Daily Archives: October 23, 2017

Time posted: 3:00 pm

Monday Afternoon Update

Good Monday afternoon, folks. Heavy rain, gusty winds and falling temps continue to be the weather headlines of the day, but the cold is about to take center stage. It’s a pattern that continues to look much colder than normal to end October and begin November. I’m also watching for a bigger weekend system than currently shown on the models.

Many areas have already picked up 1″-2″ of rain, with some more to go. Low pressure continues to spin across the region, bringing gusty showers through the evening…


Temps are dropping through the 50s and into the 40s during the evening hours. Those numbers hang in the low 40s tonight with a recovery into the 50-55 degree range early on Tuesday, but colder air pushes in during the afternoon and evening. That can bring more showers in here…

The NAM continues to keep plenty of clouds around into Wednesday, thus keeping temps in the low and middle 40s…

If skies clear, readings will be closer to 50. Regardless, gusty winds will make it feel much colder.

Thursday starts in the low 30s with temps hitting the 60 by the afternoon. This will be ahead of a strong cold front showing up by late Friday. It will have a stout temperature drop of 20-30 degrees behind the front…

You can still see how the GFS is trying to get the cold to catch some of the precipitation shield, giving parts of the Ohio Valley a shot at a few flakes…

We know temps are going to be cold this weekend as a deep trough digs in…

Notice the storm system along the east coast. That’s from the GFS and it sometimes is too far east with this type of system. This system may actually have a bit of a tropical connection from a disturbance coming from the Caribbean and up the east coast.

The trend on the European Model is for much more interaction between the cold trough and that system coming up the east coast…

The European Model would be a VERY nasty weekend with cold temps, gusty rains, with the potential for some flakes to fly… Especially in the mountains of eastern Kentucky. That could be a big high mountain snow maker across the Appalachian Mountains. We will need to watch for a western trend in the coming days.

You can see a similar trend  on the Canadian, which is also more wrapped up and farther west with it than the GFS…

I may throw out another update this evening. If not, I’ll see you for our normal late night date. 🙂

Have a great rest of your day and take care.

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