Daily Archives: August 29, 2017

Time posted: 12:43 pm

Tuesday Afternoon Update On Harvey

Good afternoon, everyone. We continue to track scattered showers and storms across the region today, but the main focus of the forecast is on Harvey heading our way. Harvey could bring very heavy rain and a flood threat to much of the bluegrass state.

Before we get to the latest on Harvey, let’s track the scattered showers and storms of today…

From there, we focus on Harvey. The storm is over water, but is finally starting to move and will likely make another landfall along the Texas/Louisiana coast later tonight or Wednesday. Once inland, the updated track from the National Hurricane Center brings this across Kentucky…

cone graphic

That is the now spitting image of the forecast map I drew up 2 days ago…

One thing you guys have probably noticed about me through the years is, when I hand draw a map for an event, I’m pretty confident.

Wednesday will find us mainly in between systems, but a band of showers and storms from out in front of Harvey may move into southern parts of the state.

The main action from Harvey arrives later Thursday, with the greatest emphasis on Friday and Saturday. That’s when things take a turn for the worse, with the potential for a wide corridor of flooding rains.

The GFS and Canadian Models are similar in bringing the system into Kentucky…

 

I will hone in on the best chance for flooding on WKYT-TV starting at 4pm and will update things as needed on the blog.

After all this rain, things get really cool later next week. That’s some real deal early season chill showing up.

Btw… Play nice in the comments section. To each his or her own.

Enjoy your day and take care.

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Time posted: 1:29 am

Heavy Rain From Harvey Likely Later This Week

Good Tuesday, everyone. As rounds of showers and thunderstorms continue to soak some areas of the bluegrass state, it’s all eyes on Harvey and the Kentucky impact. The remnants of this storm will move our way later this week, bringing a significant heavy rain threat.

In the short-term, temps stay in the upper 70s to low 80s today, with additional showers and storms. Similar to Monday, some pockets of 1″+ rains are possible out there today, leading to local high water concerns…

Harvey is back out over the Gulf today and could flirt with becoming a hurricane again before making a second landfall. My thoughts on where this goes, haven’t changes since I made this map Sunday…

The official forecast from the National Hurricane Center (which has jumped around a lot the past few days), now looks similar to the map I have out…

cone graphic

Like clockwork, the American models such as the NAM and GFS are coming to their senses and realizing what the other, more superior, models have been showing for a while. Here’s the GFS showing what’s left of Harvey moving into Kentucky…

The Canadian has been showing this solution for a while…

This looks like a general 1″-4″ rain maker for much of Kentucky from Thursday through Sunday. There could be a swath of 5″+ setting up somewhere across our region, but it’s still a bit too early for specifics on where. This setup will lead to an increased flood and flash flood threat during this time.

Irma continues to develp right on the Carolina coast, producing heavy rains, tropical storm force winds and big surf. This system should work our to sea over the next 24 hours…

cone graphic

Looking down the road to the middle and end of next week, we find one of those “wow” looking setups. Check out this DEEP trough digging into the eastern half of the country…

Record lows may be challenged in a setup like that, and a few days may find temps struggling to get out of the 60s for highs.

But, the short-term is all about the rain from Harvey. I will update things later today, so check back.

Make it a great day and take care.

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