Daily Archives: November 9, 2017

Time posted: 7:24 pm

Thursday Evening Thoughts

Good evening, everyone. I wanted to drop by to update you guys on the cold moving in for Friday and a winter pattern taking shape as we head toward Thanksgiving.

I have no changes on the cold coming in tonight through early Saturday. This is a heck of a shot across the eastern part of the country…

I’m wondering if we can get some flurries to start Friday in the east? That gives us 20s by  Friday morning with afternoon highs staying below 40 for parts of central and eastern Kentucky. 20s show up Friday evening with low 20s by Saturday morning. Wind chills will hit the teens at times…

Clouds roll in on Saturday as a system works toward us by Sunday. That will bring chilly showers across the state through early Monday…

For many, highs this weekend are only in the 40s.

That system is zipping through here a little faster than I thought because another system quickly takes its place by late Tuesday and Wednesday…

For a while now, I’ve been pointing toward the lead up to Thanksgiving as a period to watch for winter weather potentially showing up. The ensembles have been on this for the past week or so, now we find the operational models joining the mix.

The European started the trend last night and keeps showing it today…

The GFS looks like the European for next weekend with a deep trough digging in here…

Look what it follows that up with for Thanksgiving week…

Watch the cold shots take aim at us…

Again, we are seeing the GFS now looking like what the ensembles have been suggesting for the past several days. Could this be another coup for my analogs? We shall see, but odds favor a cold turkey week across our part of the world. Can we get something to go along with the cold? Very possible.

I will update things later tonight. Enjoy the evening and take care.

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Time posted: 2:07 am

A Very Cold Few Days Ahead

Good Thursday, everyone. An early November arctic front is diving into the eastern half of the country, delivering the coldest air of the young fall season. This caps off a week of well below normal temperatures across our part of the world, with colder signals showing up down the road.

Some of you may be saying… Arctic front? This is modified arctic air and a sure fire way to see that is to look at the dewpoints. Single digit dewpoint temps in Kentucky in early November are not very common…

That’s one heck of a dry air mass and you may even feel a little static electricity on Friday.

What does this mean for temperatures? Lows by Friday morning drop deep into the 20s with afternoon reading struggling to get out of the 30s, even with full sunshine. Here’s the Hi-Res Nam…

Temps drop quickly into the 20s Friday evening and could reach the low 20s in some areas by Saturday morning…

Winds are going to be gusty during this time and will make all those numbers feel much, much colder. These are the coldest wind chill readings since last winter…

Yep, wind chills will hit the teens at times Friday through Saturday morning. Ouch.

The rest of Saturday will find clouds increasing with temps in the 40s central and east and 50s west.

A system moves in for Sunday and early Monday with chilly showers…

I continue to look toward next weekend into Thanksgiving week for the potential for a winter weather threat. The European Model continues to kick things off with a deepening trough into our region next weekend…

That trend matches up with the GFS Ensembles. They keep coming in with a well below normal look developing at the same time and going through Thanksgiving…

The same Ensembles keep spitting out some snow chances around here during the same time…

I’ll drop by for another update later today. Make it a good one and take care.

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