Daily Archives: December 26, 2017

Time posted: 7:25 pm

Tuesday Evening Update

Good evening, folks. We are tracking some light snow across the region, on the leading edge of arctic air pushing in here tonight. This is just the beginning of a stretch of bitterly cold temps taking up residence in our region through the state of the new year.

Let’s begin with the light snow action working across the northern half of the state. We set you up for this a few days ago, and it can put down some light accumulations. We will need to keep a close eye on roads in the north, as they could briefly become fluff covered.

Here are your tracking toys…

Hamburg Area from WKYT Studio
Lexington

I-275 approaching KY 20/Airport
Near Covington
I-275 East of KY 20/Airport Exit

I-71/I-75 at Buttermilk Pike
Near Covington
I-71/I-75 @ Buttermilk Pike

I-71/I-75 at 12th St.
Covington
I-71/I-75 @ 12th St. in Covington

US 60 @ US 127
Frankfort
US60 @ US127

Downtown Louisville @ 2nd & Broadway
Louisville
Downtown Louisville @ 2nd & Broadway

Temps tank tonight with single digits showing up across the north, with low and middle teens elsewhere. Wind chill temps go below zero at times in some areas.

Highs Wednesday stay in the teens in the north with low and middle 20s south. Gusty winds make it feel even colder. Lows by Thursday morning drop back into the upper single digits and low teens.

From there, the forecast gets a lot colder, but how we get there is the issue. Snow is likely to fall this weekend, but I’m still not ready to commit to how it comes at us, or how much may fall.

The European Model continues to say we get an arctic front with a wave of low pressure along it Friday night and Saturday…

That blows up into a major storm across the northeast.

The GFS continues to show a different setup and it starts with a system before that one. The GFS has a little better system showing up Thursday night and early Friday…

The model then is MUCH weaker with the system diving in Friday night and Saturday, producing a swath of light snow across our region…

It still develops another system working in from the southwest for New Year’s Eve and Day…

That setup could be a healthy snow maker for us.

The JMA is actually on the side of the GFS this go around, and actually has a much more threatening look…

With our Christmas snow, it was siding with the European Model.

Several of the individual members of the GFS Ensembles are supportive of that idea…

Enjoy your evening and take care.

18 Comments

Time posted: 12:23 pm

Tuesday Afternoon Thoughts

Good afternoon, gang. Some light snow and flurries continue to push across he region today, in what is likely just a preview of what’s to come. It’s an extreme winter pattern taking shape for much of the country, with the exact impacts on our weather still being ironed out.

One thing is for sure… This pattern is frigid and will be the coldest extended period since the winter of 2013/14. It might be a good time to winter proof those pipes. 😉

Today’s flakes come at us in streaks from west to east…

Some very light accumulations are possible in a few areas.

Arctic air settles in overnight, with single digit lows showing up across northern Kentucky and teens everywhere else. Highs on Wednesday may not get out of the teens in the north…

The late week light snow potential continues to largely be a small event, with the main chance across the east on Friday…

You can already see the next streak of light snow diving in from the northwest. That arrives by Friday night on the GFS…

The model continues to take the next system and turn it into a snowstorm as we close out 2017 and welcome 2018…

Here’s the animation of all that…

The GFS has that snow system moving in with temps in the teens.

We also find the GFS continuing to go crazy with the cold, showing multiple days of below zero temps next week…

The Canadian Model places more emphasis on the snow system diving in here on Saturday, blowing it up into a nice snow maker. It then turns things so cold, it suppresses the next system…

The Canadian goes absolutely nuts with the cold…

It is also showing multiple days with temps going below zero.

My take:

  • Bitterly cold temps are very likely through next week. There is an increased threat for temps to go below zero on, at least, one occasion.
  • This will likely become the longest period of bitter cold we’ve had since 2013/1014.
  • Wind chills have a chance to get into the danger category at some point.
  • It’s likely we will put some snow on the ground this weekend. It’s too early to tell how much we can get. That all depends on if we can get the southern stream involved.

I will have updates on WKYT-TV starting at 4pm and will throw out another update later on.

Make it a great afternoon and take care.

20 Comments

Time posted: 1:47 am

A Frigid Pattern As We Flip Years

Good Tuesday to one and all. Here’s hoping you had the merriest Christmas since Bing Crosby danced with Danny Kaye (That’s the clean version of Christmas Vacation 🙂 ). Now, it’s time to focus on the remaining days of 2017, as we track a prolonged period of frigid temps and snow chances.

The first chance for light snow and flurries zips across our skyline today and into early Wednesday. Think of these as light snow streaks coming from west to east. In the overall scheme of things, this isn’t a big deal.. I will have your tracking toys in a bit.

Frigid air takes control behind this for the rest of the week. Lows by Wednesday morning have a shot at reaching singles in the far north. Wind chills may drop to zero or below over the next few mornings. This cold is so stout, it’s basically crushing the end of the week system.

The weekend is a different story, with a couple of systems potentially impacting our weather.

The European Model continues to blast an arctic system through the Ohio Valley, with snow developing…

The model then brings the arctic into our region, but it’s not quite as cold as what the other models are showing.

The GFS has a light snow maker to start the weekend, with a bigger system rounding the trough and sliding just to our south to begin the new year…

I’m still not exactly sure how all that is going to play out, because there are so many players hitting the court. One of those players could be historic cold taking over parts of the country. That run of the GFS shows these lows for the first few days of the year…

Wind chills are borderline obscene on this run…

All of that is likely taking things to the extreme, obviously. It’s still amazing to see showing up on occasion.

The Canadian has a very similar theme to the GFS, and is trying to get more of a system to work through the base of the trough to start the New Year…

It also has multiple mornings below zero around here, with brutal cold across the country…

We will see how all this shakes out in the coming days.

Here are the light snow and flurry tracking toys to start things out…

Hamburg Area from WKYT Studio
Lexington

I-275 approaching KY 20/Airport
Near Covington
I-275 East of KY 20/Airport Exit

US 60 @ US 127
Frankfort
US60 @ US127

Downtown Louisville @ 2nd & Broadway
Louisville
Downtown Louisville @ 2nd & Broadway

I-65 MP 92.4
Elizabethtown

I-65 MP 36
Near Bowling Green
I-65 MP 36

I-24 MP 7 @ US 62
Paducah
I-24 MP 7 @ US62

I will have updates later today. Until then, make it a great day after Christmas and take care.

25 Comments