Daily Archives: December 29, 2016

Time posted: 7:20 pm

Thursday Evening Update

Good evening, gang. Snow showers and flurries are breaking out across central and eastern Kentucky with light accumulations possible tonight and early Friday. The rest of the forecast for the New Year’s Weekend continues to look the same as we have talked about.

I want to focus on what follows that up for next week. Thunderstorms are possible on Monday, but the real focus is on a serious winter pattern potentially developing for the second half of the week into the weekend.

The overall setup remains the same with blocking overtop of a deep and bitterly cold trough across the country…

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That same setup can also feature an active southern storm track that turns the corner and up the coast.

The European Model for the end of the week into the following weekend continues to advertise a lot of winter weather…

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Verbatim, that run is snow and ice. Don’t sweat things, it changes from run to run. I’m just looking at the overall pattern.

The GFS has a similar setup…

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Check out the bitterly cold air engulfing the country…

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Temps behind that storm system can absolutely tank…

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I leave you with the regional radar to track the snow showers this evening…

Enjoy your evening and take care.

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Time posted: 12:16 pm

Thursday Afternoon Thoughts

Good afternoon, friends and neighbors. Very gusty winds are blowing across the state as temps drop from northwest to southeast. This strong northwesterly wind flow will then kick off snow showers and flurries this evening through Friday.

The best chance continues to be across the central and eastern parts of the state. Some light accumulations will be possible, especially in the east and southeast…

gfs-snow

Here’s regional radar to watch these develop later today…

The next system quickly works in here as we close out 2016 on Saturday. Winds will continue to be gusty with chilly showers potentially mixing with a snowflake or two…

nam

Gusty showers will continue into New Year’s Day as temps begin to climb. Those numbers may really take off on Monday as low pressure moves into the region…

gfs

If we get a storm system taking a track like that, high winds and some strong storms will be possible. At this point… why not? 🙂

Arctic air will then follow that up later Tuesday night into Wednesday. Some light snows will be possible just behind this boundary working through here.

The setup continues to then favor systems working just to our south and east. It’s always a good sign to see the GFS too far south with these…

gfs-2

I will hook you up with another update late today. Enjoy your Thursday and take care.

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Time posted: 2:05 am

A Very Active Pattern

Good Thursday, folks. To say our current pattern is active would be an understatement. From record highs to thunderstorms to snow showers, this week is bringing it across our part of the world. Believe it or not, things are about to get much more active with the potential for some harsh winter weather setting up.

Colder air slowly funnels into the state today, but this air isn’t terribly cold by any means. Lots of upper 30s and low 40s show up ahead of a late day increase in clouds.  Winds are going to be absolutely cranking today and could top 35mph at times.

As our northwesterly wind flow sets up tonight and Friday, snow showers and flurries will develop in central and eastern Kentucky. Some very light accumulations will be possible, especially in the east.

Our New Year’s Weekend will feature a weak system moving on for New Year’s Eve. This will bring a cold rain that can mix with a few flakes at times…

nam

New Year’s Day will feature more showers around as temps hang out in the 40s for highs.

The next storm system on Monday could become a strong thunderstorm producer around here…

gfs

High winds and heavy rains will be a good bet with this one. Remember that brief fall drought? Yea, that didn’t last long.

From there, here comes the arctic front! This bad boy arrives on the scene Tuesday night into Wednesday and may have a band of snow along and behind it…

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As that arctic air mass gets established for the second half of next week into the following weekend, we have to watch for the southern storm track to get cranking. The European model…

euro-2

I will update things as usual later today. Make it a good one and take care.

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