Monthly Archives: July 2017

Time posted: 1:33 am

Tracking Another Fall Cold Front

Good Monday, everyone. July is wrapping up on a cooler than normal note across the region, and it appears August is going to bring more of the same. Another potent fall cold front is set to move in here later this week, with a big blast of cool air coming in behind it.

Temps today are general 80-85 for many areas, but that’s cooler than we should be. Low and middle 80s will be with us on Tuesday and I can’t rule out some scattered showers and storms. That action may increase a bit as we head into Wednesday…

That action then increases into Thursday as our front nears from the northwest…

The front slams in here Friday into Friday night with gusty winds, and showers and storms…

Several areas may pick up 1″+ rains through early Saturday. That’s when the early October air settles into our region. Highs this weekend are generally in the 70s, though any lingering clouds and showers could keep the numbers a bit lower. Lows will be in the 50s, with some upper 40s possible by Sunday morning.

The below normal numbers will last into early next week, but will begin to moderate some. As this happens, we will need to watch for a wet period trying to develop. That’s typical of departing deep troughs.

Speaking of wet patterns, the long range European Ensembles through September 11 show above normal precipitation for a lot of the country…

Temps during this same time are forecast to average below normal…

The CFS model during the same time is basically identical…

Summer is so overrated. 🙂

Make it a great day and take care.

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Time posted: 12:40 am

It’s A Fall Looking Pattern

Good Sunday to one and all. We’re putting the wraps of a flat out awesome weather weekend here in the bluegrass state. If this weekend is a taste of September, next weekend may look and feel more like October. This is one heck of a pattern taking shape and it is basically a fall setup.

July leaves us on Monday and it does so on a quiet and cooler than normal note. That slightly cooler than normal air is with us for day one of August on Tuesday, but the real deal cool is on the way by the end of the week into next weekend.

Before we get to the cool, a nice shot of rain looks likely, with the first rounds coming on Wednesday. That action then increase by Thursday…

That will help keep temps below normal, even ahead of the front diving in here on Friday. That will be accompanied by rounds of showers and some thunder. The European…

This is being pushed by one of the deepest looking troughs I can recall on a computer model for this time of year. Again, here’s the European…

The GFS is in 100% agreement. Here are the rains…

And the temps that go WAY, WAY below normal…

The Canadian isn’t going to be left out, since Canada will be supplying us with the cool air…

Folks.. Summer had better try go put up some kind of a fight, or fall will settle in early this year.

Have a great day and take care.

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Time posted: 1:01 am

Tracking Shots Of September Temps

Good Saturday, folks. It’s the final weekend of July, but the overall weather pattern looks and feels like the final weekend of September. This pleasant brand of air isn’t going to be one and done, with another shot waiting in the wings for next weekend. That one may be even cooler than this one.

We know all the weather is out there this weekend… It’s awesome… ‘Nuff said. 🙂

Temps will rebound into the low and mid 80s to start August on Tuesday. That’s ahead of another potent cold front dropping in here by the end of the week. That should produce more showers and storms…

That is being pushed by one DEEP trough showing up on the European Model. It’s so deep, I have to use the North America map to fit it all in…

Check out the temperature departures showing up on the European for next Saturday…

That’s pretty amazing to see in early August and is a setup many of you would kill to see in the wintertime.

The Canadian model is also showing this…

Look at all that below normal air surging into the eastern half of the country…

Make it a great day and take care.

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Time posted: 2:09 am

Heavy Rains Unleash A Taste Of September

Good Friday, everyone. Rounds of showers and storms continue to push across the region today, and a few can cause some issues. Once the rain clears, it’s game on toward a weather  weekend straight out of late September. Bring it on, Mother Nature.

Local high water issues are possible out there today as more showers and storms rumble through. Many areas picked up a lot of water on Thursday, so it won’t take much in these spots. Check out those heavy rain numbers in the east on Thursday…

Here are the standard tracking toys for the day…


The system bringing today’s rain then turns the corner up the east coast. That’s NOT something you see in late July, but is more like a cold weather system setup.

Much cooler air then dives in here behind the system with highs on Saturday in the 70s with a mix of sun and clouds and a stiff breeze from the northeast. Lows by Sunday morning will drop deep into the 50s and could get close to a few record lows.

Sunday looks VERY nice with upper 70s to low 80s for highs across the state. Just look how far below normal the numbers are…

This air this weekend is about as dry as you will ever find it around here for this time of year.

Temps moderate some for the middle of next week, but should still only get to normal levels for a few days. That’s when another system works in from the northwest with some showers and storms, and another shot of below normal temps possible…

Make it a great day and take care.

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Time posted: 1:53 am

Strong Storms and Local High Water Issues Possible

Good Thursday, folks. A potent storm system is rolling across the Ohio Valley today, bringing the potential for severe thunderstorms and local flash flooding. Once this rolls through here, things will look and feel more like late September than late July.

Storms today will come at us in clusters and can producing damaging winds and large hail. This action will carry us through tonight, with more general showers and storms continuing into Friday. In addition to the severe weather threat, these storms can put down enough water to cause flash flooding in some areas.

The flash flood threat is really something to monitor, considering storms like these can overachieve in terms of rainfall. I’m worried about a similar situation to what happened this past weekend developing somewhere across Kentucky.

Here are your severe storms tracking tools for the day…


Current Watches
Current Watches

Possible Watch Areas
Current MDs

The rains will taper off from west to east late Friday into Friday evening. This will be followed by a blast of early fall temps across much of the eastern part of the country. Highs this weekend stay in the 70s for several areas with lows dropping deep into the 50s. As a matter of fact, some of these numbers are near record lows by Sunday morning…

That is going to make for one AWESOME weekend of weather in the bluegrass state!

If the Canadian is right, another shot of cool comes our way into early August. Here it is showing both shots on the way…

The European Model also has that second shot coming by the end of next week. Check out the showers and storms ahead of it…

Have a great day and take care.

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