastern Kentucky late Thursday into Friday…

gfs

Light accumulations are a good bet, with the east and southeast potentially picking up an inch or so of snow. I can see the high ground picking up a few inches. Areas of West Virginia will pick up a lot more than that…

gfs-snow

The New Year’s Eve system continues to trend a little colder, leading to more of a rain and snow mix across the region. Notice how the snow map increases when we add Saturday and Saturday night into it…

gfs-snow-2

Another system follows that up with rain and gusty winds later New Year’s Day into Monday. Heavy rainfall and some thunder will be possible with this system.

After that goes by, look out, the country goes into the deep freeze with a pattern frozen dreams are made of. Blocking trying to link up over top with a trough trying to cutoff to the east of Hawaii, allowing for a coast to coast bitterly cold trough to develop mid and late next week…

euro-3

I’ve been trying to get you guys ready for this for the past few weeks. It’s a pattern that I’ve talked about potentially going above and beyond my winter forecast in terms of cold and snow.

I’ve talked about the pattern arguing for winter storm systems to develop and pass just to our south. Now the models are beginning to show this. Here’s the European later next week…

euro-2

The Canadian also has a nice look…

canadian

And the bitter cold coming in behind that…

canadian

I want to stress a few things here. This isn’t one of those ” the models show” deal with the overall pattern. This is going to be a headline making winter weather setup across much of the country in the coming weeks. In terms of snowfall, it’s also not just a model shows this or that… It’s about the pattern favoring this region for winter weather events and now the models are seeing the potential.

I’m not just talking about next week either. This is a pattern that can repeat itself through much of January and into early February, and can wreck a winter forecast. 😉

I will have updates later today. Make it a good one and take care.

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