Daily Archives: February 11, 2017

Time posted: 7:54 pm

Saturday Evening Update

Good evening, folks. This post is from the “better late than never” file after your friendly weather dude spend much of the day at the Kentucky Sport Boat and Recreation show in Rupp. It’s pretty humbling to have so many people come up and talk about their love for Kentucky Weather Center. As I’ve always said, this site revolves around you guys. A shoutout to all those who wanted me to mention them in this update. 🙂

In terms of the actual weather. We have a cold front dropping in from the northwest with scattered showers around into Sunday. Winds are gusty and temps are very mild ahead of this front. We will stay in the 60s all night long, which is pretty insane.

Temps for Sunday will reach their high point early in the day, with falling numbers into the afternoon and evening. Lows by Monday reach the 20s.

We continue to watch a system trying to come together from later Tuesday through Thursday. A deep trough digs into the Ohio Valley and east as a disturbance comes out of the southwest. If you want a big winter storm around here, you want to see these two come together. The model trend is to keep them separate until it’s too late for us…

Euro 2

Here’s what that looks like at the surface…

Euro

That’s still a nice shot of cold with some flurries or snow showers for our region. But, it would become another big snow for the northeast, where they are getting pounded AGAIN this weekend.

Behind that… it can get darn warm around here. If we look at the upper level setup, there’s a heck of a ridge building into our region as a deep trough develops in the west and works east…

Euro 3

Temps next weekend can easily hit 70 or better and the models are starting to see this…

Euro 4

This setup can also lead to some big thunderstorms developing from the plains into our region. After that… Guess what happens? We will likely turn colder with some winter weather potential.

This overall pattern across the country is crazy, right now. I’ll touch on that later tonight.

Enjoy the rest of your evening and take care.

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Time posted: 1:37 am

Another Spring Fling

Good Saturday, everyone. Windy and mild weather has engulfed the bluegrass state and will hang tough through the first half of Sunday. This is another in a long line of spring flings in what has been a winter of ups and downs you typically see in March. Well, guess what we have for the week ahead? Yep… more ups and downs.

Temps today surge into the 60s on a strong southwesterly flow. Clouds will increase and some showers will be noted, especially later today into this evening.

Gusty showers continue into the first half of Sunday as a cold front plows through here. Don’t expect a ton of rain this weekend, with most areas under a quarter of an inch…

GFS Rain 2

Temperatures Sunday morning will be in the 60s for most of the state, but will drop during the afternoon and evening. Readings will be in the 40s by late afternoon and then keep dropping through Monday morning. Lows by then should be in the 20s.

Seasonal temps and nice skies will be with us to start the new week. Valentine’s Day will find us watching to see if we can get a system diving in from the north can merge with a system across the south.

The GFS continues to answer NO to that question…

GFS

That model shows the trough digging in and leaving the southern storm down along the gulf states. If that’s the case, its a 2 day cold shot with some flurries or snow showers possible.

The European Model keeps showing much more of a phase, but the current run has the storm too far to our east for any substantial impact…

Euro

Whatever happens with that setup, another serious surge of mild air is likely to follow…

GFS Temps

I will throw you another update later today. Enjoy your Saturday and take care.

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