Daily Archives: January 8, 2018

Time posted: 7:30 pm

Monday Evening Update

Good evening, gang. Dense fog is a big issue out there tonight and will continue into early Tuesday. Some pockets of black ice may also show up, especially across the northern half of the state.

From here, the focus continues to be on a wild setup coming later this week. Don’t believe me? Check out the temperature swing coming up.

Here’s the GFS for Thursday afternoon…

Temps then crash from west to east Thursday night into Friday. Here’s the GFS by Friday night…

That’s a 40-50 degree swing in roughly 24-30 hours.

This gradient is showing up along a modified arctic front, with low pressure developing along it. That low is likely to target the Ohio Valley for a winter storm Friday into Saturday. The exact track of this low will determine what happens in your backyard, and it’s too early to know how that plays out.

The latest GFS has a nice hit for our region…

The European Model is the most wrapped up with this storm, therefore it’s a little slower and farther west. However. we are seeing the model trend farther east with this storm.

Last night’s run took the bulk of the winter action just west and north…

The latest run came much farther south and east…

If we look at the individual members of the GFS Ensembles, we find many of them targeting the bluegrass state…

While it’s still too early to tell just how much of an impact this will have on the weather where you live, it’s not like we are talking about a system a week away. This could begin as early as Thursday night.

The first Winter Storm Threat may be forthcoming with my next update.

Bitterly cold temps come in behind that system, with single digits possible again. That sets the stage for another possible system to throw some winter weather at us early next week…

I will see you guys back here for the overnight update. Make it a good one and take care.


Time posted: 12:21 pm

Monday Afternoon Update

Good afternoon, my fellow weather weenies. Our wintry mix is slowly winding down this afternoon, leaving behind improving road conditions. The frozen ground did its thing this morning, causing ice that shut down several roads in central and eastern Kentucky.

Some additional travel issues will be noted this afternoon, but ground temps are slowly coming up. With light rain continuing to fall, be on guard for some icy spots on untreated roads, sidewalks and parking lots…

Some patchy light freezing drizzle will also be possible tonight and early Tuesday, but temps will continue to be marginal.

The setup for later this week into the weekend continues to look pretty awesome for weather nerds. We have a significant trough digging through the region Friday into Saturday. Check out the negative tilt on this trough…

That setup will spawn a MAJOR temperature gradient and will also fire up a big Ohio Valley winter storm.

Check out the temps ahead of this system on Thursday…

Don’t kick me out of the winter weather fan club if I tell you that I’m looking forward to that! 🙂 Thunder and lightning may be noted with all that. Woot!

Now, let’s watch the bottom fall out from west to east on Friday. Temps by Friday night may be 40-50 degrees colder…

How about the prospects of some kind of Ohio Valley winter storm? Those chances are much higher than normal in the setup noted above.

Every run of the GFS continues to show a hefty event, but the runs vary slightly on placement and intensity…

6z GFS

12z GFS

The Canadian Model also continues to show a significant Ohio Valley winter storm…

I cannot tell you the exact impact that will have on our weather in Kentucky, but we are very much in the game for a potential winter storm. As of now, central and western Kentucky has a greater shot than the east. That can change, depending on the track of the low.

From 60s and thunderstorms, to a potential winter storm in 24 hours? That sounds about right for the bluegrass state.

I will have the latest on this on WKYT-TV starting at 4pm and will have another update this evening. Make it a good one and take care.


Time posted: 1:34 am

Tracking The Wintry Mix

Good Monday, everyone. A wintry mess is working across Kentucky as we begin another work week. Freezing rain, sleet, snow and rain are all blanketing the bluegrass state, combining with a frozen ground to produce icy travel conditions for many.

Even if temps are above freezing where you live, the precipitation is falling on a ground that is below freezing. Roads, sidewalks and parking lots can all feature quite a bit of ice. The greatest threat for this is across central and eastern parts of the state. Remember, just a small amount of ice can cause big problems.

I will have your tracking tools in a bit.

Things can get absolutely wild around here later this week into the weekend. It’s a setup that can go from thunderstorms and 60s to cold and snow in just a few hours. The blog has been talking about this since last week and the signal grows stronger as we get closer.

A modified arctic front slides into town on Thursday and early Friday, with a potent low pressure developing along the front. Areas along and west of the track of the low may get smacked around by a winter storm.

Here’s the GFS…

The Canadian…

Here are your expanded weather trackers to start the day…


Hamburg Area from WKYT Studio

I-64 at KY-801
Near Morehead

I-275 approaching KY 20/Airport
Near Covington
I-275 East of KY 20/Airport Exit

I-71/I-75 at Buttermilk Pike
Near Covington
I-71/I-75 @ Buttermilk Pike

I-71/I-75 at 12th St.
I-71/I-75 @ 12th St. in Covington

US 60 @ US 127
US60 @ US127



Downtown Louisville @ 2nd & Broadway
Downtown Louisville @ 2nd & Broadway

I-64 at KY-801
Near Morehead




Pine Mountain


I-65 MP 92.4

Louie B Nunn MP 3
Near Glasgow
Louie B Nunn MP 3

Natcher Parkway MP 5
Near Bowling Green
Natcher Parkway @ MP 5

I-24 MP 7 @ US 62
I-24 MP 7 @ US62

I will have updates coming later today, so check back. Stay safe out there and take care.