Daily Archives: October 30, 2017

Time posted: 7:44 pm

Monday Evening Update

Good evening, gang. A cold front is dropping in from the northwest, bringing some clouds and decaying showers into the region. The air behind this front is cold for Halloween, and will play a part in what happens early Wednesday as rains return. We could see a touch of winter weather to start the day.

Any shower out there this evening will be mainly across the north…

No changes for the Halloween weather picture. Temps are in the upper 20s to start with 40s for highs. Clouds increase during the evening with temps falling into the upper 30s for trick or treaters.

November begins on a wet note with rain quickly moving in from southwest to northeast. With low dewpoints and temps in the 30s Wednesday morning, we will need to be on guard for some sleet and snow mix developing. The best chance for this will be across the northern half of the state. The GFS continues to ramp up the chances…

The GFS Ensembles are similar…

There’s the chance for some light accumulations in a few spots in the far north.

Rain takes over during the day and it looks very chilly with temps in the 40s. The numbers will climb from south to north Wednesday night as milder air presses in. This milder setup will also bring rounds of showers and thunderstorms our way through the upcoming weekend into early next week. Check out the rain totals…

The milder pattern is looking to reverse next week, with the potential for colder shots to show up. The second week of November is now taking on a pretty cold look on the Ensembles.

Look at the cold look on the European ensembles for that week…

The GFS Ensembles are going in that same direction…

Can we get our first true snowfall before November is finished? You betcha. Many of my analogs did just that. 😉

I will update things later tonight. Until then, enjoy your evening.

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Time posted: 1:10 am

A Very Wet Pattern Taking Shape

Good Monday to one and all. We are coming off one of those “wow” weather weekends across the bluegrass state. Snow fell on both days, with some of the colder October highs you will ever find in this region. This was the coldest and snowiest back to back October days since 1993 for many areas.

So, how do we top this as we head into November? Buckle up, because I think it’s going to be a very wild ride!

Before we get to November, we still have this little Halloween holiday to get through, and it’s looking cold. We have a weak front dropping in here this afternoon and evening, ushering in the cold air for the ghosts and goblins. There could be a few light showers along the front, especially in northern Kentucky…

Temps look to be in the upper 20s and low 30s tomorrow morning with 40s for highs. Trick or treat temps drop quickly into the 30s for many…

As we flip the calendar to November, Mother Nature is going to pick up the pace. Following one of the wettest Octobers on record, the beginning of November looks to keep that trend going.

A cold rain rolls in here on Wednesday. I’m still wondering if we can get a touch of sleet on the leading edge of this across the north. This possibility has been showing up on a few of the forecast models…

From there, rounds of showers and some thunderstorms take over for the rest of the week and into the upcoming weekend. Temps are going to climb during this time, but it’s coming with a wet price. The pattern into early next week puts us in the line of fire for the bulk of the wet weather…

The GFS rainfall forecast over the next week and change is impressive…

As we head into the middle of next week, we find the pattern beginning to change up, but that doesn’t mean the rain train rolls away. Watch how the western trough starts to progress eastward…

We may actually see a series of troughs roll through here, with colder air showing up. That still means a lot of active weather.

Don’t take those exact numbers to heart, but rather as an indication that a lot of rain may fall through the first few weeks of November. I wonder if we can get the tail end of that to be in flake form? Hmm

I will update things later today, so check back. Make it a good one and take care.

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