Daily Archives: September 23, 2017

Time posted: 1:30 am

Summer Temps Start Fall

Good Saturday, everyone. The first full day of fall is starting out with summer temps putting in some overtime work. This brand of steamy air will then carry us through the first half of next week, before some big changes blow in here as fall fights back.

First off, let me say thanks for all the comments with the last post. Your reward will be a preliminary winter outlook coming in the first few weeks of October. The main winter forecast will then follow in November. 🙂

Highs today are deep into the 80s for most areas with a muggy feel to the atmosphere. I still can’t rule out isolated showers and storms going up…

The same forecast will carry us through Sunday and into early next week.

Hurricane Maria continues to slowly work northward just east of the Caribbean…

Hurricane Infrared GOES East

The latest 5 day track keeps this well offshore, but we will need to watch for a westward bend in the track by the middle of the week…

cone graphic

A fall cold front arrives in Kentucky on Wednesday. Winds will be gusty with a broken band of showers and storms sweeping in from the northwest. Recent model runs are split on whether or now we get another disturbance to rounds the base of the trough, developing another storm system over the weekend.

Earlier runs of the GFS had this…

The most recent run had the colder air overwhelming the low…

Check out Hurricane Maria on both runs. Notice how the latest run has it threatening North Carolina.

Regardless, a true fall chill will be in the air. Here’s the GFS…

The European agrees…

Make it a good Saturday and take care.

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