Daily Archives: November 1, 2017

Time posted: 7:22 pm

Wet Wednesday Evening Update

Good evening, folks. The first day of November is bringing soggy weather to the bluegrass state, and this is a sign of things to come. I haven’t been shy with talking about this wet pattern setting up for early November, and I continue to beat that drum.

Showers continue to push across the region this evening as temps rise from south to north…

Thursday looks to feature much milder air with mid and upper 60s for many. Local 70 degree temps are possible for areas getting in on some sun. Much of the day features a mix of sun and clouds with the threat for a shower or storm around.

Thunderstorm chances increase on Friday as a weak front moves into the region. Those showers and storms hang tough into Saturday, at least in scattered fashion. Temps continue to run very mild.

A strong cold front moves in with showers and storms on Monday…

That front then puts the brakes on, allowing for the potential for very heavy rain to setup on top of us. The setup features a ton of cold air across the northern half of the country into Canada and a warm pattern across the south…

A lot of rain may fall across the state next week. The European Model is blowing up…

The GFS is also latching on to this setup, including much colder air coming in behind it…

This wet pattern has been well telegraphed for a long, long time.  Our region is likely to be the target for some big rain and snows through the upcoming winter.

I will talk more about all that later tonight. Enjoy your evening and take care.

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Time posted: 3:00 am

A Soggy Setup Starts November

Good Wednesday, folks. November is off and running on a wet note across the bluegrass state of Kentucky. This is the start of a fairly wet pattern locking in for the next week to ten days. It’s also a setup skewed pretty mild, but colder changes are showing up later next week.

In the short-term, showers are pretty widespread out there today. Some of this stuff may begin as a touch of frozen precipitation in the far north, but should quickly go over to rain. We will also have heck of a temperature spread from north to south, with the milder air winning the battle.

Temps may actually rise all evening, with many areas hitting their highs late this evening…

This sets the stage for a very mild Thursday with the possibility of a 70 showing up. Scattered showers and storms will be around.

The threat for showers and storms will then increase Friday into Saturday, but this doesn’t look like washout material. Temps continue to stay mild and that continues through the weekend. Rainfall totals through the weekend…

A strong cold front then sweeps in on Monday with a line of showers and storms…

That front is likely to put the brakes on as colder air gets into the Ohio Valley. We will then have to watch for a bowling ball type of storm rolling eastward into the region. The European Model shows a heck of a storm system…

That would be a healthy rain event, helping unlock some of the cold to our north…

I will shoot you an update later today. Make it a good one and take care.

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