Daily Archives: January 25, 2018

Time posted: 7:31 pm

Thursday Evening Thoughts

Good evening, gang. Our Friday forecast is looking absolutely amazing, with temps that will have you thinking spring. Soak that one up because some soaking rains are on the way for the weekend. This leads us into a changeable forecast as we get set to end January and say hello to February.

60 degree temps are a good bet on Friday as gusty southwesterly winds kick in. Those winds may reach 40mph or greater into early Saturday. That’s when showers increase from west to east. Those will carry us into early Sunday.

A second front then dives in by Sunday night, introducing a cold northwesterly wind…

This northwesterly wind…

Will likely lead to snow showers and flurries kicking in and taking us through Tuesday. This air looks colder and colder as we get closer. Highs may not get much past 30 with lows dropping into the teens.

The late week system continues to look fairly potent. An arctic front working in from the northwest will have a slow-moving wave of low pressure developing along it, leading to the potential for significant winter weather in our region.

The GFS keeps showing this very well for next Thursday and Friday…

We shall see how all that works out, but the signal for an Ohio Valley winter weather event.

The snow signals are also there on the Ensembles. The GFS Ensembles for the next few weeks…

The European Ensembles…

Have a great evening and take care.

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Time posted: 12:13 pm

Changes Brewing

Good afternoon, folks. It’s a gorgeous looking day out there, with Friday looking and feeling even better. This blast of milder takes us into the start of the weekend, but a blast of cold follows that up to end the weekend. Overall, big changes are brewing as we close out January and say hello to February.

I have no real changes to my thoughts on the evolution of the pattern, but wanted to show a few things that continue to stand out.

The trough digging in behind the weekend rain, continues to be more impressive as we get closer…

That quick deepening of the trough can lead to periods of light snow and snow showers from Sunday night through Tuesday. The models are just now beginning to pick up on this. Here’s the GFS…

The Canadian…

Watch for this period to show up more and more as we move through the weekend.

The cold early next week may hold long enough to prevent anything more than a one day rebound in temps, before the arctic front arrives next Thursday. I like the possibility of a wave of low pressure to develop along the front, giving us a winter weather threat.

The models are consistent in showing this…

As the arctic air continues to press in across the country in the first few weeks of February, an active southern storm track is going to try and develop at the same time…

Cold and snow lovers should be excited with this kind of a pattern, and it’s one that may try to linger into early March. Your friendly weatherdude is torn on this pattern, as my spring thoughts fight with my snowy heart. 🙂

I will have updates on WKYT-TV starting at 4pm and back here on KWC this evening.

Make it a good one and take care.

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Time posted: 1:51 am

Another Busy Pattern Takes Shape

Good Thursday, everybody. Here’s hoping this update finds life treating you as good as possible. From a weather perspective, things are looking up for the next few days, before another big change moves in for the weekend. That change is all part of another busy pattern settling in, with February having a fun look for winter lovers.

We begin with today and fast forward. Skies become partly sunny with temps heading back into the 40s.

Those 40s become 50s for many on Friday, with a local 60 a possibility. That comes on the strength of a strong southwesterly wind kicking in, ahead of a weekend cold front.

This front will bring a quick increase in showers from west to east on Saturday and those carry us into early Sunday. Rain totals may top a half inch in some areas…

Much colder air comes in behind this system, leading to the potential for some light snow and snow showers Sunday night into Monday…

This setup continues to grow much colder as we get closer.

That shot of cold will push out for all of a day on Wednesday, with a bigger push of cold on the way as we open February. That’s when an arctic front arrives in here, with the models speeding up the arrival time of this system.

For several days now, we have been tracking the potential for a storm system to develop along this front. The current run of the GFS has this in here starting next Thursday…

That’s still a week away, so let’s just chill and see what how this evolves as we get closer. This front will usher in another harsh winter pattern for much of the country for February. This one has the potential to become known for more snow than the one we had from late December through the middle of January.

I will have updates later today, so check back. Make it a good one and take care.

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