Daily Archives: November 11, 2017

Time posted: 7:47 pm

Weekend Weather Update

Good evening, everyone. We are putting the wraps on another colder than normal temperature day in the bluegrass state. This chilly air looks to continue into Sunday, as showers join the party. From there, it’s a very active setup that can get a little bumpy before potentially turning wintry for Thanksgiving week.

Our first system to track comes on Sunday with a few chilly showers moving in during the afternoon and evening. This is some fairly light stuff.

The next front zips in here Tuesday night and Wednesday with gusty winds and much better coverage of the rains…

Temps run slightly colder than normal behind the front…

The bumpy part of the weather program comes on Friday as a powerful storm system works into the Ohio Valley from the west. This storm is forecast to continue strengthening as it moves in, taking on a negative tilt. Systems like that can produce high winds and even severe thunderstorms, followed by a big temp crash.

Here’s how the GFS sees it…

The European Model is similar…

That could be another Ohio Valley severe weather event and is something for us to monitor in the coming days.

As that system wraps up to our northeast, cold air surges in behind it next weekend into early Thanksgiving week…

If the northwest flow on the European Model is right, some snowflakes could dance about the sky to start Turkey week.

The European Model shows another modified arctic air mass diving in here, with the coldest anomalies setting up on top of our region…

Have a great evening and take care.

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Time posted: 2:07 am

A Chilly Weekend

Good Saturday to one and all. We have a chilly weekend underway across the bluegrass state. As a matter of fact, things are starting off downright frigid for many. Now we track clouds and an increase in showers by later Sunday. The longer range keeps showing a winter look for Thanksgiving week.

Let’s start with where we are today. Temps are deep into the 20s to begin our Saturday, with wind chills in the mid and upper teens. Clouds will filter in through the day, keeping parts of central and eastern Kentucky in the 40s for highs.

Showers move in on Sunday as temps likely stay in the 40s for many areas. This isn’t a lot of rain, but it will dampen things up pretty good into early Monday. Here are the rain totals…

Low clouds are likely to linger into Monday, giving us another chilly day. The NAM keeps most areas in the 40s…

Our next front quickly races in here on Wednesday and brings more rain to the region…

Seasonal temps continue behind this front, but a much more potent storm system will then impact our region Friday and early Saturday. This one may bring very gusty winds and heavy rains back into town…

That’s a big time system wrapping up across the Ohio Valley and Great Lakes. You can see the colder air coming in behind this for next weekend. That sets off a pattern featuring a deepening trough across the east for Thanksgiving week. The GFS Ensembles show how the colder than normal temps become entrenched across the region through the big holiday…

That has cold turkey deep into the heart of Dixie. Can we get some winter weather from that type of pattern? Yep… We sure can. Will we? We will have fun tracking the potential over the next week and change.

I will update things later today. Make it a good one and take care.

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