Monthly Archives: October 2017

Time posted: 3:40 pm

A Cold Weekend Update

Good afternoon, folks. Our cold weekend is here, with a few spots getting in on a taste of winter earlier today, and a few more may get n on a touch tonight and Sunday. I wanted to stop by for an update on where we go from here, as the pattern looks hyper-active.

The rest of our day will feature highs from 40-45 with mostly cloudy skies and¬†rain in the east…

Northwesterly winds continue to kick in with temps falling into the mid and upper 30s this evening, then into the low 30s overnight. That same northwesterly wind will keep clouds around, with the potential for some flurries in the central and east…

There may be a little better concentration of flakes in the far southeast.

Sunday should feature colder temps than what we have out there today for the central and east, especially if clouds hang tough. The HI-Res NAM is just flat out wintertime cold for highs…

If those numbers are correct, it would be among the colder October days we have ever had. Even if we had 5 degrees to those, it would still be among the top 20 or so coldest October days in the past 50 years.

For the past week, I’ve been talking about a big storm going up the east coast that could entrain some kind of disturbance from the tropics. That disturbance is about to become a Tropical Storm…

cone graphic

Watch how that gets entrained into a monster storm slamming the northeast…

That’s not quite up to Sandy standards, but it’s a distant relative.

That does pull down a little bit of chill in here for Halloween. Trick or treat temps drop into the upper 30s…

Rain arrives to start November…

That kicks off a very active and wet pattern in our part of the world. The setup I’m looking at can produce a ton of rain and even threaten us with thunderstorm action for a week to 10 day period.

At the same time, the amount of cold air building up on our side of the globe is VERY impressive. That’s gonna be a force to deal with later this month and into December. I think I have my Bold Prediction for the winter forecast and it has to do with December. ūüôā

I will have a full update later tonight. Make it a good one and take care.

4 Comments

Time posted: 1:19 am

Tracking A SMALL Taste of Winter

Good Saturday, everyone. I’m going to set this up to basically track the tiny little taste of winter weather for parts of the bluegrass state to begin the day. Everyone will be dealing with the cold weather, but only parts of central and northern Kentucky should see some flakes.

Here’s a quick breakdown before we get to the trackers:

  • Cold air tried to catch the back edge of the rain shield early today, leading to a few snowflakes mixing in with the rain.
  • The best chance for flakes will be from the Interstate 65 corridor to near Lexington then up toward the Cincy metro.
  • Can a small area get in on enough to briefly coat a rooftop? Maybe, but that would appear to be awfully localized if it happens.
  • As the precipitation moves eastward today, temps will rebound into the 40-45 degree range for many with a ray of sun.
  • Clouds filter back in on a stout northwesterly wind flow. That can spit out a snow flurry Saturday night into Sunday across central and, especially, eastern Kentucky.
  • Sunday is another cold day for the eastern half of the state. The far east and southeast may not make it to 40 in a few spots.
  • Wind chills will come into play this weekend and may hit the 20s at times.

I will update where we go from here, later today. For now, let’s do some tracking…

 

Hamburg Area from WKYT Studio
Lexington

I-75 @ Winchester Road
Lexington
I-75 @ Winchester Road

US 60 @ US 127 Frankfort

US60 @ US127

US 60 @ Chenault Road
Near Millville
US60 @ Chenault Road

I-71/I-75 at Mt. Zion Rd.
Near Covington
I-71/I-75 @ Mt. Zion Rd

I-71/I-75 at I-275
Near Covington
I-71/I-75 @ I-275

I-275 at Mineola Pike
Near Covington
I-275 @ Mineola Pike

I-275 approaching KY 20/Airport
Near Covington
I-275 East of KY 20/Airport Exit

I-71/I-75 at Buttermilk Pike
Near Covington
I-71/I-75 @ Buttermilk Pike

I-71/I-75 at 12th St.
Covington
I-71/I-75 @ 12th St. in Covington

I-71/I-75 Lower Deck (NB) of Brent Spence Bridge
Covington
I-71/I-75 Lower Deck (NB) of Brent Spence Bridge

I-471 at Grand Ave.
Near Covington
I-471 @ Grand Ave.

I-471 South of US 27
Near Covington
I-471 South of US 27

I-275 on US 27 Bridge
Near Covington
I-275 on US 27 Bridge

 

I-264 at Shelbyville Rd.
Louisville

No image available.

I-64 W. of I-265
Louisville

No image available.

