Daily Archives: January 4, 2018

Time posted: 7:32 pm

Thursday Evening Thoughts

Good evening, folks. Bitterly cold temps and a few snow showers continue across the bluegrass state. While we deal with the bitter cold, it’s time to focus more on a couple of winter weather makers coming  over the next week or so.

I have no changes on the bitter cold and the snow showers. You can see my thoughts on that in the prior update.

The Sunday/Monday system continues to look very messy across our region, with a definite colder trend on the models showing up. I think that trend continues, leading to a wintry mess falling from the skies.

The European Model continues to show all modes of precipitation…

With the models likely being just a little too warm, the frozen stuff may end up showing up stronger and stronger in the coming days. With a frozen ground, icy travel is a good possibility regardless of precipitation type.

A brief moderation in temps will show up by Wednesday or early Thursday, but the models are all showing another arctic front moving in, with a storm developing along it. Here’s the European…

The GFS…

It’s been a while since we have had that type of a setup around here, so I guess you can say we are overdue. 😉

I leave you with your evening tracking toys…

 

Hamburg Area from WKYT Studio
Lexington

Fifth Third Pavilion Live Cam
Downtown Lexington

I-275 approaching KY 20/Airport
Near Covington
I-275 East of KY 20/Airport Exit

I-71/I-75 at Buttermilk Pike
Near Covington
I-71/I-75 @ Buttermilk Pike

I-71/I-75 at 12th St.
Covington
I-71/I-75 @ 12th St. in Covington

US 60 @ US 127
Frankfort
US60 @ US127

Downtown Louisville @ 2nd & Broadway
Louisville
Downtown Louisville @ 2nd & Broadway

I-64 at KY-801
Near Morehead

Maysville

Jenkins

Bardstown

Have a great evening and take care.

24 Comments

Time posted: 12:15 pm

Thursday Afternoon Update

Good afternoon, everyone. Snow showers and flurries continue to fly, as bitterly cold air keeps control of our weather. These snow showers have been putting down light accumulations, leading to some snow covered roads.

These snow showers continue off and on through tonight across, especially eastern and southeastern Kentucky. At the same time, a streak of light snow targets the western half of the state. The Canadian Model has done great with this setup and shows both systems well…

 

Additional travel issues will be likely in these areas through early Friday.

Once again, the bitter cold steals the show…

  • Brutally cold temps show up for Friday and Saturday mornings. Lows range from -5 to +5 with wind chills dropping into the -5 to -15 range. Those numbers are into the danger category.
  • Highs Friday and Saturday are mainly in the teens.

 

The evolution of the Sunday/Monday system continues to be a work in progress on the models. The actual low passes by to our south, so we aren’t getting some big southwesterly push of air in here. The models continue to erode the arctic air out way too quickly. Still, the Canadian Model has the mix potential…

With the frozen ground, things can get icy in a hurry, even if your air temps gets above freezing.

I will update that potential on WKYT-TV starting at 4pm and with your evening update. Until then, let’s track some snow showers (the ones actually showing up on radar)…

 

Hamburg Area from WKYT Studio
Lexington

Fifth Third Pavilion Live Cam
Downtown Lexington

I-275 approaching KY 20/Airport
Near Covington
I-275 East of KY 20/Airport Exit

I-71/I-75 at Buttermilk Pike
Near Covington
I-71/I-75 @ Buttermilk Pike

I-71/I-75 at 12th St.
Covington
I-71/I-75 @ 12th St. in Covington

US 60 @ US 127
Frankfort
US60 @ US127

Downtown Louisville @ 2nd & Broadway
Louisville
Downtown Louisville @ 2nd & Broadway

I-64 at KY-801
Near Morehead

Maysville

Jenkins

Bardstown

Have a great afternoon and take care.

41 Comments

Time posted: 2:01 am

Bitter Cold Continues

Good Thursday, my fellow weather weenies. We have bitterly cold air and snow showers headlining this 4th day of the year, with even colder weather for the next few days. This bitter period will be followed up by a very messy system moving in for late Sunday and Monday.

Let’s start with a breakdown of what to expect from today through Saturday:

  • Snow showers and flurries will continue across parts of central and eastern Kentucky. Light accumulations will be possible, leading to a few travel troubles.
  • Temps today will generally range from the mid teens in the north to the low 20s south. Wind chills will make it feel close to zero at times.
  • Brutally cold temps show up for Friday and Saturday mornings. Lows range from -5 to +5 with wind chills dropping into the -5 to -15 range. Those numbers are into the danger category.
  • Highs Friday and Saturday are mainly in the teens.

This historic run of bitter cold has left our ground frozen solid and that’s a major player for the Sunday/Monday system moving in here. The models continue to trend a little colder with air temps, and I still think that trend continues as they sense the low-level arctic air in place.

Still, the current setup takes temps to freezing or above, leading to a nasty mix of precipitation. The European Model…

The Canadian Model…

The individual members of the GFS Ensembles are showing the winter weather potential…

Again, the exact evolution of this system remains to be seen, but we are likely to have, potentially significant, travel issues developing. That frozen ground means we could ice things up pretty good, even if temps go above freezing. I’ve seen situations like this cause all kinds of problems in the past.

After that system rolls through, temps take a big tumble, but another system is likely to move in here a few days later, bringing another winter weather threat…

For model watchers, the setup for later next week is not a good one for the models. They are going to struggle with systems ejecting from the west.

Overall, the extreme cold is going to relax, leading to much better storm threats for our region.

Let’s get back to tracking the snow showers out there today…

 

Hamburg Area from WKYT Studio
Lexington

Fifth Third Pavilion Live Cam
Downtown Lexington

I-275 approaching KY 20/Airport
Near Covington
I-275 East of KY 20/Airport Exit

I-71/I-75 at Buttermilk Pike
Near Covington
I-71/I-75 @ Buttermilk Pike

I-71/I-75 at 12th St.
Covington
I-71/I-75 @ 12th St. in Covington

US 60 @ US 127
Frankfort
US60 @ US127

Downtown Louisville @ 2nd & Broadway
Louisville
Downtown Louisville @ 2nd & Broadway

I-64 at KY-801
Near Morehead

Maysville

Jenkins

Bardstown

I will have updates later today, so check back. Make it a good one and take care.

36 Comments