Daily Archives: January 31, 2018

Time posted: 7:34 pm

First Call For Snowfall

Good evening, folks. Our snow threats for the coming days continue to show up a little better as we get closer. The first system rolling into town Thursday into Thursday night will switch from rain to wet snow quickly from northwest to southeast.

While it’s not going to snow for a very long time, some areas of moderate to heavy snow may set up. Given the wet ground and wet nature of the snow, I’m going to be a little reserved in the First Call For Snowfall…

Some areas of southeastern Kentucky can exceed those totals, and the models are now picking up on all this.

The GFS…

Hi Res NAM…

NAM…

Travel problems may develop later Thursday night into Friday morning as temps crash into the teens. A flash freeze is possible.

The weekend system continues to trend stronger with the GFS now taking a weak low toward eastern Kentucky, as a second low pops east of the mountains…

Late Saturday into Super Bowl Sunday could be nasty with snow and a mix of precipitation. An upgrade to a Threat is very possible tonight.

The GFS then brings a similar system our way a few days later…

Again, don’t get caught up with specifics… It’s all about the trends. 😉

I will update things on WKYT-TV at 11. See ya then.

Enjoy your evening and take care.

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Time posted: 12:24 pm

Wednesday Afternoon Update

Good afternoon, everyone. A very active winter weather pattern continues to take shape across the country, and it will likely impact our weather on multiple occasions.

The first system zips in and out of town very quickly Thursday into Thursday night. Rain develops early Thursday, with a switch to wet snow from northwest to southeast as the precipitation starts to end. The best chance to put some light snow on the ground is across the southeast…

Could we get an inch or two in some spots? Sure, but it depends on just how quickly that transition from rain to snow takes place.

Frigid temps move in for Friday with teens to start and upper 20s to end.

The Super Bowl Weekend system continues to look more impressive as it arrives late Saturday. Watch how the low looks stronger as it rolls up east of the Appalachian mountains on the GFS…

That particular track would bring a swath of snow across Kentucky…

Compared to earlier runs, the Canadian Model is also coming back west and stronger with the system…

Don’t focus on the specifics showing on the models, instead, focus on the trend of a stronger system with more moisture. How that plays out exactly remains to be seen, but this weekend can easily be upgraded to a Threat later today or tonight.

Snow chances don’t end there, watch the systems coming behind this…

I will have the latest on WKYT-TV starting at 4pm, and will throw you another update this evening.

Make it a great afternoon and take care.

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Time posted: 1:52 am

February Looks To Rock Some Winter

Good Wednesday, folks. It’s the final day of January and we are sending the month out on a very nice weather note. As we roll into month 2 of the year, it’s a rather harsh looking winter pattern taking shape for much of the country, including right here in Kentucky.

Temps out there today will be near 50 in most areas, with a mix of sun and clouds. Gusty southwesterly winds will increase ahead of a cold front shooting in here quickly on Thursday.

Rain will increase on Thursday as this system zips through the state at a brisk pace. Colder air catches the back edge of the rain, switching it over to a period of wet snow.

The newest models are just a touch snowier…

GFS

Canadian

The European Model continues to spit out the light accumulations…

The potential for a couple inches of wet snow is certainly there, especially in the south and southeast. I may do a first call in the next update.

Frigid temps come in behind this on Friday, but the focus is on what is shooting in here for the weekend. A series of light snow makers will work across our region from late Saturday through early next week. The GFS is trying to ramp this up into something more than light…

The GFS Ensembles continue to be a littler excited…

The European Model has a stronger system like the GFS is showing, but is farther north with it, setting up the fence across Kentucky.

In contrast, the Canadian Model is south..

Sunday is “threatable”.

The overall pattern setting up across the Northern Hemisphere is highly anomalous, with massive blocking surrounding North America…

That basically puts the Polar Vortex across Canada, with it taking stabs at us here in the states. The end result is an almost endless supply of cold, with the potential for bitter cold. Watch this animation of the temperature departure through the middle of February…

This isn’t too dissimilar to what we saw take shape from late December through mid January. However, this is centered farther west, potentially putting our region in a much snowier than normal setup.

February has a chance to deliver some memorable winter weather around here, and for much of the country.

I will have updates later today, so check back. Make it a good one and take care.

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