Daily Archives: December 5, 2017

Time posted: 7:33 pm

Updating The Winter Changes

Good evening, everybody. Temps are feeling more than 30 degrees colder than last evening as cold air continues to press in. This is the first of several fronts on the way for the next few weeks, each pulling down much colder air and bringing snow chances to our region.

The steady rains this evening continue to push out of the southeast, with the possibility of a passing flurry…

A second front moves in on Thursday with the potential for a few flurries, this knocks our temps way down as that cold air keeps coming at us.

The Saturday clipper is likely to be a light snow maker to much of our region. The European Model continues to get a better handle on this feature with each run…

That can put down an inch or two into parts of our region. The same can be said for the GFS…

I will be curious to see if this trends a little stronger as we get closer… That’s usually how the models handle clippers. All I can say is, we have the potential for a light accumulation of snow Saturday into Saturday night. 🙂

Gusty winds and a blast of cold combine to produce single digit wind chills beyond this by Sunday morning…

I haven’t been shy about beating the winter weather drum from this weekend through next week and beyond. This is a deep trough with several snow systems working through here next week…

I fully expect our first snow days to show up next week.

It’s amazing at how consistent the pattern continues to show on the models. This is just a harsh stretch of winter weather for the eastern half of the country…

I will update things later tonight, so check back.

Enjoy your evening and take care.

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Time posted: 12:25 pm

Tuesday Afternoon Update

Good afternoon, everyone. Our cold front is doing some work across the state, ushering in a huge drop in temps. This temp drop has the chance to be accompanied by some flakes flying this evening into the wee hours of Wednesday.

All of this kicks off the well advertised winter pattern.

Temps are dropping into the 30s from west to east for the rest of the day. Lingering moisture behind the front has a chance to be in the form of some flakes. The new GFS is back to picking this up…

Here’s regional radar to see if we can find a little flake action moving in…

Temps on Wednesday are seasonally cold, with colder air coming in on Thursday. A few flurries may be flying around, too. Speaking of snowflakes, some may be flying all the way to the Gulf of Mexico Thursday into Friday, courtesy of overrunning moisture. Crazy. huh?

Our clipper dives in here over the weekend, bringing the potential for a light accumulation…

The best chance for that comes Saturday into Saturday night. Can we pick up an inch or two of snow from that? I think it’s possible for some areas, especially in the central and east. We may even get a little help from Lake Michigan.

As that moves away, here comes the next system. This one doesn’t have the complicated setup along the east coast like what we are seeing now. The end result…

That’s followed up by another deep system diving in from the northwest and is why I’m pretty bullish on our first snow days showing up next week.

Check it out…

That’s one amazing setup that keeps the arctic shots coming into the eastern half of the country, while the west bakes…

I will have the latest on WKYT-TV starting at 4, and will have your normal evening update. Tonight is the Lexington Christmas Parade and my plan is to be walking in that. I’m fighting a sore throat, but nothing beats a good Christmas parade. 🙂

Enjoy the day and take care.

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Time posted: 2:24 am

Tracking The Big Changes

Good Tuesday, folks. We have a strong cold front rolling across the state today, bringing major changes to our weather. A winter pattern then takes shape as the week wears on, kicking into high gear by the weekend and into next week.

Let’s talk about today before we get to all that.

Temps this morning are upper 50s and low 60s for many, with winds gusting to 40mph at times. Showers and thunderstorms are rolling across the state, just ahead of the cold front…

Temps behind this front then tank into the upper 30s and low 40s behind the boundary. Readings will continue to drop through the 30s this evening, with an outside shot at a flake or two flying, especially in the far east…

Temps Wednesday will be seasonally cold as we await a colder push of air for Thursday. That may produce a few flakes here or there, but the main action arrives Friday night into Saturday. That’s the system we have been watching for more than a week now.

The models have been consistently showing this feature, but vary on timing and intensity as it dives in from the northwest. The GFS is back to showing a stronger feature…

That strong of an upper level system would be enough to produce light snow on it’s own, but we are also tracking a surface feature with it. This clipper zips right on trop of us…

The European Model isn’t as strong with either feature, but still develops a nice area of light snow…

Both models show accumulating snows across our region, with the GFS suggesting a 1″-3″ event, and the European model with an inch or two in the central and east. Again, that’s just me telling you what those runs are showing and not a forecast from me.

I continue to maintain we have a good chance of seeing a light accumulating snow Friday night through Sunday morning. I will try to get a little more specific with updates later today.

With clippers, you usually have to get within 48 hours to see what they can really offer up. Many times, models will underestimate them from this far out.

Teachers and students looking for a snow day have to like the potential next week. As additional arctic air shots dive in here, several snow systems will be possible…

That’s being pushed by what amounts to the polar vortex spinning across southern Canada and into the northern tier of the country. This is pretty awesome to see…

Notice how stable the overall pattern is there. You can also see the blocking getting stronger over Greenland by day 10. That’s a strongly negative NAO that keeps pushing the arctic cold into the eastern half of the country.

I will have your usual updates later today. Have a good one and take care.

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