Daily Archives: January 4, 2017

Time posted: 8:02 pm

Updated Snow Thoughts

Good evening, folks. It’s a busy one as we track the first widespread snowfall of the season across the bluegrass state over the next few days. A Winter Weather Advisory is out for most of the region through Friday morning.

We are within range for the super short range models to see the event. The HRRR is showing the snow moving into the region a little faster than some of the other models we look at. Here’s where it shows snow accumulations by 8am…

hrrr

It currently only goes through the Noon Hour and has a nice streak of snow already showing up…

hrrr-2

That already shows a 1″-2″ snowfall into areas along and just south of Interstate 64.

This seems to support the late afternoon runs from the NAM family. Here’s the Hi-Res based on a 10-1 ratio…

nam

The NAM also has some spots of greater than 3″ through early Friday…

nam-2

Most of the modelling is highlighting the Interstate 64 corridor for some of the better totals, with lighter amounts in the far south and southwest.

My New Call For Snowfall agrees…

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The Final Call For Snowfall will come out tonight on WKYT-TV at 11 and here on the blog later tonight.

Lows this weekend can still drop into the single digits in many areas, capping off this harsh little winter weather pattern.

Until then, take our exclusive interactive radar for a road trip to the west to track the snow…

Enjoy the evening and take care.

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Time posted: 12:27 pm

Wednesday Afternoon Update

Good afternoon, everyone. Snow is on the way to the bluegrass state as we head into Thursday and early Friday. This will be the first widespread snow of the season, and will likely cause slick travel to develop. Get your snow dance on, kids and teachers! πŸ™‚

I’m riding the current forecast I have out…

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Within that area of 1″-3″, some local 4″ amounts may very well show up. The Interstate 64 corridor may be the prime target for that, in addition to the southeast.

The new snow map from the GFS looks like it copy and pasted my snow forecast…

gfs-snow

The NAM isn’t too dissimilar, but it always overdoes WAA, leading to too much of a gradient…

namI would beef up the south and southeast quite a bit on that model run.

The next system on still tries to swipe southeastern Kentucky with a little more snow later Friday…

canadian-2

That’s the Canadian Model that shows this storm cranking just a bit to far south and east to have a big impact on our weather. Let’s see how the European handles it this afternoon.

Don’t sleep on the arctic cold coming! There’s a chance some areas don’t get out of the teens from Friday through Sunday. Overnight lows will likely drop deep into the single digits…

canadian

Can we get a negative number to show up in the traditional cold spots? I’m thinking that’s now a real possibility.

I will have a New Call For Snowfall on WKYT-TV starting at 4. Given the fact I’m on for 3 straight hours, I will likely update the map on the fly during that time, as I see new data.

Of course, I will post that right here later today.

Make it a good one and let’s see those snow dances!!! πŸ˜‰

Take care.

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Time posted: 2:23 am

Winter Crashes In Over The Next Few Days

Good Wednesday, everyone. Old Man Winter is about ready to press into the bluegrass state with arctic cold temps and our first widespread snowfall of the season. This will be complete with some slick roads and likely school delays and cancellations.

MUCH colder air continues to press into the region today as temps drop into the upper 20s and low 30s early on. A passing snowflake is possible, and I can’t rule out a slick spot as wet roads may ice up in some areas.

The fun begins on Thursday as light to moderate snow races in here through the day and takes us into early Friday. This is not a huge snowfall, but will cause roads to become slick or even snow-covered at times. Here’s my New Call For Snowfall…

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Don’t always just look at the high number and assume every area maxes out. I’m talking in general terms. Southern and southwestern parts of the state are the enigma of this forecast for me. I’m torn onΒ  what to do there, but will leave as is for the time being. The Canadian certainly says I should be a little more generous with the 1″-3″…

canadian

I will have , at least, two more updates snowfall forecasts later today, culminating with the all important Last Call For Snowfall. πŸ™‚

What about the weekend system? I’m still not totally ready to write this off as the Canadian and European Models are still too close for comfort. The Canadian is weaker, but still brushes far southeastern Kentucky with some light snow…

canadian-2

The European Model is MUCH stronger and also brushes the southeast with some Friday night and Saturday morning light snow…

euro-2

The stronger that thing gets, the better the chance it has of coming a little farther west and north. The European then takes that thing up the east coast as a snowstorm.

Regardless, frigid temps are in store for the weekend into Monday. I’ve noticed the GFS is finally spitting out single digits for our region. Fashionably late to the party, I see. πŸ˜‰

The Canadian may be too extreme with the cold, but dang…

canadian

I will shoot you some updates later today. Make it a good one and take care.

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