Daily Archives: January 26, 2018

Time posted: 7:32 pm

Friday Evening Update

Good evening, folks. Our weekend is off and running on a great note, but things are about to change in a big way. Rain moves in for Saturday, with Old Man Winter throwing a jab at us early next week, with bigger punch possible later in the week.

Our weekend rains increase from west to east out there late tonight into Saturday, arriving in the southeast late in the day. The rain totals continue to increase on the models…

A second cold front arrives Sunday night and early Monday, with cold northwesterly winds blowing up snow showers that would carry us into early Tuesday…

Light accumulations are very possible in many areas, especially across the mountains in the east. That’s a setup that can overachieve in some spots.

The late weekend system continues to have “the look” of a significant Ohio and Tennessee Valleys winter weather event.

An arctic front dives in and slows down, with low pressure developing along it. Depending on the track and strength of the low, a big event would be possible around here.

The GFS continues to pound out a big storm…

The European Model is also going that direction…

As always, we focus on the setup and not the individual runs. The setup continues to advertise a significant winter weather event around our part of the world. Let’s see if the pattern still looks this way in the coming days.

Enjoy the evening and take care.

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Time posted: 12:44 pm

Friday Afternoon Update

Good afternoon, gang. I don’t have much time, but I wanted to make sure to give you an update on this awesome looking and feeling day.

The weekend setup continues to look soggy, with rain increasing from west to east tonight and Saturday. Wind gusts of 40mph or higher will also be possible.

A second cold front drops in Sunday night, with snow showers and a few areas of light snow developing behind it. Monday into early Tuesday could produce some light snow accumulations…

The late week storm signal continues to show up VERY strongly. Watch this trough deepen and take on a negative tilt as it swings through our region and into the northeast…

The GFS is producing a monster storm impacting a lot of people…

The Canadian isn’t quite as strong, but it’s trending toward a deeper storm system…

I’ve been yapping about the early February potential for a while now. The above signal has been on my radar well before the models were showing it, but not that they’re picking it up, that lends some confidence that to my thoughts. A significant winter weather event is possible across the Ohio Valley late next week. The details for where you live are a long way from being known.

I will have an update on WKYT-TV starting at 4pm, with another update here on KWC later in the evening.

Make it a good one and take care.

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Time posted: 2:05 am

Tracking A Lot Of Changes Ahead

Good Friday, folks. It’s the final Friday of what has been a brutally cold January, and mother nature is saving the best for last. Highs temps may reach 60 in many areas, but winter weather isn’t too far away. The winter weather threats are showing up for next week, with the potential for a bigger event to start February.

Today is just absolutely phenomenal with highs in the upper 50s to low 60s. Sunny skies will then give way to some clouds by the afternoon and evening. This is also when winds really begin to crank up. Gusts of 40mph or greater will be possible through Saturday morning.

Rain arrives from west to east late tonight into Saturday. Rainfall totals  may exceed a half inch in some areas through Sunday morning.

Another cold front then drops in Sunday night, kicking in a strong northwesterly wind flow. That should touch off snow showers and flurries that take us through early Tuesday. Some coatings are certainly possible underneath this cold setup…

An arctic front will be surging toward Kentucky by next Thursday. Odds continue to favor a wave of low pressure developing along that front, with the potential for a winter weather threat along it. The Ohio and Tennessee Valleys continue to show up as the target zone on the models.

The GFS…

The Canadian…

The new European isn’t quite as strong with the wave as the above models…

My take is it’s still way too early to get overly excited about any major winter weather event, but the chances are there from just under a week away. Let’s just sit back and watch how this all plays out in the coming days.

I will update things later today. Make it a good one and take care.

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