Daily Archives: February 22, 2017

Time posted: 7:42 pm

Wednesday Evening Update

Good evening, gang. We have a very warm temperature surge blowing in over the next few days. This can give us one of the all time warmest days on record for the month of February. This can lead us into some strong or severe thunderstorms before a taste of winter moves in this weekend.

After a foggy start, sunshine returns on Thursday with highs reaching the 70-75 degree range for many areas.

Friday is the crazy warm day with readings in the mid and upper 70s. Can we get an 80 degree high temp to show up? It’s possible.  Winds will be very gusty from the southwest, ahead of a potent cold front moving int. This will fire up a squall line of strong to severe storms during the evening. Here’s the latest risk area from the Storm Prediction Center…

SPC

Damaging wind appears to be the main threat from these storms.

Temps crash quickly from west to east and there is even a chance to see some snow flurries on Saturday. Temps by Sunday morning drop into the hard freeze level with low and mid 20s likely.

Sunday is seasonal with 40s.

Another system zips in here on Monday with an increase in rain and maybe a rumble of thunder…

GFS 2

That’s on the nose of another surge of warm air moving in here for Tuesday and Wednesday. That’s ahead of another potent storm that can bring additional big storms and heavy rains…

GFS 3

The GFS has some hefty totals over the next week…

GFS Rain

Once we get past that, there are signs of cold trying to win the fight into the first few weeks of March. This is a very ugly look showing up…

GFS GIf

Green Thumbs are in trouble as we roll into March.

Enjoy your evening and take care.

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Time posted: 2:19 am

Record Highs Before Strong Storms Threat

Good Wednesday to one and all. We have a split personality day taking shape across the bluegrass state. Rainy morning will slowly give way to partly sunny skies and much milder temps this afternoon. This is ahead of a setup that can challenge all time February high temps over the next few days, and give us some big storms.

Showers will be likely out there this morning across the central and east, with slow clearing during the afternoon. Temps will be 70 in the west and near 60 in the far southeast, where the clouds linger longer…

Temperatures on Thursday will rise into the low and middle 70s with a mix of sun and clouds. There is a very small chance for a shower or storm going up.

All-time monthly high temps may be threatened on Friday. If we take Lexington as the focal point, 80 is the all time high from February 23, 1996. Highs on Friday should range from 75-80 degrees. That, my friends, is pretty darn awesome.

This warm air is ahead of a powerhouse of a cold front moving in Friday evening. This may produce a squall line of strong to severe thunderstorms racing from west to east…

GFS

Much colder air crashes in behind that with temps dropping into the upper 30s and low 40s for a time on Saturday. The GFS keeps showing a few snowflakes…

GFS snow

A warm front will then lift northward across the region on Monday and that will touch off showers and thunderstorms…

GFS

This will introduce another surge of very warm air that leads us into another potent storm system. This one could bring very heavy rain and strong storms our way by the middle of next week…

GFS 2

Colder would follow that, with another warm up and storm likely a few days later.

As I’ve been saying, this is a very active pattern that will put down a lot of precipitation across our region in the coming weeks.

I will have another update later today. Make it a great day and take care.

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