Monthly Archives: August 2017

Time posted: 1:57 am

Tracking The Threats From Harvey

Good Thursday, everyone. The historic storm known as Harvey is ready to blast the bluegrass state with flooding rains, high winds and the chance for an isolated tornado. All of this happens as the center of circulation passes right on top of the Commonwealth.

Here’s a breakdown of how things are looking…

  • The heaviest rain during the daylight hours today will be across far southern parts of the state.
  • The core of heavy rain thunderstorms from Harvey spread from southwest to northeast this evening into tonight.
  • This will continue into Friday with a general 2″-5″ across central and eastern Kentucky with amounts of 6″+ showing up in areas between the I-65 corridor and the I-75 corridor. 1″-3″ should show up in the far east and southeast
  • Flooding and flash flooding will be likely, especially in the west and central sections of Kentucky.
  • As the center of circulation passes through here, it will combine with high pressure to our north to create high wind gusts. 40mph+ gusts will be noted along and north/west of the track of Harvey.
  • There will be a chance for isolated tornadoes across southern and southeastern Kentucky tonight and Friday.
  • Lingering showers will be across the central and eastern parts of the state through Saturday.
  • Temps Friday will be amazing to watch. 80 is possible ahead of Harvey in the southeast, with readings dropping into the low and middle 50s behind the storm.
  • Highs Saturday may stay in the upper 50s across the east.
  • The weather looks much much better for Sunday and Labor Day.
  • A powerful fall cold front arrives Tuesday with more showers and storms and could pick up something from the Gulf. Temps behind this absolutely tank for the middle and end of next week. We may flirt with record lows.
  • There is a strong signal for a hurricane to approach the southeastern US in about a week and a half from now.

Be sure to tune in to WKYT-TV for extended severe weather coverage through Friday. I have the blog set for all your Harvey tracking needs…


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Current Watches
Current Watches

Possible Watch Areas
Current MDs

Stay safe and have a great Thursday.

11 Comments

Time posted: 7:29 pm

Wednesday Evening Update

Good evening, gang. I wanted to drop by for a quick update on the major impact Harvey is going to bring our way over the next few days. From flooding rains to an isolated tornado, we have a lot to track Thursday through the first part of Saturday.

The center of Harvey will pass right on top of Kentucky Thursday night through Friday night. This will bring the heaviest rain and greatest flood threat for areas along and north/west of the low. Here’s the updated rainfall forecast…

Gusty winds will also be a significant issue, with some gusts potentially reaching 40mph +…

 

I’m also watching areas south and southeast of the center of circulation for the potential for isolated tornadoes. While the greatest threat is likely south of Kentucky, here’s the area to keep an eye on…

Temperatures behind the low drop into the 50s  Friday afternoon into Friday evening. Leftover showers and clouds will likely keep areas of central and eastern Kentucky in the 50s for highs on Saturday. Hard to believe this is also a Pot Of Chili ALERT.

I will have a ton of tracking tools for you guys with my next update. Make it a good one and take care.

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Time posted: 12:19 pm

Update On The Harvey Flood Threat

Good afternoon, gang. Harvey continues to produce historic flooding across Texas and Louisiana, but is finally on the move, and it’s heading to Kentucky. This will bring a tremendous amount of rain our way, leading to a significant flood threat for many areas of the state.

I’m seeing lots of high school football games being moved to Thursday evening, but many of those games may still have issues. Heavy rain and storms arrive from southwest to northeast Thursday afternoon and evening. Saturday is a better alternative for those games to be played, as there is basically zero chance of lightning then.

The track on Harvey is still on track to cause flooding issues across Kentucky through early Saturday. I’m gonna roll with my same rainfall forecast from earlier, but will make some updates to this on WKYT-TV later today…

The forecast models are pretty much in agreement with that forecast, with some minor differences in placement. Here’s the GFS…

The NAM…

As Harvey moves in, winds are going to be very gusty and may reach 40mph at times Thursday night into Friday.

Temperatures during this time will be awesome to watch. Southeastern Kentucky will be on the east side of the center of circulation and will see temps deep into the 70s. Areas west and north of the track will see temps in the low and middle 50s.. during the afternoon. With lingering clouds and showers on Saturday, some areas of central and eastern Kentucky may stay in the 50s for highs.

Better weather rolls in here for Sunday and Labor Day.

I have you all set to track the progress of Harvey…


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I will likely drop by for another update this evening.

Make it a good one and take care.

7 Comments