Daily Archives: May 19, 2017

Time posted: 2:09 am

Storms On The Increase

Good Friday, folks. Showers and thunderstorms are increasing across the region and some of these can cause a few issues. Strong storms and heavy rainfall numbers are possible through the weekend, with the greatest chance coming Sunday.

Today’s storms will be scattered, but can pack a decent punch. Small hail, high winds and torrential downpours will be possible where storms form. These will also be LOL storms.

Here are the tracking toys for the day…


Saturday’s storms will pack similar conditions across the entire region. It’s Sunday that continues to give the best signal for strong storms and heavy rains. Deep moisture coming from the Gulf of Mexico will get drawn ahead of a cold front entering from the west.

This setup usually produces storms that are loaded with rain and lightning. We may see a cloudburst or two cause some flood issues…

The models all show areas of 2″+ of rain through the weekend. Here’s the Canadian…

The GFS…

Keep in mind, individual thunderstorms can drop a few inches of rain in no time flat!

The rain moves away for a much cooler Monday with highs in the upper 60s and low 70s. The dry weather won’t last for long as another round of strong storms zips in late Tuesday into early Wednesday. That’s being pushed by a very ugly looking system upstairs…

We may see a day or two with highs in the 60s because of that. Ouch.

This setup continues to be one that is transient, with no one pattern becoming established for long. That means rain and storms will continue to be the norm right on through the rest of the month. The GFS is showing some 5″ rains over the next few weeks…

At this point, I’m wondering if this doesn’t just keep rolling on right on into summer.

Make it a great Friday and take care.

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