Monthly Archives: July 2017

Time posted: 12:51 am

Cooler Pattern Set To Return

Good Monday, everyone. The pattern for the first half of summer was largely cooler than normal across much of our region. That changed last week with temps taking a walk on the super steamy side of weather life, but a series of cold fronts will take us back toward a much cooler pattern.

The first front is on top of the region today, but is slowing down with the southward movement. That’s because a system diving in behind it is looking to be a much bigger deal later this week. I’ll get to that in a moment.

Let’s begin with today and the threat for scattered showers and storms. This action doesn’t look anything like the action we had this weekend, but will still be out there for you to track…

Highs today are still pretty steamy with mid and upper 80s, with a stray 90 west and south. Temps and humidity levels both drop in a big way on Tuesday. Highs should range from 80-85 degrees with some upper 50s showing up by Wednesday morning.

The next system looks to bring showers and storms our way by Thursday and Friday. That system may try to hang around just to our east into the weekend, and could throw some rain back into Kentucky if it does.

I’ve got the GFS looping all the way into the start of August…

With these frequent cold fronts dropping in from the northwest, cooler shots of air keep showing up…

The CFS shows well below normal temps into the start of August. Check out the 5 day average temp departures in Celsius…

The model continues to have August skewing cooler than normal as a whole.

I will show some seasonal models for the fall and winter later this week, so keep checking back.

Have a great day and take care.

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Time posted: 3:57 am

Tracking Strong Storms On A Sunday

Good Sunday to one and all. We have a cold front moving into the region today, bringing showers and storms our way. Some of these storms may be strong or severe. This front looks to check up across the region, keeping scattered and showers going for a few days. That’s one of two fronts I’m tracking for the week ahead.

Today may start with a potent line of storms before firing up a few more storms this afternoon and evening. Any storm that goes up today may contain damaging winds and large hail. We should also be on guard for possible local high water issues.

Here are your tracking tools for the day…


Current Watches
Current Watches

Possible Watch Areas
Current MDs

Scattered showers and storms will linger into Monday, with the possibility this stuff hangs around into Tuesday. You can see that and the second front showing up later in the week…

The Canadian has a more potent system swinging through by Friday…

Given all the action setting up, warmer than normal temps battle it out with cooler than normal, with the cooler trying tow win the war…

Have a great Sunday and take care.

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Time posted: 2:09 am

Heat Slowly Giving Way To Storms

Good Saturday, folks. The heat and humidity finally won the day on Friday with the hottest weather of the summer across the region. While today may not be quite as hot, it’ may be in similar territory, depending on what happens with clouds and storms.

Today will be hot and humid with temps ranging from the low 90s east to the middle 90s in the west. Heat index values will hit 100 or better in some of the same areas.  We will also be watching the northwestern sky for showers and storms to try and develop. Some of the storms may also be strong or severe, with the greatest chance across the north…


Additional rounds of showers and storms will move in on Sunday as a cold front nears from the northwest. This may give us a better chance for strong to locally severe storms. Here’s the latest from the SPC…

Highs on Sunday are still going to be very steamy and will flirt with 90 with enough sun.

That front slowly drops in on Monday with additional showers and storms. Between now and Monday night, some decent rains may fall across the region…

There’s the chance for some local flash flooding in this kind of setup.

The front now looks to check up across the region, leading to temps only getting to normal for a few days behind it. That happens because another system looks to dive in here by Thursday and Friday with more showers and storms. This is a pretty active looking pattern setting up with several cold fronts showing up over the next few weeks.

This could lead to quite a bit of rainfall targeting the Ohio Valley over the next few weeks…

Make it a great day and take care.

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Time posted: 2:54 am

Storms Try To Tame The Heat

Good Friday, folks. The heat has been underachieving for many this week and now thunderstorms are getting into the mix. These storms are scattered out there today, but will increase this weekend, with much cooler air moving in here early next week.

Today is a tricky temperature day because of the potential for clouds and some storms going up. Without clouds and storms, your temps likely hit the low 90s, with middle 90s possible in the west. With storms, temps will be several degrees cooler, obviously. Heat index values should range from the upper 90s to around 105.

The storm threat is intriguing because some of them could be strong or locally severe, especially in the north and east…


Storms will increase on Saturday and that should help knock the temps down a few degrees. Once again, we may be close to some strong or severe storms…

Storms become more widespread Sunday and Monday with a potent cold front dropping in here from the north…

Any storm that goes up through Monday can put down a lot of water and be locally severe. I wouldn’t be surprised to have some local flash flood issues arise at some point.

Much cooler air will then sweep in behind this front for early next week. It should feel nice for a few days before the pattern threatens to turn stormy once again.

The next 2 weeks worth of rainfall on the models is up there…

Make it a great day and take care.

40 Comments

Time posted: 1:20 am

Storms Challenge The Heat

Good Thursday, folks. Our mini heat wave is trying to finally kick in over the next few days, but storms are going to try to tame the temps. Those storms will then increase this weekend with a much cooler pattern settling in for next week.

Highs today range from the upper 80s to low 90s for many. The southeast may struggle to get to 90. Heat index values will range from 95-100, with low 100s in the west and far north.

With all the heat and humidity, I can’t rule out a storm or two going up…

Friday looks very similar with highs in the 90-95 degree range across the state with some triple digit heat index numbers showing up. That said, storms may try to bubble up in the afternoon and evening, especially on the northwestern sky…

That could certainly act to keep our temps in check. Saturday will be another hot and humid day, but storms may have a slightly greater impact on temps…

A strong cold front will then roll our way later Sunday with showers and storms increasing, and should carry us through Monday…

Recent model runs are spitting out the potential for some decent rains from now through Monday…

Much cooler air then settles in here for next week as a northwesterly flow kicks in. Check out the GFS forecast highs for Tuesday…

Wednesday morning lows…

Another system will then try to slide in here with some showers and storms by the end of next week.

Make it  a great day and take care.

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