Daily Archives: January 1, 2018

Time posted: 7:27 pm

Monday Evening Update

Good evening, gang. I wanted to drop by for a very quick update on the bitterly cold temperatures that will just keep coming at us over the next few weeks.

I’m not going to go on another full blown rant about the Wind Chilly Advisory, or lack thereof, across northern Kentucky…

As of this writing the Wind Chill in Covington is already down to -11. The National Weather Service forecast for Wind Chills is into their criteria level…

Current winds are gusting at 10mph, which is also above their criteria. Moral of the story… there is ZERO reason for northern Kentucky and the Cincy metro not to be under a Wind Chill Advisory right now.

I digress.

I’ve been talking about the east coast storm and the snow showers and bitter cold coming in behind it, but just how cold can this get around here. The European Model has similar lows to tonight, showing up by Friday and Saturday…

Once again, we find brutal wind chills showing up…

A sloppy system shows up late Sunday into Monday and will likely keep getting colder on the models. Whatever it is will then unleash another round of bitter cold temps. Look at the lows on the European Model for the middle of next week…

Wind chills at the same time…

This is one of the all-time great cold weather patterns you will ever see around this part of the world.

I will hook you up with another update later tonight. Enjoy the evening and take care.

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Time posted: 12:43 pm

New Year’s Day Update

Happy New Year, everyone. It’s a bitterly cold day, with a light snow blanketing the ground in many areas. Those northwesterly flow snow showers we talked about, certainly did the trick. As temps continue to run bitterly cold, this pattern is threatening to lock in for the long haul.

I have no changes in the temperature department tonight or through the rest of the week. Vanceburg hit -4 this morning and areas of northern Kentucky can approach -10 in a few spots tonight. The rest of the state ranges from -5 to +5. Wind chills go from -5 to -15 at times.

Wednesday is the “warmest” day of the week with temps only upper single digits and low teens to start. Highs range from the low 20s north to near 30 south. This is ahead of a strong upper level trough digging in here, helping develop a winter storm across the southeast coast…

That storm becomes a monster and rides the east coast, pulling down another bitterly cold at mass into our region. Northwesterly winds will then bring snow showers and squalls for Wednesday night into Thursday. Just like with this past weekend’s snows, I’m riding the Canadian…

The American models like the GFS and NAM just cannot figure out these systems on a northwesterly flow. The same run of the Canadian Model puts some snow down all the way into Tennessee…

With such bitterly cold air in place, we would be looking at a much higher ratio than what is shown above.

A disturbance behind that will then dive in here, potentially bringing a swath of light snow by Friday.

Temps from Thursday through the weekend can be similar to what we are seeing out there early this week. Wind chills may be even colder.

The models continue to trend colder with the setup from late weekend into early next week, with another brutal shot of air coming in. I expect these runs to keep sinking south with the precipitation lines…

I will have another update later today, so check back. Happy New Year and take care.

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Time posted: 2:26 am

2018 Opens On A Bitterly Cold Note

Good Monday and Happy New Year! Let me start out by wishing each of you an absolutely amazing 2018. I appreciate you guys more than you know and I’m planning some big things on the blog for the year ahead. This will blow your mind, but KWC turns 10 years old this summer. WOW! Anyone up for a blog party?  🙂

Bitterly cold temps are here and will last through the week and into the start the upcoming weekend. I’ve set the stage for this for the past few weeks, but let’s hit the highlights:

  • Highs today will be in the teens, with the north barely getting past 10 degrees. Wind chills will be near zero for much of the day.
  • Leftover light snow will be noted early this morning, with several roads likely snow covered to begin the day. Never underestimate the snow making power of a northwesterly wind around here. Unfortunately, many keep doing just that.
  • Tonight into Tuesday morning will be brutal. Lows across the state a generally from -5 to +5, but north can drop as low as -10.
  • Wind chills tonight and Tuesday morning generally range from -5 to -15. Brutal.

A major east coast winter storm may bring snow all the way from the southeast coast into New England. That has the potential to turn into a full blown blizzard.

That’s too far east for a direct impact on our weather, but it will give us a VERY strong northwest wind by Wednesday night through Friday. Look at the flow from the NAM on Thursday morning…

That amp shows the flow right off the Great Lakes into Kentucky and shows the low level relative humidity. Throw in bitterly cold temperatures and you can get widespread snow showers and squalls out of that. You won’t get the models to pick up very well on that until we get closer, because there isn’t very much actual QPF involved.

That said, the NAM is already picking up on this for Wednesday night…

A potent upper level system then dives into our region by late Thursday and Friday…

That may very well produce another light snowfall across much of our region. With the bitter cold in place, it won’t need much moisture to produce snow.

Speaking of the bitter cold, temps from Thursday through Sunday continue to show up as cold or colder than right now. Wind chill numbers may actually be even lower.

Temps rebound some later Sunday and Monday as a storm system rolls our way. The trend toward colder is already underway on the models, with the European leading the charge…

As we get closer to that, and the models keep seeing the amount of dense arctic air in front of it, watch for more of a south trend to show up.

The European Model then brings ANOTHER brutally cold air mass into the country, with the position of the coldest air farther west. That would open us up to more systems potentially undercutting the cold…

I will have updates as normal later today. Happy New Year and take care.

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