Daily Archives: February 4, 2017

Time posted: 2:52 pm

Saturday Afternoon Update

Good afternoon, everyone. After a frigid start, our day is turning out pretty darn nice across the bluegrass state. This nice weather is about to give way to a potent storm system, ready to blast the bluegrass state early next week. That will bring cause a head on collision between spring and winter.

Temps this morning hit the single digits in many areas…

mesonetThis is, at least, the 8th time we have had single digits so far this winter, and that’s impressive given our lack of snow cover.

As we look ahead, Super Bowl Sunday continues to look like a mainly cloudy day with just a small mix chance in the morning. Highs hit the 40s for the entire region, but should hit 50 in the south and west.

Monday will see temps spiking deep into the 50s as showers develop throughout the day. Some thunderstorms will try to join the party late in the day. This is ahead of our big storm developing in the plains. That system will then roll into the Great Lakes, dragging a strong cold front across Kentucky. The end result will be the potential for high winds and strong to severe thunderstorms. Behind the front, a 30-40 degree temp drop and some wraparound flakes…

Euro

The Storm Prediction Center is seeing the threat for severe weather. They have a marginal risk for severe across the west on Monday…

SPC

Day 4 is Tuesday and they have most of Kentucky in the slight risk…

SPC 2

With so much wind energy available, we will need to be on guard for some damaging winds to go along with a large hail threat.

Even without true severe thunderstorms, check out the high wind potential as this storm rumbles through…

Euro 2

That’s a healthy shot of cold air by Wednesday and Thursday with the potential for another light snow maker to zip in here on Thursday.

That cold gets wiped out by Friday and Saturday as temps try to spike back into the 60s. That’s right, we will likely go from the 60s to the teens then back to the 60s in just a few days span.

Guess what that means? The potential for another big storm system to come together and impact us next weekend…

Euro 3

That’s another spring verses winter slugfest waiting to happen. Never a dull moment around here.

Enjoy your Saturday and take care.

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Time posted: 1:34 am

The Pattern Goes From Zero To Sixty

Good Saturday, everyone. The weather is calm across the region for now, but that all changes in just a few days. That’s when our pattern goes from zero to 60 with a big storm system ready to throw some wild weather in our direction.

Before that swings in here, let’s talk about our Super Bowl weekend. Temps today are frigid to start with readings in the teens. Afternoon temps climb into the 40s for the south and west with 30s in the north.

Clouds thicken up this afternoon and evening as a weak system sweeps in here for Super Bowl Sunday. That can produce a very light mix of rain and snow early on, but it’s not going to be a problem as temps climb deep into the 40s.

Rain arrives on Monday and we could hear some thunder by Monday night. This is on the nose of some warmer air sweeping in from the southwest, as a powerhouse storm comes together in the plains states. As that storm strengthens and heads into the Ohio Valley and Great Lakes, it will bring some wild weather our way.

Here’s a breakdown:

  • Temps will spike into the 60s on Tuesday on that strong southwesterly wind
  • Showers and thunderstorms will crank and some of those storms may be on the strong side.
  • Wind gusts Tuesday into Tuesday night can reach 40mph-50mph at times. Yowza!
  • As the front swings through, temps drop nearly 40 degrees by Wednesday morning. That’s when readings hit the 20s and likely stay there for the rest of the day.
  • Some wraparound snows will be possible on Wednesday.

Here’s what that whole mess looks like on the GFS…

GFS

Another system then dives in behind that later Thursday. The models say this has the chance to put down a swath of snow…

GFS 2

After that moves through, temps should shoot right back up ahead of another strong cold front…

GFS 3

Up and down, up and down, up and down.

I will have another update later today. Make it a good one and take care.

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