Monthly Archives: February 2017

Time posted: 12:18 pm

Severe Weather Update

Good afternoon, everyone. Strong to severe thunderstorms that rumbled across the state this morning are the opening act of a potential significant severe weather outbreak. Rounds of severe thunderstorms and possible tornadoes will sweep across the state tonight into Wednesday.

The tornado risk continues to increase this evening into tonight. There’s the potential for strong tornadoes to develop across the western half of the state, and along the Ohio River from Covington to Paducah. Here’s my current thinking on the tornado risk…

Special 2

This matches up with the SPC’s new Moderate risk across some of these same areas…

In addition to the tornado threat, damaging winds and large hail will also be significant players. The entire threat area will then focus on central and eastern Kentucky late tonight into Wednesday. Here’s the latest outlook from the SPC…

Flash flooding is also a major concern during this time. Much of the state is now under a Flash Flood Watch through Wednesday.

Our interactive radar is the best tool you will find to track severe weather. You can zoom in on any storm, get the latest warnings, current conditions and watch live streams from storm chasers across the land…

The rest of your tracking toys are below…

Today’s risk area

Latest Day 1 convective outlook

Current Watches
Current Watches

Possible Watch Areas
Current MDs

I will try to update things later today. Keep track of the latest from my @kentuckyweather twitter feed and with me on WKYT-TV.

Have a great day and take care.

14 Comments

Time posted: 2:07 am

Tracking The Severe Threat

Good Tuesday, everybody. We have a very busy severe weather setup taking shape through Wednesday. Rounds of strong to severe thunderstorms are going to cause issues across Kentucky. It’s definitely a day to stay up to date on the changing weather situation.

Our day starts with a warm front lifting through with the potential for strong storms. Hail and high winds will be possible with this first round.

Warm, moist and unstable air then settles in and this is when things get interesting. Severe weather will rapidly increase to our west by this evening and roll eastward from there. Damaging winds, large hail and a few tornadoes will be possible. Here’s the latest from the Storm Prediction Center for today…

The severe weather threat then focuses farther east tonight and early Wednesday. There is never a good time for severe weather, but overnight events are the absolute worst because people are sleeping and not paying as much attention.

Here’s the Wednesday severe weather outlook from the SPC…

It may also be a good time to hit the follow button on my @kentuckyweather twitter account. I will be tweeting warnings and the latest information. It’s also a WKYT First Alert Severe Weather Day, so be sure to tune in for live coverage.

As always, the blog is your online weather source…

 

Today’s risk area

Latest Day 1 convective outlook

Current Watches
Current Watches

Possible Watch Areas
Current MDs

I will update as possible. Have a great day and take care.

10 Comments

Time posted: 7:29 pm

Monday Evening Thoughts On Severe Weather

Good evening, folks. The next two days are going to be very active across our part of the world. The severe weather threat will increase later Tuesday and carry us into Wednesday.

Warm and moist air moves in here on Tuesday. The leading edge of this may have a few strong storms with it around the middle of the day. Winds are then going to absolutely crank as our atmosphere becomes very unstable.

The initial severe storms threat is to our west during the afternoon and early evening, but that threat rolls eastward Tuesday night. A few storms may get out on their own, leading to a few tornadoes spinning up. Here’s the latest outlook from the Storm Prediction Center for Tuesday…

SPC

The severe weather threat increase late Tuesday night into Wednesday for central and eastern parts of the state. This may include a squall line of strong to severe thunderstorms racing eastward with damaging winds and isolated tornadoes…

SPC 2

With our without thunderstorms, high winds are going to be an issue. Gusts will likely top out at greater than 40mph through Wednesday.

I will update things later tonight. Make it a good evening and take care.

3 Comments

Time posted: 2:12 am

Severe Storms Threat Tuesday and Wednesday

Good Monday, everyone. I warned you this pattern was about to get very active and mother nature continues to kick things up a few notches. Coming on the heels of Friday’s severe weather, we have a bigger outbreak of severe storms taking shape over the next few days.

Let’s start with what’s going on out there today.

A few showers are on the move through the first half of the day. These showers are introducing much warmer air surging in from the southwest. As the rains taper today, temps should climb into the upper 50s to low 60s for many…

Warm, moist and unstable air then moves in here on Tuesday. This air is ripe for scattered showers and thunderstorms to develop during the day as temps climb into the low 70s.

Explosive thunderstorm development is then likely Tuesday evening into Tuesday night, especially across the western half of the state. Supercell thunderstorms are possible and these can spin up a few tornadoes. That threat may focus a little farther east as the night wears on.

Here’s the SPC Severe Weather Outlook for Tuesday into Tuesday night…

All of this may culminate with a squall line of thunderstorms racing across the state on Wednesday. If that comes together, it would provide us with an elevated damaging wind threat.

With our without thunderstorms, winds are going to absolutely howl from Tuesday through Thursday. 40mph gusts are a strong possibility outside of thunderstorms.

Much colder air comes in behind the severe threat for Thursday. A few snowflakes are even possible with temps in the upper 30s.

The models continue to suggest a weak clipper swinging in here for Friday…

Canadian 2

Temps will moderate quickly this weekend with readings taking off once again. This will come ahead of another potent storm system that can bring another severe threat early next week…

GFS

Check out the cold and flakes behind that. Sensing a pattern here? This is a very ugly setup for our spring severe weather season ahead.

I will update things later today. Make it a good one and take care.

24 Comments

Time posted: 5:12 pm

Severe Weather Threat Ahead

Good evening, folks. I have a brief moment, so I thought I would throw a quick update your way.

It continues to look like a very busy week ahead with a looming severe storms threat. The Storm Prediction Center places Kentucky in the slight to enhanced risk on Tuesday…

IMG_3068

The threat then carries into Wednesday and may actually increase…

IMG_3069

I will have a full update later tonight. Enjoy the evening and take care

 

4 Comments