Daily Archives: January 8, 2018

Time posted: 7:30 pm

Monday Evening Update

Good evening, gang. Dense fog is a big issue out there tonight and will continue into early Tuesday. Some pockets of black ice may also show up, especially across the northern half of the state.

From here, the focus continues to be on a wild setup coming later this week. Don’t believe me? Check out the temperature swing coming up.

Here’s the GFS for Thursday afternoon…

Temps then crash from west to east Thursday night into Friday. Here’s the GFS by Friday night…

That’s a 40-50 degree swing in roughly 24-30 hours.

This gradient is showing up along a modified arctic front, with low pressure developing along it. That low is likely to target the Ohio Valley for a winter storm Friday into Saturday. The exact track of this low will determine what happens in your backyard, and it’s too early to know how that plays out.

The latest GFS has a nice hit for our region…

The European Model is the most wrapped up with this storm, therefore it’s a little slower and farther west. However. we are seeing the model trend farther east with this storm.

Last night’s run took the bulk of the winter action just west and north…

The latest run came much farther south and east…

If we look at the individual members of the GFS Ensembles, we find many of them targeting the bluegrass state…

While it’s still too early to tell just how much of an impact this will have on the weather where you live, it’s not like we are talking about a system a week away. This could begin as early as Thursday night.

The first Winter Storm Threat may be forthcoming with my next update.

Bitterly cold temps come in behind that system, with single digits possible again. That sets the stage for another possible system to throw some winter weather at us early next week…

I will see you guys back here for the overnight update. Make it a good one and take care.

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