Daily Archives: December 12, 2017

Time posted: 7:23 pm

Tuesday Evening Update

Good evening, folks. Gusty northwesterly winds are slowing down some, but bigger blast of wind is on the way for Wednesday. That is ahead of another clipper zipping quickly across the Ohio Valley.

This clipper brings a swath of heavy snow just to our north Wednesday into Wednesday night. As it passes by, northwest winds can spawn a few snow flurries or snow showers into Thursday morning…

Winds are going to absolutely crank Wednesday afternoon into Wednesday evening. Those gusts may top 40mph. Check out the forecast from the NAM…

Tie down the Christmas decorations!! 🙂

The interesting looking system for Friday is a lot less interesting today. This may only be a flake maker as it rolls through the region on Friday, with a lot of wind likely once again.

Why is this thing looking less interesting? It’s likely because the system coming behind it is speeding up. The European has it arriving by Saturday night, with rain breaking out from southwest to northeast…

The pattern early next week continues to trend colder, but I’m focused on a potentially super active setup for Christmas weekend into Christmas week. I put out a map earlier, detailing my thoughts on the pattern. The GFS Ensembles show what I’m talking about…

The European Ensembles do the same…

That could get very, very busy around here for the Holidays. Bring it, Old Man Winter!

I will touch more on that tonight. Make it a good day and take care.

7 Comments

Time posted: 12:23 pm

Tuesday Afternoon Update

Good afternoon, everyone. Snow showers and snow flurries will continue to wind down across the region this afternoon. As expected, light accumulations have ben noted in the east, especially in the narrow bands of heavier squalls. As this action ends, we focus on a couple more systems for later in the week.

Here’s regional radar to track what’s left out there today…

Winds are a huge player as temps drop into the 20s this afternoon. Both hands on the wheel! 🙂

A strong clipper zips by just to our north Wednesday night, bringing heavy snows to those areas. As it moves east, some wraparound snow showers and flurries make their way into central and eastern Kentucky…

Winds with this system will be even stronger than what we had out there today. Gusts of 40mph will be possible Wednesday afternoon through Thursday morning.

There is little change with the Friday system as the models do not want to amplify it. It’s close, but the main low stays to our east with some light snow action with the upper level system moving in from the northwest…

After a mild up on Saturday, the late weekend system should bring rain and a possible wintry mix from Sunday into Monday.

This takes us into the week leading up to Christmas. The overall pattern across North America is one that is going to try to take temps to the extreme. Bitterly cold air is going to move into the country by Christmas weekend, while the far southeast sees toasty temps. Given the extreme temps, forget about using operational computer models. They may show us at zero on one run then 60 for the following run.

Let’s try some good old fashioned pattern recognition and see how things evolve. Here’s the possible setup for the long Christmas weekend into early Christmas week…

I will keep updating the trend as we roll through the week. I will have another update this evening.  Make it a good one as you roll through the rest of the day and take care.

24 Comments

Time posted: 1:27 am

Tracking Some Light Snow

Good Tuesday, folks. A quick-hitting light snow maker works across parts of the state early today, bringing the potential for light accumulations. After this moves away, we concentrate on two more systems later this week and the pattern leading up to Christmas.

Let’s start with today and roll forward. Light snow and snow showers will be noted across parts of central and, especially, eastern Kentucky this morning. You can see the Lake Michigan connection setting up for a time today…

That seems to match up pretty well with the first and only call for snowfall…

This does not look like a repeat of Saturday, but a few roads may see some issues developing.

Temps drop all day long on a STRONG northwest wind. Readings fall through the 20s with wind chills dropping through the teens. Bundle up. Your tracking tools in a bit.

Another clipper drops into the Ohio Valley Wednesday night. Winds will also be VERY gusty with this and we have an increasing threat for some snow showers coming behind this…

At  he end of that animation, you can see the next system diving in across the plains. That is slated to arrive in here late Thursday night into Friday. We are also likely to see some kind of low develop to our south and east at the same time. Can we get that system to develop far enough west to impact our region?

That’s the big question over the next few days. As is, the models bring us snow from the system diving in from the northwest, but keep the low east.

GFS

It would not take much westward correction to turn that into a bigger system around here.

The Canadian is stronger with the system moving in from the northwest, and weaker with the low in the east…

That cold air gets pushed around on Saturday, as we get set for a stronger system coming from the southern branch of the jet stream. This one may bring a mixed bag of weather our way later Sunday…

The setup in the days leading up to Christmas looks very active. Arctic air invades the country and tries to team up with an active storm track. Let’s see where it leads us.

I have you all set to track today’s flakes…

Hamburg Area from WKYT Studio
Lexington

I-75 @ Newtown Pike
Lexington

I-75 @ Winchester Road
Lexington
I-75 @ Winchester Road

I-75 @ Iron Works Pike
Lexington

I-275 approaching KY 20/Airport
Near Covington
I-275 East of KY 20/Airport Exit

I-71/I-75 at Buttermilk Pike
Near Covington
I-71/I-75 @ Buttermilk Pike

I-75 MP 127
Georgetown

I-64 at KY-801
Near Morehead

US 60 @ US 127
Frankfort
US60 @ US127

US 60 @ Chenault Road
Near Millville
US60 @ Chenault Road

Downtown Louisville @ 2nd & Broadway
Louisville
Downtown Louisville @ 2nd & Broadway

Updates later today. Make it a good one and take care.

27 Comments