I-65 MP 92.4
Elizabethtown

Louie B Nunn MP 3
Near Glasgow
Louie B Nunn MP 3

I-65 MP 36
Near Bowling Green
I-65 MP 36

I-65 @ 234
Near Bowling Green
I-65 @ 234

Natcher Parkway MP 5
Near Bowling Green
Natcher Parkway @ MP 5

 

 

 

 

 

I-24  MP 4 @ US 60
Paducah
I-24 @ US 60 MP 4

Enjoy your day and take care.

8 Comments

Time posted: 12:30 pm

Tracking Some Wild Weather

Good Friday afternoon, everyone. Our cold front is blowing across the bluegrass state and is bringing some wild weather changes our way. This includes a taste of winter weather later tonight and Saturday morning.

I’m not going to rehash everything, we’ve been your one consistent weather source on this change for more than a week now.

The best area to see some flakes late tonight and early Saturday¬†is across parts of central and western Kentucky…

I do expect some slushy accumulation to try to show up on grassy and elevated surfaces. The best chance of that may be along the Interstate 65 corridor and east toward the Lexington and Cincy metros.

Wraparound flurries will then be possible Saturday night and Sunday. Those show up on the Hi Res NAM…

No matter how you slice it, this is going to be a very cold weekend. Wind chills will be in the 20s at times.

I have you all set to do some tracking…

I will have the latest update on WKYT starting at 4pm and will throw you guys another blog update later this evening.

Enjoy the wild weather ride and take care.

11 Comments

Time posted: 2:25 am

A Taste Of Winter Blows In

Good Friday, folks. A powerhouse of a cold front sweeps across Kentucky today, bringing some wild weather to start the weekend. We have a huge temp crash, gusty winds, heavy rain and some snowflakes impacting the region into early Saturday.

The front is on the move today with 60s¬†to near 70¬†ahead of it and temps dropping into the upper 30s and low 40s behind it. That drop then quickly rolls eastward through tonight and into Saturday. Check out the numbers from the NAM…

That’s some cold air surging in and doing so in a hurry. Wind chill temps will be in the 20s at times through Saturday night.

What about the snow chances? The NAM keeps bringing a switch to a mix of even a period of light snow to parts of central and western Kentucky overnight into Saturday morning. Here’s the area it’s currently highlighting…

The GFS throws up the white flag of surrender to the NAM and is now showing a band of mix and light snow behind the front…

These match up with the areas I’ve been highlighting for the past few days…

The SREF is actually spitting out percentages on some accumulations during this same time…

In order to get some slush on the grass or rooftops, it would have to snow pretty darn hard. At this¬†point,¬†I can’t rule it out for a few spots in western and central Kentucky.

A few flurries may then fly across the region Saturday night into early Sunday morning. Sunday is another cold one across the region with 40-45 degree highs in the central and east.

The Halloween forecast looks chilly with temps in the 40s for the little ones making their candy rounds. A shower or two is possible in the west and southwest. This is ahead of a bigger system rolling in here for the first few days of November.

Looking toward later next week or the following week, another recurving western Pacific typhoon means we will have to be on guard for another big buckle in the jet stream into our region…

I will have updates later today, so check back. Make it a good one and take care.

4 Comments

Time posted: 7:35 pm

Latest Thoughts On The Weekend

Good evening, everyone. I wanted to drop by to throw our some updated thoughts on the upcoming weekend and out possible small taste of winter weather.

The overall setup remains the same with a strong cold front moving in here Friday into early Saturday. Temps drop more than 30 degrees as heavy rain moves in along the front. The cold catches up to the back edge to the rain shield, giving parts of central Kentucky the chance for a few flakes to mix in.

The current odds map really hasn’t changed much since I put it out yesterday…

The NAM keeps spitting out some flakes…

The NAM is gaining some friends now in the modeling world. The European Model shows a similar area getting in on some flakes…

The only model not showing a few flakes mixing in… The GFS. That’s usually a bad sign for the GFS.

A wraparound rain shower may develop on Sunday, especially in the east. This is where a snowflake may mix in, especially in the high elevations.

I mentioned a monster storm slamming into the northeast at the same time… Check this out…

Another shot of colder air sinks in from the north early next week. That gives us a seasonally chilly Halloween, with clouds on the increase. A shower is possible late across the west and southwest, but the bulk of the cold rain likely holds off into the first few days of November…

I will see you late tonight for an update. Make it a good one and take care.

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