Daily Archives: January 30, 2018

Time posted: 7:33 pm

Tuesday Evening Thoughts

Good evening, folks. We continue to track a cold and snowy looking pattern as we close in on the month of February. It’s a pattern we’ve been highlighting for a while now and things look to be on track. As many of you are filly aware, your friendly weatherdude starts to hit spring mode about this time of year, so he isn’t too happy about this. 🙂

The Thursday into Thursday night system continues to get bullied by the weekend systems working in quickly behind it. This trend has been there for several days, with a rain to quick-hitting mix and snow scenario taking place. The fast movement of this will keep any accumulations on the light side, with the southeast having the best chance at seeing sticking snow.

You can see this well on the European Model…

With snow systems quickly returning by late Saturday into early next week, the chance for region-wide accumulating snows are greatly increased.

The European Model through early next week…

The Canadian…

The GFS…

The GFS Ensembles…

If we add the following week onto the GFS Ensembles, you can clearly see trend continuing…

“Spring” weatherdude continues to say “Go big or go home”, Old Man. 😉

Enjoy your evening and take care.

17 Comments

Time posted: 12:25 pm

Midday Update

Good afternoon, everyone. Flurries are slowly ending, as a cold northwesterly wind continues to blow across Kentucky. The focus going forward is on a series of systems, set to bring some snow to our part of the world.

The first system arrives Thursday into Thursday night in the form of a cold front. This front continues to get pushed through here very quickly because of the next set of systems coming in this weekend.

Because of that “push”, our rain to snow setup isn’t going to have much time to produce much in the way of snow accumulations. Watch how fast this blows through on the GFS…

The Canadian is similar…

That’s a shot of arctic air coming in behind this for Friday, with our weekend snow chances rolling in very quickly from late Saturday into Super Bowl Sunday, with another system on Monday.

Here’s the Canadian…

The GFS is very similar…

Accumulating snow is very likely this weekend into early next week. I will talk about that on WKYT-TV starting at 4, then with another update this evening.

Have a great rest of the day and take care.

19 Comments

Time posted: 1:54 am

Tracking The Snow Possibilities

Good Tuesday, everybody. Snow showers and flurries will wind down early today, after putting down light accumulations in many areas. We are likely waking up to some cancellations and delays because of the flakes. I’m tracking more snow chances as we close out January and usher in February.

As mentioned, the snow showers and flurries are calming down today, but will still create slick travel at times…

A nice redound in temps moves in for Wednesday, ahead of our next system moving in Thursday into Thursday night. A cold front sweeps in here from the northwest, with rain ahead of it. A weak wave of low pressure develops along the front, with a switch to snow likely.

The GFS is back to showing a slightly better organized setup…

That run of the GFS has a modest snowfall across parts of central and eastern Kentucky…

The Canadian Model is a little slower with the transition from rain to snow…

Moral of the story with the Thursday system… This is a rain to snow setup, but this system is zipping through here pretty quickly. The heavier the precipitation shield, the better the chance for some thumpers to fall from the sky. That heavy precip pulls down cold air in this type of atmosphere. The best chance for that to happen is across the south and southeast.

As of now, I still can’t see this being anything more than a modest snowfall for some.

The fast movement of the Thursday system is due to the quick arrival of our weekend situation. One system likely moves in Saturday night and early Sunday, with another system moving our way late Sunday into Monday.

The European Model actually has the action starting by Saturday afternoon…

It then brings another system in here late Monday…

Here’s the view from the Canadian…

The GFS actually has 3 systems, followed by another one a few days later…

With arctic shots plentiful in the coming few weeks, the GFS Ensembles suggest it may snow all the way to the Gulf again…

I will have your usual updates back and running today, so check back. Make it a good one and take care.

29 Comments